RB Leipzig vs Manchester City• UEFA Champions League, World

#281.0:2.720:00Today · Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig3.0:1.7#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.631XBX5.031XB21.57DAFMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets103Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:19 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	5.63	5.03	1.56	1.7%
Betano	5.50	5.00	1.55	2.7%
Marathonbet	5.55	4.95	1.54	3.2%
Pinnacle	5.24	4.99	1.56	3.2%
Dafabet	5.00	4.80	1.57	4.5%
Bet365	5.00	4.75	1.55	5.6%
Betfair	5.00	4.75	1.55	5.6%
BetVictor	5.25	5.00	1.50	5.7%
William Hill	5.00	4.50	1.50	8.9%
SBO	4.62	4.35	1.47	12.7%
Best of all books	5.63	5.03	1.57	1.3%
Average	5.18	4.81	1.54	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RB LeipzigManchester City

Last 10#28Table position#121.00Points per game2.009Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 53.02.7Goals against · last 51.725Attack rating7538Defence rating6233Form rating6729H2H rating710Goals model031Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:03 UTC

RB Leipzig

6W 0D 4L · goals 23:17 · per match 2.3 for, 1.7 against

31 Oct	A	FC Schalke 04	2-0	W
27 Oct	A	Rot-Weiß Essen	2-1	W
24 Oct	H	SV Elversberg	4-0	W
21 Oct	A	Real Madrid	1-4	L
17 Oct	A	Bayern München	1-6	L
13 Oct	H	PSV Eindhoven	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	6-0	W
20 Sep	A	Bayer Leverkusen	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Hamburger SV	5-0	W
10 Sep	A	Como	1-4	L

Manchester City

6W 1D 3L · goals 27:15 · per match 2.7 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Brighton	0-1	L
28 Oct	H	Brighton	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Aston Villa	1-2	L
20 Oct	H	AEK Athens FC	5-1	W
17 Oct	H	Ipswich	3-2	W
14 Oct	H	Paris Saint Germain	2-4	L
11 Oct	A	Liverpool	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Sunderland	5-3	W
17 Sep	H	Norwich	5-0	W
13 Sep	A	Manchester United	1-0	W

Head to head

1RB Leipzig wins

1draws

4Manchester City wins

6 meetings · goals 9:21 · last 6: 1W 1D 4L for RB Leipzig

28 Nov 2023UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Manchester City3-2RB Leipzig
4 Oct 2023UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	RB Leipzig1-3Manchester City
14 Mar 2023UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Manchester City7-0RB Leipzig
22 Feb 2023UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	RB Leipzig1-1Manchester City
7 Dec 2021UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	RB Leipzig2-1Manchester City
15 Sep 2021UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Manchester City6-3RB Leipzig

UEFA Champions League tableLeague Phaseupdated 4 Nov 00:05 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, RB Leipzig sit 28th with 3 points from 3 games, while Manchester City are 12th with 6 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	20:5	+15	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	14:6	+8	9
3	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	12:6	+6	9
4	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	12:7	+5	9
5	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	10:5	+5	9
6	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	8:4	+4	9
7	Real Betis	3	3	0	0	7:4	+3	9
8	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	12:5	+7	8
9	Arsenal	3	2	1	0	6:2	+4	7
10	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	7:4	+3	7
11	Como	3	2	0	1	10:5	+5	6
12	Manchester City	3	2	0	1	9:5	+4	6
13	Club Brugge KV	3	2	0	1	9:6	+3	6
14	Inter	4	2	0	2	8:6	+2	6
15	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	10:9	+1	6
16	Borussia Dortmund	3	2	0	1	5:4	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	8:9	-1	6
19	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	10:8	+2	4
20	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	4:4	0	4
21	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
22	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
23	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	4:9	-5	4
24	Napoli	3	1	0	2	5:7	-2	3
25	Sabah FA	3	1	0	2	3:6	-3	3
26	Lens	3	1	0	2	3:7	-4	3
27	AEK Athens FC	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3
28	RB Leipzig	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3
29	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	8:14	-6	3
30	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	4:11	-7	3
31	Fenerbahçe	3	0	2	1	3:9	-6	2
32	Slavia Praha	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
33	Viking	3	0	1	2	5:9	-4	1
34	Lille	4	0	1	3	4:10	-6	1
35	FC Porto	3	0	0	3	2:6	-4	0
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	1:17	-16	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%5.18X20%4.81262%1.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.49 → 5.18 -5.6%X4.74 → 4.81 +1.5%21.50 → 1.54 +2.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.33	3.40	4.6%
Betano	1.35	3.25	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.31	3.46	5.2%
1xBet	1.33	3.24	6.1%
Betfair	1.29	3.40	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.30	3.16	8.6%
BetVictor	1.31	3.05	9.1%
Best of all books	1.35	3.46	3.0%
Average	1.32	3.28	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	3.00	4.8%
William Hill	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Betano	1.44	2.67	6.9%
1xBet	1.40	2.77	7.5%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.72	8.2%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Best of all books	1.44	3.00	2.8%
Average	1.40	2.81	7.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

