Virtus vs San Marino Academy• Campionato, San-Marino

#11.5:0.55-0FT11/100.3:1.3#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.12B365X9.52PIN222.0MARMargin at best4.3%Books6Markets45Rating80 · 20Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 07:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
William Hill	1.08	8.50	29.0	7.8%
Bet365	1.12	7.00	19.0	8.8%
Pinnacle	1.06	9.52	18.4	10.3%
Dafabet	1.08	7.80	20.0	10.4%
Betano	1.10	6.50	20.0	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.05	7.90	22.0	12.4%
Best of all books	1.12	9.52	22.0	4.3%
Average	1.08	7.87	21.4	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VirtusSan Marino Academy

Last 10#1Table position#152.67Points per game0.3315Form pts · last 521.5Goals for · last 50.30.5Goals against · last 51.386Attack rating1471Defence rating2983Form rating17100H2H rating0100Goals model080Overall rating20

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 16:00 UTC

Virtus

7W 1D 2L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

23 Oct	A	Juvenes / Dogana	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	San Marino Academy	5-0	W
18 Sep	A	Tre Fiori	3-2	W
12 Sep	H	Libertas	2-0	W
9 Sep	A	Murata	3-0	W
4 Sep	A	Fiorentino	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	La Fiorita	0-0	D
16 Jul	H	Dila	1-0	W
9 Jul	A	Dila	1-3	L
30 Jun	H	Vardar Skopje	2-3	L

San Marino Academy

0W 4D 6L · goals 2:18 · per match 0.2 for, 1.8 against

11 Oct	A	Virtus	0-5	L
19 Sep	A	Folgore	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Faetano	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	La Fiorita	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Fiorentino	0-2	L
25 Apr	H	Cailungo	1-1	D
19 Apr	A	Folgore	0-3	L
11 Apr	A	San Giovanni	0-1	L
7 Apr	H	Fiorentino	0-3	L
22 Mar	A	Juvenes / Dogana	0-0	D

Head to head

6Virtus wins

0draws

0San Marino Academy wins

6 meetings · goals 16:3 · last 6: 6W 0D 0L for Virtus

8 Feb 2026Campionato	Campionato	Virtus3-0San Marino Academy
4 Oct 2025Campionato	Campionato	San Marino Academy0-2Virtus
9 Mar 2025Campionato	Campionato	Virtus2-0San Marino Academy
9 Nov 2024Campionato	Campionato	San Marino Academy1-3Virtus
17 Feb 2024Campionato	Campionato	Virtus3-2San Marino Academy
22 Oct 2023Campionato	Campionato	San Marino Academy0-3Virtus

Campionato tableCampionatoupdated 25 Oct 14:41 UTC

In the Campionato table, Virtus sit 1st with 16 points from 6 games, while San Marino Academy are 15th with 2 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Virtus	6	5	1	0	12:2	+10	16
2	Tre Penne	6	5	1	0	11:2	+9	16
3	Folgore	5	5	0	0	15:2	+13	15
4	Tre Fiori	6	4	1	1	15:5	+10	13
5	Cosmos	6	4	1	1	14:4	+10	13
6	La Fiorita	5	2	3	0	7:3	+4	9
7	Fiorentino	6	2	2	2	11:6	+5	8
8	Libertas	5	2	2	1	6:6	0	8
9	Domagnano	6	2	1	3	9:10	-1	7
10	Cailungo	6	1	1	4	6:8	-2	4
11	San Giovanni	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
12	Murata	6	1	1	4	6:15	-9	4
13	Pennarossa	6	1	1	4	10:23	-13	4
14	Juvenes / Dogana	6	1	0	5	6:8	-2	3
15	San Marino Academy	6	0	2	4	1:14	-13	2
16	Faetano	5	0	2	3	1:15	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg186%1.06X10%9.3224%21.6

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.10 → 1.08 -1.8%X7.50 → 7.87 +4.9%223.0 → 21.4 -7.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.10	10.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.07	10.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.62	2.12	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	3.50	1.25	8.6%
Marathonbet	3.98	1.18	9.9%
Best of all books	3.98	1.25	5.1%
Average	3.74	1.21	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Virtus 50%Draw 50%San Marino Academy 0%

The statistical model rated Virtus at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and San Marino Academy at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.06 | 9.32 | 21.63, which imply roughly 94.3% for a Virtus win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Campionato table: Virtus are 1st (16 pts, 12-2 goals), San Marino Academy 15th (2 pts, 1-14).

Over their last five matches, Virtus averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; San Marino Academy averaged 0.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Virtus or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.08	7.87	21.4

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	5.58	1.07

Draw no bet

1	2
1.02	9.63

Both teams to score

Yes	No
3.74	1.21

1st half

1	X	2
1.43	2.74	18.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.12	12.4	7.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.62	2.12
3.5	2.54	1.42
4.5	4.45	1.14

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.27	3.12
2.25	1.44	2.45
2.75	1.77	1.90
3	1.99	1.68
3.25	2.26	1.52
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.80	1.19
4.25	4.10	1.16
5	7.60	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.29	1.51
-2.5	1.99	1.67
-2.25	1.84	1.86
-2	1.59	2.13
-1.75	1.44	2.47
-1.5	1.35	2.76

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	5.45	1.08
-3.5	3.28	1.25
-3.25	2.97	1.30
-3	2.79	1.35
-1.25	1.23	3.42
-1	1.10	5.05
-0.75	1.26	3.20
0	1.03	7.50

Latest Campionato results

25 Oct	Faetano 0-0 La Fiorita
25 Oct	Libertas 1-2 Folgore
24 Oct	Fiorentino 1-1 Cailungo
24 Oct	Murata 2-2 Domagnano
23 Oct	Tre Penne 0-0 Tre Fiori
23 Oct	Pennarossa 2-2 San Giovanni