Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München• UEFA Champions League, World

#161.3:1.020:00Tomorrow · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid3.3:1.7#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.671XBX4.00B36522.561XBMargin at best1.5%Books10Markets73Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.67	4.00	2.56	1.5%
Pinnacle	2.63	3.87	2.55	3.1%
Marathonbet	2.63	3.94	2.52	3.1%
Betfair	2.63	3.90	2.50	3.7%
Dafabet	2.60	3.90	2.50	4.1%
Bet365	2.55	4.00	2.45	5.0%
Betano	2.52	3.85	2.52	5.3%
BetVictor	2.50	3.90	2.50	5.6%
William Hill	2.50	3.75	2.40	8.3%
SBO	2.60	3.52	2.16	13.2%
Best of all books	2.67	4.00	2.56	1.5%
Average	2.58	3.86	2.47	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico MadridBayern München

Last 10#16Table position#141.33Points per game1.6713Form pts · last 5111.3Goals for · last 53.31.0Goals against · last 51.729Attack rating7163Defence rating3844Form rating5629H2H rating71100Goals model038Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 16:11 UTC

Atletico Madrid

8W 1D 1L · goals 19:5 · per match 1.9 for, 0.5 against

31 Oct	A	Levante	2-0	W
24 Oct	H	Deportivo La Coruna	1-0	W
20 Oct	A	VfB Stuttgart	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Espanyol	1-0	W
13 Oct	H	Manchester United	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Alaves	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Real Madrid	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	Osasuna	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Real Sociedad	3-0	W
9 Sep	A	Liverpool	1-2	L

Bayern München

6W 4D 0L · goals 38:13 · per match 3.8 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	Borussia Dortmund	2-2	D
28 Oct	H	1. FC Magdeburg	6-1	W
25 Oct	A	SC Freiburg	3-1	W
21 Oct	H	Arsenal	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	RB Leipzig	6-1	W
13 Oct	A	Viking	3-3	D
10 Oct	A	FC Augsburg	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Union Berlin	7-0	W
13 Sep	A	SV Elversberg	2-1	W
10 Sep	H	Bodo/Glimt	5-0	W

Head to head

2Atletico Madrid wins

1draws

3Bayern München wins

6 meetings · goals 4:8 · last 6: 2W 1D 3L for Atletico Madrid

1 Dec 2020UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Atletico Madrid1-1Bayern Munich
21 Oct 2020UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Bayern Munich4-0Atletico Madrid
6 Dec 2016UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Bayern Munich1-0Atletico Madrid
28 Sep 2016UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Atletico Madrid1-0Bayern Munich
3 May 2016UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Bayern Munich2-1Atletico Madrid
27 Apr 2016UEFA Champions League	UEFA Champions League	Atletico Madrid1-0Bayern Munich

UEFA Champions League tableLeague Phaseupdated 2 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, Atletico Madrid sit 16th with 4 points from 3 games, while Bayern München are 14th with 5 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	3	3	0	0	14:5	+9	9
2	Aston Villa	3	3	0	0	12:3	+9	9
3	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	12:7	+5	9
4	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	10:5	+5	9
5	Real Betis	3	3	0	0	7:4	+3	9
6	VfB Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	7:2	+5	7
7	Arsenal	3	2	1	0	6:2	+4	7
8	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	11:6	+5	6
9	Como	3	2	0	1	10:5	+5	6
10	Manchester City	3	2	0	1	9:5	+4	6
11	Club Brugge KV	3	2	0	1	9:6	+3	6
12	Sporting CP	3	2	0	1	7:4	+3	6
13	Borussia Dortmund	3	2	0	1	5:4	+1	6
14	Bayern München	3	1	2	0	10:5	+5	5
15	AS Roma	3	1	1	1	8:5	+3	4
16	Atletico Madrid	3	1	1	1	4:3	+1	4
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	3	1	1	1	4:3	+1	4
18	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
19	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	8:8	0	3
20	Inter	3	1	0	2	5:6	-1	3
21	Manchester United	3	1	0	2	5:6	-1	3
22	Napoli	3	1	0	2	5:7	-2	3
23	Galatasaray	3	1	0	2	6:9	-3	3
24	Lask Linz	3	1	0	2	6:9	-3	3
25	Sabah FA	3	1	0	2	3:6	-3	3
26	Feyenoord	3	1	0	2	4:8	-4	3
27	Lens	3	1	0	2	3:7	-4	3
28	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	0	2	4:9	-5	3
29	AEK Athens FC	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3
30	RB Leipzig	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3
31	Fenerbahçe	3	0	2	1	3:9	-6	2
32	Slavia Praha	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
33	Viking	3	0	1	2	5:9	-4	1
34	FC Porto	3	0	0	3	2:6	-4	0
35	Lille	3	0	0	3	4:10	-6	0
36	Slovan Bratislava	3	0	0	3	1:13	-12	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.58X25%3.86239%2.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.24 → 2.58 -20.4%X4.01 → 3.86 -3.7%21.99 → 2.47 +24.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.47	2.80	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.46	2.80	4.2%
1xBet	1.44	2.76	5.7%
Bet365	1.44	2.75	5.8%
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.66	8.5%
BetVictor	1.42	2.59	9.0%
Best of all books	1.47	2.80	3.7%
Average	1.43	2.74	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Betano	1.39	2.85	7.0%
William Hill	1.40	2.80	7.1%
1xBet	1.37	2.89	7.6%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.84	8.2%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Best of all books	1.40	2.89	6.0%
Average	1.38	2.84	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Madrid 10%Draw 45%Bayern München 45%

