Tre Penne vs Tre Fiori• Campionato, San-Marino

#32.2:0.40-0FT23/103.0:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30BTNX3.30B36523.181XBMargin at best5.2%Books6Markets39Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 15:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.30	3.05	3.00	9.6%
1xBet	2.18	2.98	3.18	10.9%
Betano	2.30	3.00	2.92	11.1%
Bet365	2.15	3.30	2.90	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.16	2.98	3.10	12.1%
William Hill	2.20	2.90	3.00	13.3%
Best of all books	2.30	3.30	3.18	5.2%
Average	2.21	3.03	3.02	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tre PenneTre Fiori

Last 10#3Table position#42.67Points per game2.1713Form pts · last 5102.2Goals for · last 53.00.4Goals against · last 51.042Attack rating5871Defence rating2956Form rating4471H2H rating290Goals model061Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 22:30 UTC

Tre Penne

7W 2D 1L · goals 17:6 · per match 1.7 for, 0.6 against

23 Oct	H	Tre Fiori	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Domagnano	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Juvenes / Dogana	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Cailungo	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Juvenes / Dogana	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Cosmos	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	San Giovanni	3-2	W
16 May	H	Domagnano	3-1	W
12 May	H	La Fiorita	0-1	L
9 May	A	La Fiorita	1-1	D

Tre Fiori

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

23 Oct	A	Tre Penne	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	San Giovanni	1-0	W
18 Sep	H	Virtus	2-3	L
11 Sep	H	Domagnano	3-0	W
8 Sep	A	Fiorentino	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Faetano	4-0	W
30 Aug	H	Pennarossa	5-2	W
13 Aug	A	Drita	0-5	L
6 Aug	H	Drita	1-4	L
29 Jul	H	Forli	1-3	L

Head to head

11Tre Penne wins

6draws

7Tre Fiori wins

24 meetings · goals 32:29 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Tre Penne

22 Feb 2026Campionato	Campionato	Tre Fiori0-2Tre Penne
24 Oct 2025Campionato	Campionato	Tre Penne0-0Tre Fiori
2 Apr 2025Coppa Titano	Coppa Titano	Tre Penne1-0Tre Fiori
5 Mar 2025Coppa Titano	Coppa Titano	Tre Fiori0-1Tre Penne
23 Feb 2025Campionato	Campionato	Tre Penne1-3Tre Fiori
25 Oct 2024Campionato	Campionato	Tre Fiori1-1Tre Penne
13 Apr 2024Campionato	Campionato	Tre Fiori2-1Tre Penne
6 Jan 2024Campionato	Campionato	Tre Penne0-3Tre Fiori
12 Feb 2023Campionato	Campionato	Tre Fiori1-2Tre Penne
2 Oct 2022Campionato	Campionato	Tre Penne2-1Tre Fiori

Campionato tableCampionatoupdated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the Campionato table, Tre Penne sit 3rd with 16 points from 6 games, while Tre Fiori are 4th with 13 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Folgore	6	6	0	0	17:3	+14	18
2	Virtus	6	5	1	0	12:2	+10	16
3	Tre Penne	6	5	1	0	11:2	+9	16
4	Tre Fiori	6	4	1	1	15:5	+10	13
5	Cosmos	6	4	1	1	14:4	+10	13
6	La Fiorita	6	2	4	0	7:3	+4	10
7	Fiorentino	6	2	2	2	11:6	+5	8
8	Libertas	6	2	2	2	7:8	-1	8
9	Domagnano	6	2	1	3	9:10	-1	7
10	Cailungo	6	1	1	4	6:8	-2	4
11	San Giovanni	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
12	Murata	6	1	1	4	6:15	-9	4
13	Pennarossa	6	1	1	4	10:23	-13	4
14	Juvenes / Dogana	6	1	0	5	6:8	-2	3
15	Faetano	6	0	3	3	1:15	-14	3
16	San Marino Academy	6	0	2	4	1:14	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.28X30%3.04231%2.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.18 → 2.22 +1.8%X3.29 → 3.04 -7.6%22.88 → 3.02 +4.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Betano	2.10	1.60	10.1%
Best of all books	2.13	1.80	2.5%
Average	2.09	1.66	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.79	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Average	1.85	1.80	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tre Penne 45%Draw 45%Tre Fiori 10%

The statistical model rated Tre Penne at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tre Fiori at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.04 | 2.92, which imply roughly 43.9% for a Tre Penne win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campionato table: Tre Penne are 3rd (16 pts, 11-2 goals), Tre Fiori 4th (13 pts, 15-5).

Over their last five matches, Tre Penne averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Tre Fiori averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tre Penne or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.22	3.04	3.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.54	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.62	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
2.86	1.98	3.77

2nd half

1	X	2
2.58	2.25	3.42

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.65	14.2	34.7
HT X	5.37	4.70	6.63
HT 2	28.7	15.0	4.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	8.00	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	7.48
1.5	1.35	2.74
2.5	2.09	1.66
3.5	3.78	1.19
4.5	8.50	1.06
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.85
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.44	2.42
2	1.61	2.08
2.25	1.87	1.78
2.75	2.44	1.44
3	3.08	1.28
3.25	3.42	1.23
3.75	3.68	1.20
4	6.60	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.84	1.18
-1	3.34	1.24
-0.75	2.53	1.42
-0.25	1.88	1.82
0	1.55	2.23
+0.25	1.40	2.60

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.01
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.5	4.25	1.15
+0.75	1.18	3.85
+1	1.07	5.80
+1.5	1.04	6.75

Next Campionato matches

30 Oct

Cailungo – Juvenes / Dogana

All Campionato fixtures and the table

Latest Campionato results

25 Oct	Faetano 0-0 La Fiorita
25 Oct	Libertas 1-2 Folgore
24 Oct	Fiorentino 1-1 Cailungo
24 Oct	Murata 2-2 Domagnano
23 Oct	Pennarossa 2-2 San Giovanni
23 Oct	San Marino Academy 0-4 Cosmos