Sporting CP vs Lask Linz• UEFA Champions League, World

#82.5:0.52-3FTToday · Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon2.0:2.8#33

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.37BTNX6.47SBO29.251XBMargin4.8%Books10Markets112Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 16:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.34	6.19	9.25	1.6%
Betano	1.37	5.70	8.25	2.7%
Dafabet	1.34	6.00	7.80	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.31	5.95	8.90	4.4%
Pinnacle	1.32	5.91	8.53	4.4%
BetVictor	1.30	6.00	8.50	5.4%
William Hill	1.29	6.00	8.50	6.0%
Bet365	1.33	5.25	8.50	6.0%
Betfair	1.30	6.00	8.00	6.1%
SBO	1.24	6.47	9.06	7.1%
Best of all books	1.37	6.47	9.25	-0.7%
Average	1.31	5.95	8.53	4.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting CPLask Linz

Last 10#8Table position#333.00Points per game0.0011Form pts · last 572.5Goals for · last 52.00.5Goals against · last 52.838Attack rating6292Defence rating867Form rating3333H2H rating67100Goals model051Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

Sporting CP

7W 3D 0L · goals 25:10 · per match 2.5 for, 1.0 against

13 Oct	A	Lens	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	SC Braga	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Arouca	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Famalicao	1-1	D
9 Sep	H	Galatasaray	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Nacional	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Rio Ave	4-0	W
22 Aug	H	Alverca	3-1	W
14 Aug	H	Vitória SC	3-2	W
8 Aug	A	Estrela	2-2	D

Lask Linz

5W 1D 4L · goals 25:17 · per match 2.5 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Austria Lustenau	4-0	W
14 Oct	H	Liverpool	3-6	L
11 Oct	H	Rapid Vienna	0-2	L
2 Oct	H	First Vienna	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	TSV Hartberg	3-3	D
13 Sep	A	Sturm Graz	1-2	L
8 Sep	A	AEK Athens FC	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Deutschlandsberger SC	6-1	W
1 Sep	A	Wolfsberger AC	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	SCR Altach	3-0	W

Head to head

1Sporting CP wins

0draws

2Lask Linz wins

3 meetings · goals 3:8 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Sporting CP

1 Oct 2020UEFA Europa League	UEFA Europa League	Sporting CP1-4Lask Linz
12 Dec 2019UEFA Europa League	UEFA Europa League	Lask Linz3-0Sporting CP
3 Oct 2019UEFA Europa League	UEFA Europa League	Sporting CP2-1Lask Linz

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 21 Oct 20:50 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, Sporting CP sit 8th with 6 points from 2 games, while Lask Linz are 33rd with 0 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	3	3	0	0	14:5	+9	9
2	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	12:7	+5	9
3	VfB Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	7:2	+5	7
4	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	9:2	+7	6
5	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	11:6	+5	6
6	Como	3	2	0	1	10:5	+5	6
7	Manchester City	3	2	0	1	9:5	+4	6
8	Sporting CP	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6
9	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	+4	6
10	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	6:4	+2	6
11	Real Betis	2	2	0	0	6:4	+2	6
12	Borussia Dortmund	3	2	0	1	5:4	+1	6
13	Bayern München	2	1	1	0	8:3	+5	4
14	AS Roma	3	1	1	1	8:5	+3	4
15	Shakhtar Donetsk	2	1	1	0	4:2	+2	4
16	Atletico Madrid	3	1	1	1	4:3	+1	4
17	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	2:2	0	4
18	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	8:8	0	3
19	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
20	Manchester United	3	1	0	2	5:6	-1	3
21	Lens	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
22	Napoli	3	1	0	2	5:7	-2	3
23	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
24	Galatasaray	3	1	0	2	6:9	-3	3
25	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	4:7	-3	3
26	Sabah FC	3	1	0	2	3:6	-3	3
27	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	0	2	4:9	-5	3
28	AEK Athens FC	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3
29	Fenerbahçe	3	0	2	1	3:9	-6	2
30	Viking	2	0	1	1	4:6	-2	1
31	Slavia Praha	3	0	1	2	4:7	-3	1
32	Inter	2	0	0	2	4:6	-2	0
33	Lask Linz	2	0	0	2	3:7	-4	0
34	FC Porto	3	0	0	3	2:6	-4	0
35	Lille	3	0	0	3	4:10	-6	0
36	Slovan Bratislava	3	0	0	3	1:13	-12	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg171%1.34X17%5.61212%8.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.25 → 1.31 +4.8%X6.58 → 5.95 -9.6%29.80 → 8.53 -13.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.30	3.70	4.0%
Bet365	1.36	3.20	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.31	3.50	4.9%
Betano	1.34	3.30	4.9%
BetVictor	1.29	3.40	6.9%
1xBet	1.28	3.26	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.26	8.8%
Best of all books	1.36	3.70	0.6%
Average	1.31	3.37	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betano	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.56	2.30	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.27	8.2%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Best of all books	1.67	2.40	1.5%
Average	1.56	2.32	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting CP 35%Draw 35%Lask Linz 30%

