Atletico-MG vs Gremio• Copa Do Brasil, Brazil

0.8:0.821:00Today · Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta1.4:0.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX4.20PIN26.00BTNMargin at best2.2%Books10Markets89Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.62	4.20	6.00	2.2%
Pinnacle	1.58	4.20	5.88	4.1%
1xBet	1.59	4.14	5.46	5.4%
Dafabet	1.58	4.10	5.60	5.5%
Marathonbet	1.56	4.05	5.35	7.5%
Bet365	1.57	4.00	5.25	7.7%
Betfair	1.57	4.00	5.00	8.7%
BetVictor	1.53	3.80	5.50	9.9%
William Hill	1.57	3.80	5.00	10.0%
SBO	1.60	3.60	4.94	10.5%
Best of all books	1.62	4.20	6.00	2.2%
Average	1.58	3.99	5.40	7.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico-MGGremio

Last 100Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 50.436Attack rating6433Defence rating6742Form rating5820H2H rating8027Goals model7333Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:30 UTC

Atletico-MG

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

5 Nov	A	Botafogo	0-1	L
1 Nov	A	Gremio	0-2	L
29 Oct	H	Cruzeiro	0-1	L
26 Oct	A	Flamengo	2-3	L
21 Oct	A	Atletico Torque	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Coritiba	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Atletico Torque	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Santos	2-1	W
8 Oct	A	Atletico Paranaense	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	RB Bragantino	1-0	W

Gremio

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

4 Nov	A	Flamengo	1-3	L
1 Nov	H	Atletico-MG	2-0	W
30 Oct	H	Atletico Paranaense	2-0	W
26 Oct	A	Coritiba	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Cruzeiro	2-4	L
11 Oct	H	Internacional	1-1	D
7 Oct	A	Remo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Palmeiras	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	Botafogo	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	Vasco DA Gama	1-2	L

Head to head

11Atletico-MG wins

6draws

18Gremio wins

35 meetings · goals 43:53 · last 10: 4W 0D 6L for Atletico-MG

1 Nov 2026Copa Do Brasil	Copa Do Brasil	Gremio2-0Atletico-MG
16 Aug 2026Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG3-0Gremio
26 Feb 2026Serie A	Serie A	Gremio2-1Atletico-MG
17 Aug 2025Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG1-3Gremio
29 Mar 2025Serie A	Serie A	Gremio2-1Atletico-MG
9 Oct 2024Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG2-1Gremio
1 Sep 2024Serie A	Serie A	Gremio2-3Atletico-MG
26 Nov 2023Serie A	Serie A	Atletico-MG3-0Gremio
23 Jul 2023Serie A	Serie A	Gremio1-0Atletico-MG
10 Dec 2021Serie A	Serie A	Gremio4-3Atletico-MG

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.58X23%3.99217%5.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 1.58 -10.7%X3.75 → 3.99 +6.4%24.18 → 5.40 +29.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.89	1.98	3.4%
SBO	1.95	1.89	4.2%
Betano	1.88	1.93	5.0%
1xBet	1.86	1.94	5.3%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.91	7.0%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.98	1.8%
Average	1.87	1.92	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.90	1.83	7.3%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.86	1.84	8.1%
BetVictor	1.87	1.83	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.82	8.7%
Best of all books	2.00	1.91	2.4%
Average	1.89	1.85	7.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico-MG 10%Draw 45%Gremio 45%

The statistical model rates Atletico-MG at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gremio at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.58 | 3.99 | 5.40, which imply roughly 25.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Atletico-MG averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Gremio averaged 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gremio and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	3.99	5.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.31	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	3.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.10	2.28	5.40

2nd half

1	X	2
1.94	2.59	4.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.33	15.8	47.1
HT X	4.35	5.92	11.3
HT 2	22.2	16.5	9.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	11.8	2.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.3
1.5	1.26	3.62
2.5	1.87	1.92
3.5	3.17	1.33
4.5	6.20	1.10
5.5	12.0	1.03
6.5	22.5	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.78
1	1.02	9.95
1.25	1.13	4.67
1.75	1.30	3.06
2	1.42	2.76
2.25	1.64	2.18
2.75	2.09	1.70
3	2.46	1.51
3.25	2.70	1.39
3.75	3.60	1.21
4	5.20	1.12
4.25	5.15	1.10
5	9.70	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.60	1.47
-1.25	2.27	1.60
-1	1.98	1.82
-0.75	1.71	2.08
-0.5	1.57	2.39
-0.25	1.38	2.85

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.82	1.03
-3	8.98	1.01
-2.75	6.05	1.06
-2.5	4.92	1.14
-2.25	4.61	1.15
-2	4.28	1.20
-1.75	3.09	1.34
0	1.21	4.20
+0.25	1.16	4.41
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.07	6.60
+1	1.03	10.5
+1.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.06	7.90
3.5	1.16	4.85
4.5	1.34	3.10
5.5	1.65	2.13
6.5	2.10	1.67
7.5	2.85	1.39
8.5	3.95	1.22
9.5	5.50	1.12
10.5	7.60	1.07

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	12.5
5.5	1.03	9.75
6.5	1.06	7.10
7.5	1.15	4.53
8.5	1.31	3.09
9.5	1.56	2.29
10.5	1.91	1.82
11.5	2.48	1.48
12.5	3.28	1.27
13.5	4.58	1.15
14.5	6.18	1.08
15.5	7.50	1.07
16.5	9.50	1.04
17.5	11.3	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.42	2.76
9.75	1.46	2.38
10	1.77	2.02
10.25	1.62	2.08
10.75	1.82	1.84
11	2.28	1.60
11.25	2.07	1.67
11.75	2.34	1.50
12.25	2.69	1.37
12.75	3.08	1.28

Next Copa Do Brasil matches

8 Nov

Vasco DA Gama – Palmeiras

All Copa Do Brasil fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Do Brasil results

1 Nov	Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG
1 Nov	Palmeiras 1-0 Vasco DA Gama