RB Leipzig 0%Draw 50%Manchester City 50%

The statistical model rates RB Leipzig at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Manchester City at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.18 | 4.81 | 1.54, which imply roughly 20.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: RB Leipzig are 28th (3 pts, 3-8 goals), Manchester City 12th (6 pts, 9-5).

Over their last five matches, RB Leipzig averaged 1 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game; Manchester City averaged 3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Manchester City and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.18	4.81	1.54

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.47	1.16	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
3.95	1.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.81

1st half

1	X	2
4.63	2.72	1.97

2nd half

1	X	2
4.55	3.14	1.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.57	15.9	17.3
HT X	12.5	8.49	4.81
HT 2	35.8	15.2	2.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.66	29.0	1.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.4
1.5	1.07	7.26
2.5	1.32	3.28
3.5	1.83	2.00
4.5	2.79	1.42
5.5	4.82	1.16
6.5	8.64	1.06
7.5	13.1	1.02
8.5	19.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.06	6.65
2	1.09	6.18
2.25	1.19	4.14
2.75	1.37	2.96
3	1.46	2.67
3.25	1.65	2.24
3.75	2.00	1.79
4	2.30	1.61
4.25	2.51	1.49
4.75	3.26	1.29
5	4.22	1.19
5.25	4.44	1.15
6	8.20	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.50	1.51
+0.75	2.27	1.62
+1	2.03	1.81
+1.25	1.78	2.04
+1.5	1.62	2.26
+1.75	1.47	2.60

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.6	1.04
-1	10.4	1.02
-0.75	6.67	1.08
-0.5	5.00	1.17
-0.25	4.44	1.18
0	4.14	1.21
+0.25	3.05	1.35
+2	1.32	3.25
+2.25	1.26	3.48
+2.5	1.23	3.80
+2.75	1.15	4.64
+3	1.09	6.42
+3.25	1.10	6.80
+3.5	1.05	7.21

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.50
1.5	1.23	3.95
2.5	1.61	2.23
3.5	2.25	1.61
4.5	3.55	1.27
5.5	5.60	1.12
6.5	8.25	1.05
7.5	11.0	1.02
8.5	13.0	1.01

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.24	3.81
3	1.96	1.84
4	3.41	1.29

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	12.1
5.5	1.04	8.13
6.5	1.11	5.09
7.5	1.24	3.42
8.5	1.46	2.50
9.5	1.79	1.95
10.5	2.28	1.56
11.5	3.03	1.32
12.5	4.09	1.18
13.5	5.65	1.09
14.5	7.37	1.05
15.5	11.4	1.02
16.5	11.5	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.60
7	1.11	4.19
7.75	1.25	3.28
8	1.25	2.95
8.25	1.36	2.72
8.75	1.49	2.32
9	1.58	2.23
9.25	1.68	2.00
9.75	1.90	1.77
10	2.02	1.78
10.25	2.16	1.58
10.75	2.46	1.44
11	2.50	1.41
11.25	2.88	1.32
12	3.20	1.21
13	4.25	1.11
14	5.42	1.05

Next UEFA Champions League matches

4 Nov	Fenerbahçe – Liverpool
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4 Nov	Lens – Como
4 Nov	PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KV

All UEFA Champions League fixtures and the table

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