Larisa vs Panserraikos• Super League 2, Greece

#41.6:0.60-0FT18/10 · AEL FC Arena, Larissa1.8:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25B365X3.10B36523.25B365Margin at best7.5%Books3Markets50Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	2.25	3.10	3.25	7.5%
1xBet	2.23	2.96	3.10	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.21	2.96	3.02	12.1%
Best of all books	2.25	3.10	3.25	7.5%
Average	2.23	3.01	3.12	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LarisaPanserraikos

Last 10#4Table position#51.71Points per game1.578Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.80.6Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5363Defence rating3850Form rating5050H2H rating5077Goals model2357Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Larisa

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Marko	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Niki Volos	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	PAOK II	1-0	W
21 Sep	A	Pyrgos 1968	4-0	W
17 Sep	A	Kalamata	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Zakynthos	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Anagennisi Karditsas	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Olympiakos Piraeus	0-4	L
17 Aug	A	Kallithea	3-1	W
11 Aug	A	Trikala	4-0	W

Panserraikos

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:22 · per match 1.2 for, 2.2 against

10 Oct	H	Nestos Chrisoupolis	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Panthrakikos	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Olympiakos Piraeus II	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Kallithea	1-2	L
17 Sep	A	AEK Athens FC	1-8	L
13 Sep	H	Asteras Tripolis II	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Marko	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Atromitos	0-1	L
19 Aug	H	Panthrakikos	2-1	W
21 May	A	Atromitos	0-6	L

Head to head

6Larisa wins

2draws

7Panserraikos wins

15 meetings · goals 12:10 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Larisa

2 May 2026Super League 1	Super League 1	Panserraikos1-1Larisa
26 Apr 2026Super League 1	Super League 1	Larisa0-1Panserraikos
24 Jan 2026Super League 1	Super League 1	Larisa1-0Panserraikos
25 Oct 2025Super League 1	Super League 1	Panserraikos0-2Larisa
26 Sep 2024Cup	Cup	Larisa0-1Panserraikos
3 May 2023Super League 2	Super League 2	Larisa0-0Panserraikos
22 Dec 2022Super League 2	Super League 2	Panserraikos2-1Larisa
27 Feb 2022Super League 2	Super League 2	Panserraikos0-1Larisa
24 Nov 2021Super League 2	Super League 2	Larisa2-0Panserraikos
7 May 2016Football League	Football League	Larisa1-0Panserraikos

Super League 2 tableRegular Seasonupdated 19 Oct 13:40 UTC

In the Super League 2 table, Larisa sit 4th with 12 points from 7 games, while Panserraikos are 5th with 11 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Marko	7	6	1	0	12:5	+7	19
2	Kallithea	7	5	1	1	9:4	+5	16
3	Panionios	6	4	1	1	7:2	+5	13
4	Larisa	7	3	3	1	9:4	+5	12
5	Panserraikos	7	3	2	2	9:6	+3	11
6	Ellas Syros	7	2	4	1	9:4	+5	10
7	Panthrakikos	7	2	3	2	7:6	+1	9
8	Apollon Pontou	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8
9	Anagennisi Karditsas	7	2	2	3	5:7	-2	8
10	Asteras Tripolis II	7	2	2	3	5:7	-2	8
11	Niki Volos	6	2	1	3	7:7	0	7
12	Olympiakos Piraeus II	7	1	3	3	9:14	-5	6
13	Nestos Chrisoupolis	7	1	2	4	5:9	-4	5
14	PAOK II	6	1	2	3	3:8	-5	5
15	Pyrgos 1968	7	1	2	4	2:7	-5	5
16	Zakynthos	7	0	3	4	4:12	-8	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.23X30%3.01229%3.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.10 → 2.23 +6.2%X3.08 → 3.01 -2.3%23.40 → 3.12 -8.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
1xBet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.30	1.55	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
Best of all books	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Average	1.92	1.74	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Larisa 45%Draw 45%Panserraikos 10%

The statistical model rated Larisa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Panserraikos at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.01 | 3.12, which imply roughly 44.8% for a Larisa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League 2 table: Larisa are 4th (12 pts, 9-4 goals), Panserraikos 5th (11 pts, 9-6).

Over their last five matches, Larisa averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Panserraikos averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Larisa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.23	3.01	3.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.52	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
2.94	1.93	3.91

2nd half

1	X	2
2.62	2.22	3.52

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.61	15.7	38.7
HT X	5.27	4.35	6.83
HT 2	31.7	15.8	5.13

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	6.80	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.10
1.5	1.38	2.62
2.5	2.30	1.55
3.5	4.20	1.15
4.5	8.50	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.40
1	1.08	5.70
1.25	1.23	3.42
1.75	1.49	2.30
2	1.68	1.96
2.25	1.97	1.70
2.75	2.62	1.38
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.82	1.19
3.75	5.35	1.09
4	7.80	1.02
4.25	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.68	1.20
-0.75	2.62	1.38
-0.25	1.91	1.79
0	1.59	2.15
+0.25	1.40	2.56
+0.75	1.18	3.84

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.20	1.01
-2.25	8.30	1.01
-2	8.80	1.01
-1.75	6.10	1.06
-1.5	4.65	1.12
-1.25	4.15	1.16
+1	1.07	5.95
+1.25	1.05	6.50
+1.5	1.04	7.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.37	2.77
8	1.48	2.40
8.5	1.71	1.97
9	1.97	1.71
9.5	2.27	1.53
10	2.84	1.35

Latest Super League 2 results

19 Oct	PAOK II 2-1 Apollon Pontou
19 Oct	Niki Volos 1-1 Panionios
18 Oct	Nestos Chrisoupolis 0-0 Kallithea
18 Oct	Panthrakikos 2-2 Olympiakos Piraeus II
18 Oct	Pyrgos 1968 0-1 Anagennisi Karditsas
17 Oct	Marko 0-0 Ellas Syros