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Honduras vs Jamaica• CONCACAF Nations League, World

1.3:1.71-1FT06/10 · Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino, Tegucigalpa1.7:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.10PINX3.30B36523.80BFRMargin at best4.2%Books6Markets50Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.803.504.207.9%
Betfair1.753.504.507.9%
1xBet1.773.524.347.9%
Marathonbet1.753.524.338.6%
William Hill1.803.404.0010.0%
Bet3651.733.504.0011.4%
Best of all books1.803.524.506.2%
Average1.773.494.238.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HondurasJamaica
Last 104Form pts · last 571.3Goals for · last 51.71.7Goals against · last 51.044Attack rating5638Defence rating6333Form rating6729H2H rating710Goals model10036Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Oct 22:21 UTC

Honduras

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

3 OctAMartinique1-2L
29 SepAJamaica1-0W
26 SepHSuriname2-3L
7 JunAArgentina0-2L
31 MarAPeru2-2D
19 NovACosta Rica0-0D
14 NovANicaragua0-2L
14 OctHHaiti3-0W
10 OctHCosta Rica0-0D
10 SepHNicaragua2-0W

Jamaica

6W 1D 3L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

3 OctAEl Salvador2-0W
29 SepHHonduras0-1L
26 SepHGuatemala3-2W
6 JunHSouth Africa1-1D
30 MayHNigeria0-3L
27 MayHIndia2-0W
31 MarACongo DR0-1L
27 MarANew Caledonia1-0W
21 FebAMartinique2-0W
18 JanAGrenada1-0W

Head to head

1Honduras wins
1draws
6Jamaica wins

8 meetings · goals 5:11 · last 8: 1W 1D 6L for Honduras

29 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations LeagueCONCACAF Nations LeagueJamaica0-1Honduras
15 Oct 2024CONCACAF Nations LeagueCONCACAF Nations LeagueJamaica0-0Honduras
11 Sep 2024CONCACAF Nations LeagueCONCACAF Nations LeagueHonduras1-2Jamaica
9 Sep 2023CONCACAF Nations LeagueCONCACAF Nations LeagueJamaica1-0Honduras
31 Mar 2022World Cup - Qualification CONCACAFWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAFJamaica2-1Honduras
14 Oct 2021World Cup - Qualification CONCACAFWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAFHonduras0-2Jamaica
18 Jun 2019CONCACAF Gold CupCONCACAF Gold CupJamaica3-2Honduras
17 Feb 2017FriendliesFriendliesHonduras0-1Jamaica

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.03X29%3.18226%3.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Oct 15:315 Oct 06:211 2.00X 3.192 3.57
11.77 → 2.00 +13.0%X3.49 → 3.19 -8.6%24.23 → 3.57 -15.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Betfair2.201.656.1%
Betano2.151.657.1%
1xBet2.171.637.4%
Marathonbet2.171.637.4%
Best of all books2.201.656.1%
Average2.181.646.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.051.755.9%
William Hill2.001.757.1%
Bet3652.101.677.5%
1xBet2.011.727.9%
Betano2.021.708.3%
Marathonbet2.011.708.6%
Best of all books2.101.754.8%
Average2.031.717.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Honduras 10%Draw 45%Jamaica 45%

The statistical model rated Honduras at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Jamaica at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 3.18 | 3.53, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Honduras averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; Jamaica averaged 1.7 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Jamaica.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Honduras

4-2-3-1

Coach: José Molina

Goalkeeper

  • 1E. Menjívar

Defence

  • 2Clinton Bennett
  • 3G. Sacaza
  • 13J. Portillo

Midfield

  • 4L. Vega
  • 5K. Arriaga
  • 14A. Reyes
  • 7J. Toro
  • 10L. Palma

Attack

  • 18D. Moncada
  • 9keyrol figuora
Substitutes (12)
  • 23J. Álvarez
  • 11D. Ruíz
  • 8J. Rosales
  • 15M. Arana
  • 17E. Arzú
  • 20D. Flores
  • 12A. Güity
  • 6C. Meléndez
  • 22L. Ortiz
  • 19E. Puerto
  • 21B. Rochez
  • 16E. Rodríguez

Jamaica

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Speid

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Blake

Defence

  • 6R. King
  • 20K. Ming
  • 2M. Freckleton
  • 22ronaldo webster
  • 17D. Lowe
  • 5Courtney Clarke

Midfield

  • 16Karoy Anderson

Attack

  • 10K. Dixon
  • 11T. Campbell
  • 12J. East
Substitutes (9)
  • 7J. Lyle
  • 13A. Knight
  • 8R. Howell
  • 14tajay grant
  • 23S. Davis
  • 3Brandon Ashley Cover
  • 18D. Atkinson
  • 4C. Ainsworth
  • 21J. Nolan

Match Statistics

HondurasJamaica
599Passes accurate169
6Shots insidebox4
9Shots outsidebox2
5Blocked Shots0
12Free Kicks11
4Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
6Shots off Goal4
3Offsides1
665Total passes238
15Total Shots6
1Yellow Cards2
8Corner Kicks2
11Fouls13
0Red Cards0
73%Ball Possession27%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.773.494.23

Double chance

1XX212
1.191.961.27

Draw no bet

12
1.323.14

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.031.72

1st half

1X2
2.392.074.83

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.578.702.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.20
1.51.362.85
2.52.181.64
3.54.011.20
4.58.161.05
5.514.41.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.90
11.047.10
1.251.183.82
1.751.452.48
21.612.12
2.251.891.82
2.752.501.45
33.221.26
3.253.581.21
3.755.151.10
47.501.03
4.258.001.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.861.36
-12.491.49
-0.751.971.71
-0.51.781.98
-0.251.512.32
01.283.08
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.758.601.01
-2.57.271.04
-2.256.851.04
-26.351.06
-1.754.201.15
-1.53.271.26
+0.251.213.58
+0.751.085.75
+11.028.05
+1.51.029.35

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