Larisa vs PAOK II• Super League 2, Greece

#42.0:0.31-0FT27/09 · AEL FC Arena, Larissa1.0:1.3#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53B365X4.00B36526.981XBMargin at best4.7%Books5Markets50Rating71 · 30Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.38	4.30	7.50	9.1%
Bet365	1.38	4.20	7.50	9.6%
1xBet	1.32	4.15	9.05	10.9%
Betfair	1.30	4.40	8.00	12.2%
Marathonbet	1.31	4.15	8.50	12.2%
Best of all books	1.38	4.40	9.05	6.2%
Average	1.34	4.24	8.11	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LarisaPAOK II

Last 10#4Table position#141.83Points per game0.838Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 51.00.3Goals against · last 51.367Attack rating3380Defence rating2064Form rating36100H2H rating0100Goals model071Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Larisa

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Marko	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Niki Volos	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	PAOK II	1-0	W
21 Sep	A	Pyrgos 1968	4-0	W
17 Sep	A	Kalamata	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Zakynthos	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Anagennisi Karditsas	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Olympiakos Piraeus	0-4	L
17 Aug	A	Kallithea	3-1	W
11 Aug	A	Trikala	4-0	W

PAOK II

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

12 Oct	A	Panionios	0-3	L
5 Oct	H	Ellas Syros	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Larisa	0-1	L
21 Sep	H	Nestos Chrisoupolis	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Panthrakikos	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Olympiakos Piraeus II	1-1	D
26 Apr	H	Makedonikos Neapolis	3-1	W
22 Apr	A	Kampaniakos Chalastra	2-1	W
18 Apr	H	Nestos Chrisoupolis	1-1	D
8 Apr	H	PAS Giannina	2-1	W

Head to head

5Larisa wins

1draws

2PAOK II wins

8 meetings · goals 10:7 · last 8: 5W 1D 2L for Larisa

25 Jan 2025Super League 2	Super League 2	Larisa2-1PAOK II
9 Nov 2024Super League 2	Super League 2	PAOK II0-1Larisa
21 Feb 2024Super League 2	Super League 2	PAOK II1-2Larisa
11 Nov 2023Super League 2	Super League 2	Larisa2-0PAOK II
31 Mar 2023Super League 2	Super League 2	Larisa3-2PAOK II
11 Nov 2022Super League 2	Super League 2	PAOK II1-0Larisa
27 Apr 2022Super League 2	Super League 2	PAOK II2-0Larisa
29 Jan 2022Super League 2	Super League 2	Larisa0-0PAOK II

Super League 2 tableRegular Seasonupdated 17 Oct 15:51 UTC

In the Super League 2 table, Larisa sit 4th with 11 points from 6 games, while PAOK II are 14th with 5 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Marko	7	6	1	0	12:5	+7	19
2	Kallithea	6	5	0	1	9:4	+5	15
3	Panionios	6	4	1	1	7:2	+5	13
4	Larisa	6	3	2	1	9:4	+5	11
5	Ellas Syros	7	2	4	1	9:4	+5	10
6	Panserraikos	6	3	1	2	9:6	+3	10
7	Panthrakikos	6	2	2	2	5:4	+1	8
8	Apollon Pontou	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8
9	Asteras Tripolis II	7	2	2	3	5:7	-2	8
10	Niki Volos	6	2	1	3	7:7	0	7
11	Anagennisi Karditsas	6	1	2	3	4:7	-3	5
12	Pyrgos 1968	6	1	2	3	2:6	-4	5
13	Olympiakos Piraeus II	6	1	2	3	7:12	-5	5
14	PAOK II	6	1	2	3	3:8	-5	5
15	Nestos Chrisoupolis	6	1	1	4	5:9	-4	4
16	Zakynthos	7	0	3	4	4:12	-8	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.44X23%3.89214%6.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.34 → 1.45 +8.2%X4.24 → 3.96 -6.6%28.11 → 6.33 -21.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.91	1.81	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.53	10.0%
Betano	2.18	1.53	11.2%
Best of all books	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Average	2.22	1.54	10.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Larisa 50%Draw 50%PAOK II 0%

The statistical model rated Larisa at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and PAOK II at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 3.89 | 6.48, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Larisa win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Super League 2 table: Larisa are 4th (11 pts, 9-4 goals), PAOK II 14th (5 pts, 3-8).

Over their last five matches, Larisa averaged 2 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; PAOK II averaged 1 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Larisa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.34	4.24	8.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.88	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.12	5.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.22	1.54

1st half

1	X	2
1.86	2.25	7.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.32	8.85	4.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.40
1.5	1.27	3.13
2.5	1.91	1.81
3.5	3.09	1.28
4.5	5.63	1.07

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.07
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.14	4.33
1.75	1.33	2.83
2	1.42	2.49
2.25	1.66	2.01
2.75	2.12	1.60
3	2.52	1.41
3.25	2.83	1.33
3.75	3.88	1.18
4	5.30	1.09
4.25	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.92	1.31
-1.75	2.34	1.49
-1.5	2.03	1.66
-1.25	1.81	1.88
-1	1.53	2.21
-0.75	1.40	2.56

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.20	1.03
-3.25	6.80	1.04
-3	6.40	1.05
-2.75	4.55	1.13
-2.5	3.58	1.21
-2.25	3.28	1.25
-0.25	1.18	3.88
0	1.05	6.65
+0.25	1.03	7.30