Napier City Rovers vs Ferrymead Bays• National League - National, New-Zealand

#62.4:2.400:00Tomorrow · Bluewater Stadium, Napier0.4:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.63DAFX4.50B36524.33BVCMargin at best6.7%Books8Markets55Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 18:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.63	4.40	4.20	7.9%
Pinnacle	1.62	4.37	4.21	8.4%
BetVictor	1.57	4.33	4.40	9.5%
1xBet	1.57	4.20	4.28	10.9%
Betano	1.62	4.05	4.05	11.1%
Bet365	1.55	4.50	4.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.55	4.20	4.20	12.1%
William Hill	1.62	3.80	4.00	13.0%
Best of all books	1.63	4.50	4.40	6.3%
Average	1.59	4.23	4.17	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Napier City RoversFerrymead Bays

Last 10#6Table position#91.67Points per game1.009Form pts · last 532.4Goals for · last 50.42.4Goals against · last 52.086Attack rating1445Defence rating5575Form rating250H2H rating081Goals model1972Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 21:00 UTC

Napier City Rovers

5W 1D 4L · goals 23:18 · per match 2.3 for, 1.8 against

8 Nov	A	Auckland FC 2	6-1	W
24 Oct	H	Wellington Phoenix II	3-1	W
18 Oct	A	Birkenhead United	0-2	L
11 Oct	H	Cashmere Technical	2-1	W
4 Oct	A	Auckland United	1-7	L
26 Sep	H	Miramar	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Cashmere Technical	1-2	L
26 Jul	A	Hibiscus Coast	5-2	W
4 Jul	A	Petone	4-0	W
30 Aug	A	Wellington Olympic	0-1	L

Ferrymead Bays

4W 1D 5L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

7 Nov	H	Wellington Phoenix II	1-0	W
1 Nov	A	Birkenhead United	0-2	L
23 Oct	H	Cashmere Technical	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Auckland United	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Miramar	1-4	L
3 Oct	A	Wellington Olympic	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Eastern Suburbs	0-0	D
24 Feb	A	Cashmere Technical	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Nomads United	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Wanaka	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Napier City Rovers and Ferrymead Bays on record.

National League - National tableFirst Division: Championship Groupupdated 14 Nov 05:10 UTC

In the National League - National table, Napier City Rovers sit 6th with 10 points from 6 games, while Ferrymead Bays are 9th with 7 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cashmere Technical	7	4	1	2	21:5	+16	13
2	Wellington Olympic	6	4	1	1	16:8	+8	13
3	Auckland City	7	3	4	0	15:8	+7	13
4	Birkenhead United	6	4	1	1	13:7	+6	13
5	Miramar	6	3	1	2	11:8	+3	10
6	Napier City Rovers	6	3	1	2	13:13	0	10
7	Auckland United	7	2	2	3	15:13	+2	8
8	Eastern Suburbs	6	2	1	3	7:13	-6	7
9	Ferrymead Bays	7	2	1	4	4:11	-7	7
10	Wellington Phoenix II	7	1	2	4	6:19	-13	5
11	Auckland FC 2	7	0	1	6	9:25	-16	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.59X21%4.24222%4.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.52 → 1.59 +4.6%X4.42 → 4.24 -4.1%24.62 → 4.15 -10.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Best of all books	1.36	3.00	6.9%
Average	1.32	2.99	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.36	2.80	9.2%
William Hill	1.36	2.75	9.9%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.73	10.2%
Best of all books	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Average	1.36	2.79	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Napier City Rovers 45%Draw 45%Ferrymead Bays 10%

The statistical model rates Napier City Rovers at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ferrymead Bays at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 4.24 | 4.15, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Napier City Rovers win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - National table: Napier City Rovers are 6th (10 pts, 13-13 goals), Ferrymead Bays 9th (7 pts, 4-11).

Over their last five matches, Napier City Rovers averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Ferrymead Bays averaged 0.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Napier City Rovers.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.59	4.23	4.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.12	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.36	2.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.02	2.59	4.25

2nd half

1	X	2
1.88	2.97	3.94

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.30	15.0	31.8
HT X	4.79	7.73	10.3
HT 2	17.6	15.3	6.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	24.5	2.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	22.0
1.5	1.06	6.77
2.5	1.32	2.99
3.5	1.85	1.84
4.5	2.92	1.32
5.5	5.23	1.10

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	12.0
1.75	1.06	6.15
2	1.08	5.65
2.25	1.19	3.81
2.75	1.40	2.66
3	1.48	2.40
3.25	1.67	2.04
3.75	2.05	1.66
4	2.37	1.49
4.25	2.65	1.40
4.75	3.42	1.23
5	4.50	1.13
5.25	4.80	1.12
6	8.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.43	1.47
-1.25	2.19	1.58
-1	1.94	1.77
-0.75	1.75	1.96
-0.5	1.61	2.14
-0.25	1.42	2.56

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.70	1.01
-3	8.00	1.02
-2.75	5.60	1.08
-2.5	4.40	1.14
-2.25	4.10	1.16
-2	3.45	1.26
-1.75	2.77	1.37
0	1.27	3.26
+0.25	1.20	3.72
+0.75	1.09	5.35
+1	1.02	8.10

Next National League - National matches

14 Nov

Cashmere Technical – Wellington Olympic

All National League - National fixtures and the table

Latest National League - National results

14 Nov	Wellington Phoenix II 1-1 Auckland City
7 Nov	Ferrymead Bays 1-0 Wellington Phoenix II
7 Nov	Wellington Olympic 4-2 Auckland United
1 Nov	Cashmere Technical 1-1 Auckland City
24 Oct	Napier City Rovers 5-2 Wellington Phoenix II
24 Oct	Auckland City 3-0 Auckland United