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Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II• National League - National, New-Zealand

#61.0:2.85-2FT24/100.3:4.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.21BTNX7.00BVC211.3MARMargin at best5.8%Books8Markets62Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 19:59 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.206.8010.08.0%
BetVictor1.177.0011.08.8%
Pinnacle1.206.719.009.3%
William Hill1.205.8010.010.6%
Betano1.215.908.7511.0%
Bet3651.206.009.0011.1%
Marathonbet1.146.3511.312.4%
1xBet1.146.4011.012.4%
Best of all books1.217.0011.35.8%
Average1.186.3710.010.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Napier City RoversWellington Phoenix II
Last 10#6Table position#101.67Points per game0.719Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 50.32.8Goals against · last 54.080Attack rating2052Defence rating4880Form rating2062H2H rating38100Goals model066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 21:00 UTC

Napier City Rovers

5W 1D 4L · goals 23:18 · per match 2.3 for, 1.8 against

8 NovAAuckland FC 26-1W
24 OctHWellington Phoenix II3-1W
18 OctABirkenhead United0-2L
11 OctHCashmere Technical2-1W
4 OctAAuckland United1-7L
26 SepHMiramar1-1D
16 AugACashmere Technical1-2L
26 JulAHibiscus Coast5-2W
4 JulAPetone4-0W
30 AugAWellington Olympic0-1L

Wellington Phoenix II

3W 1D 6L · goals 15:25 · per match 1.5 for, 2.5 against

7 NovAFerrymead Bays0-1L
31 OctHAuckland FC 23-2W
24 OctANapier City Rovers1-3L
10 OctHBirkenhead United0-1L
4 OctACashmere Technical0-10L
26 SepHAuckland United1-1D
7 DecAWest Suburbs7-2W
29 NovHBirkenhead United2-3L
22 NovAAuckland City0-2L
15 NovHCoastal Spirit1-0W

Head to head

7Napier City Rovers wins
2draws
3Wellington Phoenix II wins

12 meetings · goals 25:14 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Napier City Rovers

29 Jun 2025National League - CentralNational League - CentralNapier City Rovers1-1Wellington Phoenix II
1 Jun 2025Chatham CupChatham CupNapier City Rovers3-1Wellington Phoenix II
12 Apr 2025National League - CentralNational League - CentralWellington Phoenix II2-0Napier City Rovers
13 Oct 2024National League - NationalNational League - NationalNapier City Rovers1-1Wellington Phoenix II
14 Jul 2024National League - CentralNational League - CentralNapier City Rovers2-0Wellington Phoenix II
20 Apr 2024National League - CentralNational League - CentralWellington Phoenix II1-6Napier City Rovers
14 Oct 2023National League - NationalNational League - NationalWellington Phoenix II0-1Napier City Rovers
12 Aug 2023National League - CentralNational League - CentralWellington Phoenix II1-4Napier City Rovers
7 May 2023National League - CentralNational League - CentralNapier City Rovers2-3Wellington Phoenix II
1 Oct 2022National League - NationalNational League - NationalNapier City Rovers1-0Wellington Phoenix II

National League - National tableFirst Division: Championship Groupupdated 14 Nov 05:10 UTC

In the National League - National table, Napier City Rovers sit 6th with 10 points from 6 games, while Wellington Phoenix II are 10th with 5 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Cashmere Technical741221:5+1613
2Wellington Olympic641116:8+813
3Auckland City734015:8+713
4Birkenhead United641113:7+613
5Miramar631211:8+310
6Napier City Rovers631213:13010
7Auckland United722315:13+28
8Eastern Suburbs62137:13-67
9Ferrymead Bays72144:11-77
10Wellington Phoenix II71246:19-135
11Auckland FC 270169:25-161

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg177%1.18X14%6.3729%10.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

23 Oct 19:1024 Oct 23:001 1.18X 6.372 10.0
11.27 → 1.18 -7.1%X5.25 → 6.37 +21.3%27.50 → 10.0 +33.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.303.406.3%
BetVictor1.223.758.6%
1xBet1.223.4810.7%
Marathonbet1.223.4810.7%
Best of all books1.303.753.6%
Average1.243.539.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
William Hill1.602.159.0%
1xBet1.612.139.1%
Marathonbet1.612.0910.0%
Best of all books1.622.158.2%
Average1.612.139.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Napier City Rovers 45%Draw 45%Wellington Phoenix II 10%

The statistical model rated Napier City Rovers at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Wellington Phoenix II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.18 | 6.37 | 10.00, which imply roughly 84.7% for a Napier City Rovers win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - National table: Napier City Rovers are 6th (10 pts, 13-13 goals), Wellington Phoenix II 10th (5 pts, 6-19).

Over their last five matches, Napier City Rovers averaged 1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Wellington Phoenix II averaged 0.3 scored and 4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Napier City Rovers and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.186.3710.0

Double chance

1XX212
1.033.891.07

Draw no bet

12
1.067.88

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.612.13

1st half

1X2
1.533.027.82

2nd half

1X2
1.383.747.65

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.5921.356.8
HT X4.1310.921.8
HT 217.822.818.1

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2428.03.72

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0129.0
1.51.047.73
2.51.243.53
3.51.652.07
4.52.431.47
5.54.021.18
6.57.251.07
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0113.0
1.751.047.10
21.056.70
2.251.134.50
2.751.273.15
31.322.95
3.251.492.38
3.751.781.90
41.981.71
4.252.191.57
4.752.731.36
53.281.25
5.253.581.21
66.101.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.752.441.46
-2.52.171.58
-2.251.971.72
-21.781.91
-1.751.662.09
-1.51.562.28
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.56.101.06
-45.501.08
-3.754.201.15
-3.53.421.23
-3.253.171.27
-32.921.31
-1.251.372.73
-11.233.42
-0.751.183.83
-0.251.085.50
01.028.80
+0.251.056.55

Next National League - National matches

14 NovCashmere Technical – Wellington Olympic
15 NovNapier City Rovers – Ferrymead Bays

All National League - National fixtures and the table

Latest National League - National results

14 NovWellington Phoenix II 1-1 Auckland City
7 NovFerrymead Bays 1-0 Wellington Phoenix II
7 NovWellington Olympic 4-2 Auckland United
1 NovCashmere Technical 1-1 Auckland City
24 OctAuckland City 3-0 Auckland United
23 OctFerrymead Bays 0-2 Cashmere Technical