Domagnano vs Tre Penne• Campionato, San-Marino

#91.8:1.50-2FT11/102.3:0.5#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.80DAFX4.00B36521.69PINMargin at best5.0%Books7Markets44Rating33 · 68Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 07:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.80	3.70	1.61	10.0%
1xBet	4.61	3.70	1.61	10.8%
Bet365	4.50	4.00	1.57	10.9%
Betano	4.45	3.55	1.65	11.2%
Marathonbet	4.50	3.70	1.59	12.1%
William Hill	4.40	3.30	1.67	12.9%
Pinnacle	3.80	3.36	1.69	15.2%
Best of all books	4.80	4.00	1.69	5.0%
Average	4.44	3.62	1.63	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DomagnanoTre Penne

Last 10#9Table position#21.17Points per game2.674Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 52.31.5Goals against · last 50.544Attack rating5625Defence rating7533Form rating6715H2H rating8549Goals model5133Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 16:00 UTC

Domagnano

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

24 Oct	A	Murata	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	Tre Penne	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	La Fiorita	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Tre Fiori	0-3	L
8 Sep	H	Faetano	3-1	W
4 Sep	H	San Giovanni	4-0	W
28 Aug	A	Cailungo	2-1	W
16 May	A	Tre Penne	1-3	L
12 May	H	Virtus	2-1	W
9 May	A	Virtus	1-2	L

Tre Penne

7W 2D 1L · goals 17:6 · per match 1.7 for, 0.6 against

23 Oct	H	Tre Fiori	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Domagnano	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Juvenes / Dogana	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Cailungo	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Juvenes / Dogana	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Cosmos	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	San Giovanni	3-2	W
16 May	H	Domagnano	3-1	W
12 May	H	La Fiorita	0-1	L
9 May	A	La Fiorita	1-1	D

Head to head

3Domagnano wins

4draws

15Tre Penne wins

22 meetings · goals 24:46 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Domagnano

16 May 2026Campionato	Campionato	Tre Penne3-1Domagnano
8 Mar 2026Campionato	Campionato	Domagnano1-2Tre Penne
8 Nov 2025Campionato	Campionato	Tre Penne0-0Domagnano
21 Oct 2025Coppa Titano	Coppa Titano	Domagnano2-2Tre Penne
23 Sep 2025Coppa Titano	Coppa Titano	Tre Penne3-0Domagnano
1 Feb 2025Campionato	Campionato	Tre Penne3-1Domagnano
29 Sep 2024Campionato	Campionato	Domagnano0-0Tre Penne
10 Mar 2024Campionato	Campionato	Tre Penne0-2Domagnano
25 Nov 2023Campionato	Campionato	Domagnano0-0Tre Penne
4 Feb 2023Campionato	Campionato	Domagnano1-2Tre Penne

Campionato tableCampionatoupdated 25 Oct 14:41 UTC

In the Campionato table, Domagnano sit 9th with 7 points from 6 games, while Tre Penne are 2nd with 16 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Virtus	6	5	1	0	12:2	+10	16
2	Tre Penne	6	5	1	0	11:2	+9	16
3	Folgore	5	5	0	0	15:2	+13	15
4	Tre Fiori	6	4	1	1	15:5	+10	13
5	Cosmos	6	4	1	1	14:4	+10	13
6	La Fiorita	5	2	3	0	7:3	+4	9
7	Fiorentino	6	2	2	2	11:6	+5	8
8	Libertas	5	2	2	1	6:6	0	8
9	Domagnano	6	2	1	3	9:10	-1	7
10	Cailungo	6	1	1	4	6:8	-2	4
11	San Giovanni	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
12	Murata	6	1	1	4	6:15	-9	4
13	Pennarossa	6	1	1	4	10:23	-13	4
14	Juvenes / Dogana	6	1	0	5	6:8	-2	3
15	San Marino Academy	6	0	2	4	1:14	-13	2
16	Faetano	5	0	2	3	1:15	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.28X25%3.57254%1.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.25 → 4.44 -15.4%X4.10 → 3.62 -11.7%21.48 → 1.63 +10.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.76	1.90	9.4%
Betano	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.76	2.05	5.6%
Average	1.75	1.94	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
Best of all books	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Average	1.74	1.93	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Domagnano 10%Draw 45%Tre Penne 45%

The statistical model rated Domagnano at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tre Penne at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.28 | 3.57 | 1.67, which imply roughly 28% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Campionato table: Domagnano are 9th (7 pts, 9-10 goals), Tre Penne 2nd (16 pts, 11-2).

Over their last five matches, Domagnano averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Tre Penne averaged 2.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Tre Penne.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.44	3.62	1.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.10	1.14	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
3.48	1.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
4.79	2.22	2.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.87	12.5	1.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.0
1.5	1.21	3.58
2.5	1.75	1.94
3.5	2.87	1.33
4.5	5.65	1.08
5.5	12.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.75	1.26	3.17
2	1.33	2.80
2.25	1.54	2.21
2.75	1.95	1.71
3	2.28	1.49
3.25	2.57	1.40
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.85	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.42	1.44
+0.5	2.01	1.65
+0.75	1.81	1.82
+1	1.64	2.09
+1.25	1.43	2.45
+1.5	1.34	2.75

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.10	1.03
-0.25	3.92	1.18
0	3.27	1.25
+1.75	1.26	3.28
+2	1.12	4.80
+2.5	1.08	5.70
+3	1.01	8.70
+3.5	1.02	9.15

Latest Campionato results

25 Oct	Faetano 0-0 La Fiorita
25 Oct	Libertas 1-2 Folgore
24 Oct	Fiorentino 1-1 Cailungo
24 Oct	Murata 2-2 Domagnano
23 Oct	Tre Penne 0-0 Tre Fiori
23 Oct	Pennarossa 2-2 San Giovanni