Pennarossa vs San Giovanni• Campionato, San-Marino

#131.6:4.22-2FT23/100.8:2.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.05B365X3.45DAF23.361XBMargin at best7.5%Books6Markets39Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L54.4

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 15:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.99	3.45	3.25	10.0%
1xBet	1.93	3.50	3.28	10.9%
Betano	2.00	3.40	3.15	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.91	3.50	3.20	12.2%
Bet365	2.05	3.40	2.90	12.7%
William Hill	1.91	3.25	3.30	13.4%
Best of all books	2.05	3.50	3.30	7.7%
Average	1.96	3.42	3.18	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PennarossaSan Giovanni

Last 10#13Table position#110.67Points per game0.677Form pts · last 531.6Goals for · last 50.84.2Goals against · last 52.267Attack rating3334Defence rating6650Form rating5029H2H rating7147Goals model5341Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 16:30 UTC

Pennarossa

2W 3D 5L · goals 14:27 · per match 1.4 for, 2.7 against

23 Oct	H	San Giovanni	2-2	D
9 Oct	H	Folgore	1-5	L
19 Sep	H	Fiorentino	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Cosmos	1-6	L
9 Sep	H	Cailungo	3-0	W
6 Sep	H	Murata	1-4	L
30 Aug	A	Tre Fiori	2-5	L
29 Apr	A	Cosmos	0-3	L
26 Apr	A	Tre Fiori	1-1	D
18 Apr	H	Juvenes / Dogana	0-0	D

San Giovanni

2W 0D 8L · goals 5:21 · per match 0.5 for, 2.1 against

10 Oct	H	Tre Fiori	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Cailungo	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	Murata	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Cosmos	0-1	L
4 Sep	A	Domagnano	0-4	L
29 Aug	H	Tre Penne	2-3	L
26 Apr	A	Tre Penne	0-4	L
18 Apr	H	Domagnano	0-2	L
11 Apr	H	San Marino Academy	1-0	W
7 Apr	A	La Fiorita	0-3	L

Head to head

8Pennarossa wins

4draws

5San Giovanni wins

17 meetings · goals 25:28 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Pennarossa

14 Feb 2026Campionato	Campionato	San Giovanni3-0Pennarossa
18 Oct 2025Campionato	Campionato	Pennarossa2-1San Giovanni
2 Mar 2025Campionato	Campionato	San Giovanni2-2Pennarossa
2 Nov 2024Campionato	Campionato	Pennarossa0-5San Giovanni
6 Apr 2024Campionato	Campionato	San Giovanni9-0Pennarossa
16 Dec 2023Campionato	Campionato	Pennarossa0-3San Giovanni
22 Jan 2023Campionato	Campionato	San Giovanni1-1Pennarossa
3 Sep 2022Campionato	Campionato	Pennarossa4-0San Giovanni
6 Apr 2022Campionato	Campionato	San Giovanni1-1Pennarossa
25 Sep 2021Campionato	Campionato	Pennarossa1-0San Giovanni

Campionato tableCampionatoupdated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the Campionato table, Pennarossa sit 13th with 4 points from 6 games, while San Giovanni are 11th with 4 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Folgore	6	6	0	0	17:3	+14	18
2	Virtus	6	5	1	0	12:2	+10	16
3	Tre Penne	6	5	1	0	11:2	+9	16
4	Tre Fiori	6	4	1	1	15:5	+10	13
5	Cosmos	6	4	1	1	14:4	+10	13
6	La Fiorita	6	2	4	0	7:3	+4	10
7	Fiorentino	6	2	2	2	11:6	+5	8
8	Libertas	6	2	2	2	7:8	-1	8
9	Domagnano	6	2	1	3	9:10	-1	7
10	Cailungo	6	1	1	4	6:8	-2	4
11	San Giovanni	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
12	Murata	6	1	1	4	6:15	-9	4
13	Pennarossa	6	1	1	4	10:23	-13	4
14	Juvenes / Dogana	6	1	0	5	6:8	-2	3
15	Faetano	6	0	3	3	1:15	-14	3
16	San Marino Academy	6	0	2	4	1:14	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.94X26%3.43228%3.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.21 → 1.96 -11.3%X3.48 → 3.40 -2.3%22.70 → 3.21 +18.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.15	3.7%
Average	1.65	2.09	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.52	2.32	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.27	9.8%
Best of all books	1.53	2.32	8.5%
Average	1.52	2.30	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pennarossa 10%Draw 45%San Giovanni 45%

The statistical model rated Pennarossa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and San Giovanni at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.43 | 3.24, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campionato table: Pennarossa are 13th (4 pts, 10-23 goals), San Giovanni 11th (4 pts, 6-13).

Over their last five matches, Pennarossa averaged 1.6 goals scored and 4.2 conceded per game; San Giovanni averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or San Giovanni and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.97	3.42	3.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.69	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.54	2.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.30

1st half

1	X	2
2.52	2.22	3.63

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.56	3.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.25	13.7	30.3
HT X	5.47	5.67	7.20
HT 2	23.3	14.2	5.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	15.8	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.0
1.5	1.14	4.30
2.5	1.65	2.09
3.5	2.49	1.42
4.5	4.55	1.13
5.5	8.00	1.06

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.18	3.86
2	1.24	3.34
2.25	1.41	2.53
2.75	1.74	1.90
3	1.98	1.67
3.25	2.26	1.53
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.84	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.74	1.35
-0.75	2.22	1.54
-0.5	1.93	1.70
-0.25	1.76	1.95
0	1.47	2.41
+0.25	1.35	2.79

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.40	1.03
-2	6.50	1.05
-1.5	3.50	1.22
-1.25	3.14	1.27
+0.75	1.17	4.05
+1	1.06	6.00
+1.5	1.04	7.10

Next Campionato matches

30 Oct

Cailungo – Juvenes / Dogana

All Campionato fixtures and the table

Latest Campionato results

25 Oct	Faetano 0-0 La Fiorita
25 Oct	Libertas 1-2 Folgore
24 Oct	Fiorentino 1-1 Cailungo
24 Oct	Murata 2-2 Domagnano
23 Oct	Tre Penne 0-0 Tre Fiori
23 Oct	San Marino Academy 0-4 Cosmos