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Bermuda vs Barbados• CONCACAF Nations League, World

1.3:3.71-2FT06/10 · BFA Technical Centre, Bridgetown2.7:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50BVCX4.98PIN21.60BTNMargin at best4.8%Books6Markets55Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Oct 16:55 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.434.001.867.9%
Betano3.354.001.888.0%
Marathonbet3.424.001.848.6%
William Hill3.403.801.859.8%
Betfair3.304.001.8010.9%
Bet3653.203.901.8311.5%
Best of all books3.434.001.887.3%
Average3.353.951.849.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BermudaBarbados
Last 100Form pts · last 571.3Goals for · last 52.73.7Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating6721Defence rating790Form rating10036H2H rating6433Goals model6736Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 01:41 UTC

Bermuda

0W 1D 9L · goals 8:35 · per match 0.8 for, 3.5 against

3 OctABarbados1-4L
29 SepASt. Lucia2-5L
25 SepHGuadeloupe1-2L
6 JunACape Verde Islands0-3L
25 MarACongo DR0-2L
19 NovATrinidad and Tobago2-2D
14 NovHCuraçao0-7L
15 OctAJamaica0-4L
10 OctHTrinidad and Tobago0-3L
10 SepACuraçao2-3L

Barbados

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

3 OctHBermuda4-1W
28 SepAGuadeloupe2-2D
26 SepHSt. Lucia2-0W
29 MarHSt. Vincent / Grenadines2-3L
26 MarASaint Martin1-3L
15 NovHAruba0-3L
12 NovHBonaire3-2W
10 JunASt. Lucia1-2L
4 JunHAruba1-1D
11 MayADominica0-0D

Head to head

1Bermuda wins
1draws
1Barbados wins

3 meetings · goals 10:4 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Bermuda

2 Jul 2021CONCACAF Gold Cup - QualificationCONCACAF Gold Cup - QualificationBermuda8-1Barbados
25 Mar 2018FriendliesFriendliesBarbados0-0Bermuda
29 Oct 2017FriendliesFriendliesBermuda2-3Barbados

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.48X19%4.87265%1.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Oct 18:515 Oct 22:411 4.31X 4.372 1.57
13.35 → 4.31 +28.7%X3.95 → 4.37 +10.6%21.84 → 1.57 -14.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Bet3651.442.706.5%
Betano1.422.677.9%
1xBet1.362.7010.6%
Marathonbet1.362.7010.6%
Best of all books1.442.884.2%
Average1.402.738.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Betano1.422.677.9%
1xBet1.382.818.1%
Betfair1.362.888.3%
William Hill1.402.708.5%
Marathonbet1.382.768.7%
Best of all books1.442.884.2%
Average1.402.748.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bermuda 10%Draw 45%Barbados 45%

The statistical model rated Bermuda at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Barbados at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.48 | 4.87 | 1.41, which imply roughly 20.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Bermuda averaged 1.3 goals scored and 3.7 conceded per game; Barbados averaged 2.7 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Barbados and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bermuda

4-2-3-1

Coach: John Barry Nusum

Goalkeeper

  • 12Jahquil Hill

Defence

  • 16Jorj Dublin
  • 17Harry twite
  • 9Tokia russell

Attack

  • 7lejuan simmons
  • 11D. Hill
  • 5Jai ne tucker
  • 20Riley robinson
  • 18Robinson l.
  • 6Sincere hall
  • 8D. Parfitt-Williams
Substitutes (12)
  • 19Ajani·Burchall
  • 4London jackson steede
  • 13Blayz Borgesson
  • 15Elisha Darrell
  • 22J. Donawa
  • 23Cj Fubler
  • 10Z. Lewis
  • 21Caleb Mcdowall
  • 14Brighton Morrison
  • 2Emeer Peets
  • 1milai perott
  • 3Diego richardson

Barbados

5-4-1

Coach: Kent Hall

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Blackman

Defence

  • 2Raquan Clarke
  • 23Jacob Gollop
  • 20Tyrique Bailey-Edwards

Midfield

  • 4Mario·Williams
  • 10Niall stephen reid
  • 5Jaheim Neblett

Attack

  • 8Omani Leacock
  • 7Jaron oughterson
  • 11T. Gale

Squad

  • 3A. Applewhaite
Substitutes (12)
  • 16Ross Bourne
  • 12jaylan gilkes
  • 19Colin Griffith
  • 6Sheran Hoyte
  • 9T. James
  • 13Darico king
  • 21Kaliq Lashley
  • 18Jireh malcolm
  • 15Shay Prescod
  • 17Thorne Davion
  • 22Zachary Applewhite
  • 14Ajani Banton

Match Statistics

BermudaBarbados
323Passes accurate409
3Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox6
2Blocked Shots1
14Free Kicks11
2Shots on Goal8
6Goalkeeper Saves1
2Shots off Goal6
381Total passes465
6Total Shots15
3Yellow Cards2
2Corner Kicks8
0Offsides2
12Fouls14
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.353.951.84

Double chance

1XX212
1.851.291.20

Draw no bet

12
2.551.45

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.402.74

1st half

1X2
3.642.522.32

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2223.51.64

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.3
1.51.105.90
2.51.402.73
3.52.011.75
4.53.231.29
5.55.781.10
6.511.31.04
7.523.01.01
8.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.0
1.751.085.45
21.114.95
2.251.243.34
2.751.462.44
31.582.18
3.251.811.90
3.752.241.56
42.641.38
4.252.921.31
4.753.921.18
55.201.10
5.255.551.08
69.001.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.571.43
+0.252.111.64
+0.51.901.87
+0.751.672.05
+11.502.46
+1.251.382.73
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.871.06
-1.256.381.07
-15.931.09
-0.754.131.18
-0.53.301.32
-0.252.921.34
+1.51.313.06
+1.751.213.73
+21.125.15
+2.251.105.58
+2.51.095.90
+31.019.80
+3.51.0510.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.831.83

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