The statistical model rates Atletico Madrid at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bayern München at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.58 | 3.86 | 2.47, which imply roughly 25.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: Atletico Madrid are 16th (4 pts, 4-3 goals), Bayern München 14th (5 pts, 10-5).

Over their last five matches, Atletico Madrid averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Bayern München averaged 3.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Bayern München.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.58	3.86	2.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.55	1.48	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.93	1.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.38	2.84

1st half

1	X	2
3.01	2.48	2.82

2nd half

1	X	2
2.78	2.84	2.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.08	13.2	21.8
HT X	6.74	6.81	6.45
HT 2	22.5	13.3	3.74

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.93	21.5	1.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.2
1.5	1.11	5.81
2.5	1.43	2.74
3.5	2.10	1.75
4.5	3.39	1.30
5.5	6.25	1.10
6.5	11.0	1.03
7.5	15.8	1.02
8.5	26.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.11	5.15
2	1.15	4.77
2.25	1.30	3.32
2.75	1.52	2.45
3	1.66	2.21
3.25	1.90	1.93
3.75	2.35	1.58
4	2.82	1.43
4.25	3.07	1.35
4.75	4.04	1.20
5	5.29	1.12
5.25	5.50	1.10
6	9.03	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.48	1.53
-0.25	2.23	1.66
0	1.95	1.89
+0.25	1.71	2.13
+0.5	1.61	2.36
+0.75	1.40	2.86

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.02
-2	8.40	1.03
-1.75	5.87	1.10
-1.5	4.71	1.16
-1.25	4.25	1.20
-1	3.90	1.24
-0.75	2.97	1.38
+1	1.28	3.61
+1.25	1.23	3.93
+1.5	1.22	4.05
+1.75	1.12	5.59
+2	1.06	7.50
+2.25	1.14	5.75
+2.5	1.05	7.98
+3	1.02	9.95
+3.5	1.01	12.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.8
1.5	1.12	5.60
2.5	1.31	3.30
3.5	1.76	2.06
4.5	2.31	1.58
5.5	3.65	1.25
6.5	5.50	1.12
7.5	8.00	1.06
8.5	10.5	1.03

2 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.39	2.90
4	2.13	1.69

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.43	2.54
9	1.56	2.21
9.5	1.79	1.87
10	2.08	1.64
10.5	2.38	1.49
11	2.97	1.32

Next UEFA Champions League matches

3 Nov	Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP
3 Nov	Galatasaray – VfB Stuttgart
3 Nov	Bodo/Glimt – Lille
3 Nov	Barcelona – Aston Villa
3 Nov	Manchester United – AS Roma
3 Nov	Lask Linz – Slovan Bratislava

All UEFA Champions League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Champions League results

21 Oct	Aston Villa 3-1 Viking
21 Oct	Real Betis 1-0 Feyenoord
21 Oct	Sporting CP 2-3 Lask Linz
21 Oct	Bayern München 2-2 Arsenal
21 Oct	Club Brugge KV 3-0 Lens
21 Oct	Real Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig