Juvenes / Dogana vs Virtus• Campionato, San-Marino

#141.2:1.40-1FT23/102.2:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

19.051XBX4.75B36521.37BTNMargin at best5.1%Books6Markets46Rating27 · 73Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 15:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	8.00	4.20	1.36	9.8%
1xBet	9.05	4.05	1.33	10.9%
Betano	7.50	4.05	1.37	11.0%
William Hill	8.00	4.00	1.35	11.6%
Bet365	6.50	4.75	1.33	11.6%
Marathonbet	8.70	4.20	1.30	12.2%
Best of all books	9.05	4.75	1.37	5.1%
Average	7.96	4.21	1.34	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Juvenes / DoganaVirtus

Last 10#14Table position#10.50Points per game2.670Form pts · last 5151.2Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 50.435Attack rating6522Defence rating7819Form rating817H2H rating9353Goals model4727Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 22:30 UTC

Juvenes / Dogana

1W 2D 7L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

23 Oct	H	Virtus	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Cosmos	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Tre Penne	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Folgore	1-2	L
8 Sep	A	Tre Penne	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Libertas	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Faetano	4-0	W
6 May	H	Virtus	0-2	L
3 May	A	Virtus	0-0	D
29 Apr	H	Libertas	1-1	D

Virtus

7W 1D 2L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

23 Oct	A	Juvenes / Dogana	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	San Marino Academy	5-0	W
18 Sep	A	Tre Fiori	3-2	W
12 Sep	H	Libertas	2-0	W
9 Sep	A	Murata	3-0	W
4 Sep	A	Fiorentino	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	La Fiorita	0-0	D
16 Jul	H	Dila	1-0	W
9 Jul	A	Dila	1-3	L
30 Jun	H	Vardar Skopje	2-3	L

Head to head

4Juvenes / Dogana wins

2draws

14Virtus wins

20 meetings · goals 21:35 · last 10: 0W 1D 9L for Juvenes / Dogana

6 May 2026Campionato	Campionato	Juvenes / Dogana0-2Virtus
3 May 2026Campionato	Campionato	Virtus0-0Juvenes / Dogana
8 Mar 2026Campionato	Campionato	Virtus2-0Juvenes / Dogana
8 Nov 2025Campionato	Campionato	Juvenes / Dogana0-3Virtus
25 Jan 2025Campionato	Campionato	Juvenes / Dogana0-2Virtus
20 Sep 2024Campionato	Campionato	Virtus1-0Juvenes / Dogana
28 Jan 2024Campionato	Campionato	Virtus2-1Juvenes / Dogana
30 Sep 2023Campionato	Campionato	Juvenes / Dogana1-2Virtus
19 Feb 2023Campionato	Campionato	Virtus1-0Juvenes / Dogana
9 Oct 2022Campionato	Campionato	Juvenes / Dogana1-3Virtus

Campionato tableCampionatoupdated 25 Oct 14:41 UTC

In the Campionato table, Juvenes / Dogana sit 14th with 3 points from 6 games, while Virtus are 1st with 16 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Virtus	6	5	1	0	12:2	+10	16
2	Tre Penne	6	5	1	0	11:2	+9	16
3	Folgore	5	5	0	0	15:2	+13	15
4	Tre Fiori	6	4	1	1	15:5	+10	13
5	Cosmos	6	4	1	1	14:4	+10	13
6	La Fiorita	5	2	3	0	7:3	+4	9
7	Fiorentino	6	2	2	2	11:6	+5	8
8	Libertas	5	2	2	1	6:6	0	8
9	Domagnano	6	2	1	3	9:10	-1	7
10	Cailungo	6	1	1	4	6:8	-2	4
11	San Giovanni	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
12	Murata	6	1	1	4	6:15	-9	4
13	Pennarossa	6	1	1	4	10:23	-13	4
14	Juvenes / Dogana	6	1	0	5	6:8	-2	3
15	San Marino Academy	6	0	2	4	1:14	-13	2
16	Faetano	5	0	2	3	1:15	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg112%7.73X22%4.16267%1.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

19.72 → 7.96 -18.1%X4.74 → 4.21 -11.2%21.26 → 1.34 +6.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Betano	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	2.10	1.7%
Average	1.80	1.89	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.20	1.57	9.1%
1xBet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.55	10.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.58	8.7%
Average	2.19	1.57	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Juvenes / Dogana 10%Draw 45%Virtus 45%

The statistical model rated Juvenes / Dogana at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Virtus at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.73 | 4.16 | 1.36, which imply roughly 24% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campionato table: Juvenes / Dogana are 14th (3 pts, 6-8 goals), Virtus 1st (16 pts, 12-2).

Over their last five matches, Juvenes / Dogana averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Virtus averaged 2.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
7.96	4.21	1.34

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.91	1.06	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
6.00	1.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.19	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
7.53	2.24	1.84

2nd half

1	X	2
7.03	2.67	1.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	15.3	21.3	24.0
HT X	15.8	6.33	3.77
HT 2	70.3	20.2	1.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
4.40	8.80	1.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.80
1.5	1.25	3.28
2.5	1.80	1.89
3.5	3.05	1.29
4.5	6.20	1.07
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.50
1.75	1.31	2.92
2	1.40	2.54
2.25	1.62	2.07
2.75	2.06	1.63
3	2.45	1.44
3.25	2.75	1.36
3.75	3.73	1.19
4	5.03	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.75	2.56	1.40
+1	2.22	1.53
+1.25	1.86	1.78
+1.5	1.66	2.01
+1.75	1.60	2.21
+2	1.33	2.85

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	6.68	1.05
+0.25	3.87	1.18
+2.25	1.27	3.17
+2.5	1.21	3.53
+3	1.06	6.20
+3.5	1.04	6.98

Latest Campionato results

25 Oct	Faetano 0-0 La Fiorita
25 Oct	Libertas 1-2 Folgore
24 Oct	Fiorentino 1-1 Cailungo
24 Oct	Murata 2-2 Domagnano
23 Oct	Tre Penne 0-0 Tre Fiori
23 Oct	Pennarossa 2-2 San Giovanni