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Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama• Copa Do Brasil, Brazil

2.4:0.81-0FT01/11 · Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo1.6:0.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70SBOX3.70B36526.52PINMargin at best1.2%Books10Markets87Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 16:19 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.703.705.902.8%
Pinnacle1.663.516.524.1%
Bet3651.673.705.754.3%
Dafabet1.703.605.405.1%
1xBet1.693.455.875.2%
Betfair1.623.506.007.0%
Marathonbet1.653.385.757.6%
BetVictor1.623.505.259.3%
William Hill1.623.505.0010.3%
SBO1.703.224.4012.6%
Best of all books1.703.706.521.2%
Average1.663.515.586.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
Last 1010Form pts · last 562.4Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 50.660Attack rating4043Defence rating5748Form rating5280H2H rating20100Goals model062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 01:40 UTC

Palmeiras

7W 2D 1L · goals 18:4 · per match 1.8 for, 0.4 against

5 NovHRemo6-1W
1 NovHVasco DA Gama1-0W
28 OctASantos0-0D
24 OctHRB Bragantino2-0W
22 OctHFluminense0-1L
17 OctAAtletico Paranaense2-0W
15 OctAFluminense2-1W
11 OctHCorinthians4-1W
9 OctHBahia1-0W
20 SepAGremio0-0D

Vasco DA Gama

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

4 NovAAtletico Paranaense3-1W
1 NovAPalmeiras0-1L
29 OctHFlamengo1-4L
24 OctHCorinthians3-2W
21 OctHBoca Juniors1-3L
18 OctASao Paulo0-1L
14 OctABoca Juniors1-0W
10 OctHRemo0-0D
7 OctABotafogo2-1W
19 SepHCoritiba5-0W

Head to head

13Palmeiras wins
8draws
4Vasco DA Gama wins

25 meetings · goals 35:18 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Palmeiras

1 Nov 2026Copa Do BrasilCopa Do BrasilPalmeiras1-0Vasco DA Gama
23 Aug 2026Serie ASerie APalmeiras4-1Vasco DA Gama
12 Mar 2026Serie ASerie AVasco DA Gama2-1Palmeiras
1 Oct 2025Serie ASerie APalmeiras3-0Vasco DA Gama
4 May 2025Serie ASerie AVasco DA Gama0-1Palmeiras
22 Sep 2024Serie ASerie AVasco DA Gama0-1Palmeiras
14 Jun 2024Serie ASerie APalmeiras2-0Vasco DA Gama
27 Aug 2023Serie ASerie APalmeiras1-0Vasco DA Gama
23 Apr 2023Serie ASerie AVasco DA Gama2-2Palmeiras
26 Jan 2021Serie ASerie APalmeiras1-1Vasco DA Gama

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.66X27%3.52217%5.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

31 Oct 01:001 Nov 16:501 1.66X 3.512 5.58
11.71 → 1.66 -2.9%X3.38 → 3.51 +3.8%25.13 → 5.58 +8.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano2.121.754.3%
Pinnacle2.101.764.4%
1xBet2.111.735.2%
SBO2.211.665.5%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Marathonbet2.081.706.9%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
BetVictor2.011.698.9%
Best of all books2.211.762.1%
Average2.091.716.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.981.786.7%
Bet3652.051.707.6%
William Hill2.001.737.8%
1xBet2.021.718.0%
Betfair1.851.858.1%
Marathonbet2.021.698.7%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Best of all books2.051.852.8%
Average1.991.747.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Palmeiras 45%Draw 45%Vasco DA Gama 10%

The statistical model rated Palmeiras at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vasco DA Gama at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.52 | 5.59, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Palmeiras win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Palmeiras averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Vasco DA Gama averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Palmeiras or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Palmeiras

3-4-2-1

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Goalkeeper

  • 1Carlos Miguel

Defence

  • 26Murilo
  • 15G. Gómez
  • 2A. Barboza

Midfield

  • 4A. Giay
  • 17Marlon Freitas
  • 30Lucas Evangelista
  • 22J. Piquerez
  • 18Maurício
  • 11J. Arias

Attack

  • 42J. López
Substitutes (12)
  • 3Bruno Fuchs
  • 8Andreas Pereira
  • 14Marcelo Lomba
  • 45Erick Machado
  • 32E. Martínez
  • 50Luis Felipe
  • 43Benedetti
  • 9Vitor Roque
  • 56Arthur
  • 12Khellven
  • 48Larson
  • 7Felipe Anderson

Vasco DA Gama

4-1-4-1

Coach: Pedro Emanuel

Goalkeeper

  • 1Léo Jardim

Defence

  • 96Paulo Henrique
  • 4A. Saldivia
  • 30Robert Renan
  • 6Lucas Piton

Midfield

  • 5S. Sosa
  • 28Adson
  • 22A. Lescano
  • 23Thiago Mendes
  • 9F. Colidio

Attack

  • 19Bruno Duarte
Substitutes (12)
  • 66Cuiabano
  • 83Ramon Rique
  • 2J. Rodríguez
  • 8Jair
  • 17Nuno Moreira
  • 55Gabriel Pereira
  • 18M. Hinestroza
  • 7David
  • 13Daniel Fuzato
  • 20Brenner
  • 3Tchê Tchê
  • 43Lucas Freitas

Match Statistics

PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
2.12Expected Goals0.19
547Passes accurate318
10Shots insidebox4
9Shots outsidebox2
5Blocked Shots1
7Free Kicks11
4Shots on Goal1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
10Shots off Goal4
1Offsides0
612Total passes382
19Total Shots6
2Yellow Cards2
10Corner Kicks3
0Red Cards1
12Fouls7
60%Ball Possession40%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.663.515.58

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.161.27

Draw no bet

12
1.223.95

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.991.74

1st half

1X2
2.232.105.73

2nd half

1X2
2.042.395.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5415.448.9
HT X4.284.8010.9
HT 225.716.39.76

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.557.683.11

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.27
1.51.343.11
2.52.091.71
3.53.701.25
4.57.581.07
5.515.01.02
6.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.066.35
11.085.88
1.251.193.75
1.751.422.67
21.582.32
2.251.841.92
2.752.361.55
32.971.37
3.253.131.30
3.754.271.15
46.481.08
4.256.151.06
512.41.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.911.39
-1.252.501.49
-12.211.65
-0.751.841.94
-0.51.662.21
-0.251.422.70
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.71.02
-311.21.02
-2.756.551.05
-2.55.911.11
-2.255.141.12
-25.021.15
-1.753.451.28
01.214.21
+0.251.164.77
+0.51.165.25
+0.751.066.87
+11.0112.4
+1.51.0212.7

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.049.50
2.51.135.50
3.51.303.30
4.51.622.22
5.52.121.67
6.52.951.37
7.54.251.20
8.56.101.10
9.58.501.05

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.5
5.51.058.50
6.51.076.33
7.51.184.13
8.51.362.86
9.51.642.14
10.52.051.69
11.52.671.40
12.53.651.22
13.55.201.12
14.57.251.06
15.59.251.04
16.511.31.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.251.263.20
8.751.362.73
91.472.52
9.251.512.32
9.751.692.04
101.881.87
10.251.871.79
10.752.131.59
112.521.48
11.252.431.44

Next Copa Do Brasil matches

7 NovAtletico-MG – Gremio
8 NovVasco DA Gama – Palmeiras

All Copa Do Brasil fixtures and the table

Latest Copa Do Brasil results

1 NovGremio 2-0 Atletico-MG