PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou• Super League 2, Greece

#140.4:1.42-1FTToday0.6:0.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95WHX3.29PIN24.00B365Margin at best6.7%Books5Markets55Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.95	3.25	4.00	7.1%
Pinnacle	1.84	3.32	3.83	10.6%
1xBet	1.86	3.18	3.89	10.9%
William Hill	1.91	3.00	3.80	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	3.18	3.78	12.2%
Best of all books	1.95	3.32	4.00	6.4%
Average	1.88	3.19	3.86	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PAOK IIApollon Pontou

Last 10#14Table position#80.83Points per game1.334Form pts · last 570.4Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 50.640Attack rating6030Defence rating7036Form rating6485H2H rating1558Goals model4255Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:11 UTC

PAOK II

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

12 Oct	A	Panionios	0-3	L
5 Oct	H	Ellas Syros	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Larisa	0-1	L
21 Sep	H	Nestos Chrisoupolis	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Panthrakikos	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Olympiakos Piraeus II	1-1	D
26 Apr	H	Makedonikos Neapolis	3-1	W
22 Apr	A	Kampaniakos Chalastra	2-1	W
18 Apr	H	Nestos Chrisoupolis	1-1	D
8 Apr	H	PAS Giannina	2-1	W

Apollon Pontou

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:8 · per match 1.0 for, 0.8 against

11 Oct	H	Pyrgos 1968	1-0	W
5 Oct	A	Zakynthos	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Anagennisi Karditsas	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Asteras Tripolis II	0-1	L
14 Sep	A	Panionios	0-1	L
7 Sep	A	Ellas Syros	2-2	D
19 Aug	A	Nestos Chrisoupolis	0-1	L
17 May	H	Panthrakikos	2-0	W
13 May	A	Elassona	0-0	D
10 May	H	Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou	3-2	W

Head to head

5PAOK II wins

1draws

0Apollon Pontou wins

6 meetings · goals 13:3 · last 6: 5W 1D 0L for PAOK II

18 Dec 2023Super League 2	Super League 2	Apollon Pontou0-1PAOK II
25 Sep 2023Super League 2	Super League 2	PAOK II4-0Apollon Pontou
5 Apr 2023Super League 2	Super League 2	PAOK II1-1Apollon Pontou
20 Nov 2022Super League 2	Super League 2	Apollon Pontou1-2PAOK II
6 Mar 2022Super League 2	Super League 2	PAOK II2-1Apollon Pontou
28 Nov 2021Super League 2	Super League 2	Apollon Pontou0-3PAOK II

Super League 2 tableRegular Seasonupdated 19 Oct 13:40 UTC

In the Super League 2 table, PAOK II sit 14th with 5 points from 6 games, while Apollon Pontou are 8th with 8 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Marko	7	6	1	0	12:5	+7	19
2	Kallithea	7	5	1	1	9:4	+5	16
3	Panionios	6	4	1	1	7:2	+5	13
4	Larisa	7	3	3	1	9:4	+5	12
5	Panserraikos	7	3	2	2	9:6	+3	11
6	Ellas Syros	7	2	4	1	9:4	+5	10
7	Panthrakikos	7	2	3	2	7:6	+1	9
8	Apollon Pontou	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8
9	Anagennisi Karditsas	7	2	2	3	5:7	-2	8
10	Asteras Tripolis II	7	2	2	3	5:7	-2	8
11	Niki Volos	6	2	1	3	7:7	0	7
12	Olympiakos Piraeus II	7	1	3	3	9:14	-5	6
13	Nestos Chrisoupolis	7	1	2	4	5:9	-4	5
14	PAOK II	6	1	2	3	3:8	-5	5
15	Pyrgos 1968	7	1	2	4	2:7	-5	5
16	Zakynthos	7	0	3	4	4:12	-8	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.93X29%3.17224%3.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.94 → 1.89 -2.6%X3.11 → 3.18 +2.3%23.77 → 3.83 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Pinnacle	2.23	1.60	7.3%
1xBet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Best of all books	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Average	2.22	1.59	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.96	1.73	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.70	9.8%
Best of all books	1.96	1.75	8.2%
Average	1.96	1.73	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

PAOK II 10%Draw 45%Apollon Pontou 45%

The statistical model rated PAOK II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Apollon Pontou at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.93 | 3.17 | 3.74, which imply roughly 31.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League 2 table: PAOK II are 14th (5 pts, 3-8 goals), Apollon Pontou 8th (8 pts, 5-5).

Over their last five matches, PAOK II averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Apollon Pontou averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Apollon Pontou and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.19	3.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.76	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.96	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
2.51	2.00	4.65

2nd half

1	X	2
2.29	2.25	4.23

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.97	16.0	42.3
HT X	4.62	4.62	8.27
HT 2	28.3	16.1	6.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	7.05	2.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.10
1.5	1.37	2.70
2.5	2.22	1.59
3.5	3.96	1.17
4.5	7.70	1.02
5.5	23.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.55
1	1.07	5.90
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.48	2.38
2	1.65	2.05
2.25	1.93	1.76
2.75	2.54	1.42
3	3.24	1.27
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	5.00	1.11
4	7.10	1.04
4.25	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.03	1.30
-1	2.65	1.39
-0.75	2.09	1.66
-0.5	1.88	1.90
-0.25	1.61	2.13
0	1.36	2.81

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.70	1.01
-2.5	7.40	1.03
-2.25	7.00	1.04
-2	6.60	1.05
-1.75	4.50	1.13
-1.5	3.50	1.22
+0.25	1.27	3.24
+0.5	1.29	3.26
+0.75	1.11	4.80
+1	1.02	7.70
+1.25	1.02	8.18
+1.5	1.01	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.42	2.59
8	1.55	2.24
8.5	1.79	1.87
9	2.11	1.62
9.5	2.43	1.47
10	3.10	1.30

Latest Super League 2 results

19 Oct	Niki Volos 1-1 Panionios
18 Oct	Nestos Chrisoupolis 0-0 Kallithea
18 Oct	Panthrakikos 2-2 Olympiakos Piraeus II
18 Oct	Pyrgos 1968 0-1 Anagennisi Karditsas
18 Oct	Larisa 0-0 Panserraikos
17 Oct	Marko 0-0 Ellas Syros