AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid• UEFA Champions League, World

#271.4:1.617:45Today · Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia3.3:1.7#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

114.0BTNX8.00BFR21.261XBMargin4.9%Books10Markets111Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 04:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	11.4	7.42	1.26	1.6%
Betano	14.0	7.30	1.23	2.1%
Marathonbet	11.3	7.30	1.24	3.2%
Pinnacle	12.3	7.88	1.20	4.2%
Dafabet	11.0	7.60	1.22	4.2%
Betfair	13.0	8.00	1.18	4.9%
Bet365	11.0	7.50	1.20	5.8%
BetVictor	13.0	7.50	1.18	5.8%
William Hill	10.0	6.50	1.22	7.4%
SBO	8.87	6.18	1.18	12.2%
Best of all books	14.0	8.00	1.26	-1.0%
Average	11.6	7.32	1.21	4.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AEK Athens FCReal Madrid

Last 10#27Table position#51.00Points per game3.003Form pts · last 5151.4Goals for · last 53.31.6Goals against · last 51.741Attack rating5938Defence rating6244Form rating560H2H rating0100Goals model041Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 20:40 UTC

AEK Athens FC

5W 1D 4L · goals 23:16 · per match 2.3 for, 1.6 against

1 Nov	A	Panathinaikos	0-2	L
28 Oct	A	PAOK	1-3	L
24 Oct	H	Panetolikos	5-0	W
20 Oct	A	Manchester City	1-5	L
14 Oct	A	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	OFI	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Volos NFC	2-1	W
17 Sep	H	Panserraikos	8-1	W
13 Sep	A	Asteras Tripolis	1-1	D
8 Sep	H	Lask Linz	1-0	W

Real Madrid

9W 0D 1L · goals 28:12 · per match 2.8 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	A	Racing Santander	3-0	W
25 Oct	A	Barcelona	2-1	W
21 Oct	H	RB Leipzig	4-1	W
18 Oct	H	Sevilla	4-1	W
14 Oct	A	AS Roma	4-3	W
10 Oct	H	Villarreal	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Atletico Madrid	1-2	L
15 Sep	A	Elche	3-2	W
12 Sep	H	Rayo Vallecano	4-1	W
8 Sep	H	Inter	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between AEK Athens FC and Real Madrid on record.

UEFA Champions League tableLeague Phaseupdated 4 Nov 00:05 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, AEK Athens FC sit 27th with 3 points from 3 games, while Real Madrid are 5th with 9 points from 3.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	20:5	+15	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	14:6	+8	9
3	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	12:6	+6	9
4	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	12:7	+5	9
5	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	10:5	+5	9
6	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	8:4	+4	9
7	Real Betis	3	3	0	0	7:4	+3	9
8	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	12:5	+7	8
9	Arsenal	3	2	1	0	6:2	+4	7
10	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	7:4	+3	7
11	Como	3	2	0	1	10:5	+5	6
12	Manchester City	3	2	0	1	9:5	+4	6
13	Club Brugge KV	3	2	0	1	9:6	+3	6
14	Inter	4	2	0	2	8:6	+2	6
15	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	10:9	+1	6
16	Borussia Dortmund	3	2	0	1	5:4	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	8:9	-1	6
19	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	10:8	+2	4
20	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	4:4	0	4
21	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
22	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
23	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	4:9	-5	4
24	Napoli	3	1	0	2	5:7	-2	3
25	Sabah FA	3	1	0	2	3:6	-3	3
26	Lens	3	1	0	2	3:7	-4	3
27	AEK Athens FC	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3
28	RB Leipzig	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3
29	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	8:14	-6	3
30	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	4:11	-7	3
31	Fenerbahçe	3	0	2	1	3:9	-6	2
32	Slavia Praha	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
33	Viking	3	0	1	2	5:9	-4	1
34	Lille	4	0	1	3	4:10	-6	1
35	FC Porto	3	0	0	3	2:6	-4	0
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	1:17	-16	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg18%11.6X13%7.32279%1.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18.35 → 11.6 +38.7%X6.07 → 7.32 +20.6%21.29 → 1.21 -6.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.28	3.75	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.28	3.71	5.1%
Betano	1.30	3.55	5.1%
1xBet	1.29	3.54	5.8%
Betfair	1.25	3.70	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.27	3.48	7.5%
BetVictor	1.25	3.60	7.8%
Best of all books	1.30	3.75	3.6%
Average	1.27	3.62	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Betano	1.67	2.12	7.1%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.64	2.15	7.5%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.12	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Best of all books	1.75	2.20	2.6%
Average	1.66	2.13	7.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AEK Athens FC 10%Draw 45%Real Madrid 45%

