Lobos ULMX vs Deportiva Venados• Primera Premier, Mexico

#81.6:0.801:00Tomorrow2.0:1.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.95BTNX3.45DAF22.20WHMargin at best8.3%Books9Markets42Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 17:59 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.95	3.45	2.20	8.3%
Betano	2.95	3.40	2.20	8.8%
BetVictor	2.88	3.40	2.20	9.6%
Betfair	2.88	3.30	2.20	10.5%
1xBet	2.80	3.40	2.19	10.8%
William Hill	2.90	3.20	2.20	11.2%
Bet365	2.75	3.40	2.20	11.2%
Pinnacle	2.77	3.33	2.19	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.73	3.40	2.17	12.1%
Best of all books	2.95	3.45	2.20	8.3%
Average	2.85	3.36	2.19	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lobos ULMXDeportiva Venados

Last 10#8Table position#121.40Points per game1.2010Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.844Attack rating5669Defence rating3159Form rating4150H2H rating5059Goals model4155Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 19:00 UTC

Lobos ULMX

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

7 Nov	A	Inter Playa del Carmen	2-1	W
1 Nov	H	Chapulineros	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Montañeses	3-0	W
18 Oct	H	Cordobés	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	H2O Purepechas	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Tritons Vallarta	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Irapuato	0-3	L
19 Sep	A	Tigres de Alica	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Los Cabos United	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Zacatepec 1948	1-2	L

Deportiva Venados

3W 4D 3L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

7 Nov	H	Tritons Vallarta	1-1	D
1 Nov	A	Irapuato	1-2	L
24 Oct	H	Tigres de Alica	3-1	W
20 Oct	A	Tapachula	4-1	W
10 Oct	H	Pioneros de Cancún	1-4	L
3 Oct	A	Inter Playa del Carmen	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Celaya	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Racing de Veracruz	3-3	D
12 Sep	H	Jaguares de Chiapas	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Montañeses	1-1	D

Head to head

0Lobos ULMX wins

2draws

0Deportiva Venados wins

2 meetings · goals 1:1 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Lobos ULMX

13 Jan 2024Liga Premier Serie A	Liga Premier Serie A	Deportiva Venados0-0Lobos ULMX
12 Aug 2023Liga Premier Serie A	Liga Premier Serie A	Lobos ULMX1-1Deportiva Venados

Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 14 Nov 06:40 UTC

In the Primera Premier table, Lobos ULMX sit 8th with 14 points from 10 games, while Deportiva Venados are 12th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	10	10	0	0	23:6	+17	30
2	Racing de Veracruz	11	7	3	1	26:9	+17	24
3	Pioneros de Cancún	10	6	2	2	21:10	+11	20
4	Celaya	10	6	2	2	19:10	+9	20
5	Tigres de Alica	11	5	3	3	19:12	+7	18
6	Jaguares de Chiapas	10	4	3	3	12:12	0	15
7	Reboceros La Piedad	11	5	0	6	16:19	-3	15
8	Lobos ULMX	10	4	2	4	13:13	0	14
9	Zacatepec 1948	10	4	2	4	13:17	-4	14
10	Chapulineros	10	3	4	3	12:16	-4	13
11	Montañeses	11	4	1	6	16:21	-5	13
12	Deportiva Venados	10	3	3	4	19:19	0	12
13	Cordobés	10	3	2	5	10:14	-4	11
14	Los Cabos United	10	3	1	6	9:15	-6	10
15	H2O Purepechas	10	2	3	5	6:10	-4	9
16	Tritons Vallarta	10	1	4	5	8:12	-4	7
17	Inter Playa del Carmen	10	2	1	7	9:19	-10	7
18	Tapachula	10	2	0	8	11:28	-17	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.85X27%3.36241%2.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.70	2.02	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.02	8.7%
1xBet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
BetVictor	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.70	2.02	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.18	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Average	1.57	2.21	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lobos ULMX 45%Draw 45%Deportiva Venados 10%

The statistical model rates Lobos ULMX at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportiva Venados at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.85 | 3.36 | 2.19, which imply roughly 35.1% for a Lobos ULMX win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Premier table: Lobos ULMX are 8th (14 pts, 13-13 goals), Deportiva Venados 12th (12 pts, 19-19).

Over their last five matches, Lobos ULMX averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Deportiva Venados averaged 2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lobos ULMX or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.85	3.36	2.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.58	1.35	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.95	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.21

1st half

1	X	2
3.29	2.22	2.84

2nd half

1	X	2
3.12	2.52	2.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.66	14.5	22.7
HT X	6.80	5.53	5.67
HT 2	27.0	14.5	3.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.04	14.3	1.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.0
1.5	1.20	3.89
2.5	1.70	2.02
3.5	2.70	1.38
4.5	4.99	1.12
5.5	8.97	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.29	3.05
2.25	1.50	2.34
2.75	1.86	1.80
3	2.15	1.59
3.25	2.42	1.46
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.40	1.14
4.25	4.50	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.70	1.38
-0.25	2.30	1.55
0	2.08	1.64
+0.25	1.77	1.92
+0.5	1.61	2.16
+0.75	1.42	2.56

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.90	1.07
-1.25	5.20	1.13
-1	4.90	1.11
-0.75	3.34	1.24
+1	1.25	3.33
+1.25	1.18	3.86
+1.5	1.15	4.30
+2	1.01	8.60
+2.5	1.03	8.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.85	1.95
8.5	2.10	1.67

Next Primera Premier matches

15 Nov	Los Cabos United – Chapulineros
15 Nov	H2O Purepechas – Inter Playa del Carmen

All Primera Premier fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Premier results

14 Nov	Reboceros La Piedad 0-2 Racing de Veracruz
10 Nov	Chapulineros 1-1 Cordobés
8 Nov	Montañeses 2-1 Los Cabos United
8 Nov	Celaya 1-1 Tigres de Alica
7 Nov	Deportiva Venados 1-1 Tritons Vallarta
7 Nov	Inter Playa del Carmen 1-2 Lobos ULMX