The statistical model rates AEK Athens FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Madrid at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 11.58 | 7.32 | 1.21, which imply roughly 13.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: AEK Athens FC are 27th (3 pts, 3-8 goals), Real Madrid 5th (9 pts, 10-5).

Over their last five matches, AEK Athens FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Real Madrid averaged 3.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real Madrid and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
11.6	7.32	1.21

Double chance

1X	X2	12
4.25	1.05	1.10

Draw no bet

1	2
8.76	1.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
8.05	3.19	1.54

2nd half

1	X	2
7.62	3.66	1.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	18.2	22.9	17.9
HT X	23.4	11.6	4.37
HT 2	59.7	21.0	1.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.65	33.5	1.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	20.4
1.5	1.06	7.82
2.5	1.27	3.62
3.5	1.73	2.13
4.5	2.59	1.48
5.5	4.31	1.20
6.5	7.98	1.07
7.5	11.9	1.03
8.5	17.1	1.02
9.5	31.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.06	6.88
2	1.08	6.61
2.25	1.17	4.46
2.75	1.32	3.23
3	1.40	2.94
3.25	1.56	2.39
3.75	1.91	1.91
4	2.13	1.72
4.25	2.34	1.57
4.75	2.95	1.36
5	3.61	1.25
5.25	3.88	1.21
6	6.51	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.5	2.42	1.57
+1.75	2.17	1.70
+2	1.94	1.88
+2.25	1.72	2.11
+2.5	1.59	2.30
+2.75	1.44	2.66

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	13.0	1.01
0	7.07	1.07
+0.25	5.62	1.12
+0.5	4.50	1.19
+0.75	3.85	1.24
+1	3.68	1.26
+1.25	2.82	1.41
+3	1.30	3.31
+3.25	1.26	3.49
+3.5	1.24	3.69
+3.75	1.15	4.58
+4	1.09	6.11
+4.5	1.06	6.51

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.25
1.5	1.18	4.40
2.5	1.50	2.53
3.5	2.04	1.73
4.5	2.72	1.47
5.5	5.00	1.15
6.5	7.60	1.07
7.5	10.5	1.03
8.5	12.5	1.01

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.18	4.57
3	1.76	2.07
4	2.94	1.38

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.02	11.8
5.5	1.05	7.27
6.5	1.12	4.88
7.5	1.27	3.27
8.5	1.51	2.38
9.5	1.87	1.88
10.5	2.38	1.51
11.5	3.15	1.29
12.5	4.34	1.16
13.5	6.04	1.08
14.5	8.63	1.04
15.5	11.6	1.02
16.5	12.0	1.02
17.5	14.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.57
7	1.13	4.02
7.75	1.27	3.14
8	1.28	2.83
8.25	1.39	2.64
8.75	1.55	2.26
9	1.63	2.18
9.25	1.76	2.00
9.75	1.96	1.75
10	2.05	1.70
10.25	2.23	1.55
10.75	2.56	1.41
11	2.62	1.37
11.25	2.97	1.30
12	3.37	1.19
13	4.45	1.10
14	5.60	1.04

Next UEFA Champions League matches

4 Nov	Fenerbahçe – Liverpool
4 Nov	Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis
4 Nov	FC Porto – Napoli
4 Nov	Lens – Como
4 Nov	PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KV
4 Nov	RB Leipzig – Manchester City

All UEFA Champions League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Champions League results

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3 Nov	Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint Germain
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3 Nov	Atletico Madrid 0-2 Bayern München