The statistical model rated Sporting CP at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Lask Linz at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 5.61 | 8.12, which imply roughly 74.6% for a Sporting CP win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: Sporting CP are 8th (6 pts, 5-1 goals), Lask Linz 33rd (0 pts, 3-7).

Over their last five matches, Sporting CP averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Lask Linz averaged 2 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sporting CP or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sporting CP

4-3-3

Coach: Rui Borges

Goalkeeper

30Kaique

Defence

22Iván Fresneda
72Eduardo Quaresma
25Gonçalo Inácio
20M. Araújo

Midfield

77I. Doumbia
5Sergi Altimira
8João Simões

Attack

10Geny Catamo
97L. Suárez
19N. Irankunda

Substitutes (12)

1Rui Silva
55Ibrahima Ba
28J. Derry
58Flávio Gonçalves
9Rafael Ferreira Nel
7F. Ioannidis
21Pedro Lima
31Luis Guilherme
4S. Andersen
13G. Vagiannidis
73Eduardo Felicíssimo
50Rodrigo Dias

Lask Linz

5-4-1

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Goalkeeper

1L. Jungwirth

Defence

20K. Jørgensen
4X. Mbuyamba
43Alemão
16A. Andrade
25Y. Dibango

Midfield

9K. Daněk
10R. Ljubičić
30S. Horvath
27C. Lang

Attack

11S. Kalajdzic

Substitutes (11)

21M. Verhaeghe
7S. Adeniran
6M. Bogarde
23Daniel Elfadli
29F. Flecker
3M. Freckleton
45N. Kane
39Christof Katzmayr
18A. Schöpf
33T. Schützenauer
8M. Usor

Match Statistics

Sporting CPLask Linz

3.18Expected Goals1.14

504Passes accurate291

10Shots insidebox9

6Shots outsidebox2

5Blocked Shots2

22Free Kicks10

4Shots on Goal7

4Goalkeeper Saves2

7Shots off Goal2

3Offsides2

572Total passes352

16Total Shots11

2Yellow Cards5

7Corner Kicks4

10Fouls22

0Red Cards0

62%Ball Possession38%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.31	5.95	8.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	3.53	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.09	6.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.32

1st half

1	X	2
1.66	2.99	6.70

2nd half

1	X	2
1.55	3.40	6.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.74	18.6	51.6
HT X	4.46	9.82	18.8
HT 2	18.1	20.5	14.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.32	26.5	3.39

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	21.7
1.5	1.07	7.38
2.5	1.31	3.37
3.5	1.83	2.02
4.5	2.79	1.42
5.5	4.71	1.16
6.5	8.74	1.07
7.5	15.8	1.02
8.5	24.8	1.01
9.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	21.0
1.75	1.05	6.78
2	1.06	6.25
2.25	1.17	4.21
2.75	1.36	2.99
3	1.45	2.67
3.25	1.64	2.27
3.75	2.01	1.82
4	2.28	1.61
4.25	2.49	1.49
4.75	3.20	1.30
5	4.00	1.18
5.25	4.30	1.15
6	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.79	1.42
-2.25	2.53	1.50
-2	2.28	1.62
-1.75	2.00	1.85
-1.5	1.79	2.04
-1.25	1.59	2.28

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	9.00	1.01
-4.25	6.00	1.12
-4	7.87	1.05
-3.75	5.90	1.09
-3.5	4.72	1.14
-3.25	4.09	1.19
-3	3.78	1.25
-2.75	3.32	1.30
-1	1.42	2.79
-0.75	1.33	3.15
-0.5	1.27	3.45
-0.25	1.16	4.54
0	1.09	6.40
+1.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.8
1.5	1.13	5.50
2.5	1.33	3.20
3.5	1.80	1.96
4.5	2.41	1.54
5.5	3.90	1.23
6.5	5.90	1.11
7.5	8.50	1.05
8.5	11.3	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.43	2.82
4	2.14	1.70
5	3.32	1.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	12.1
5.5	1.03	8.40
6.5	1.10	5.36
7.5	1.23	3.55
8.5	1.43	2.58
9.5	1.74	2.00
10.5	2.21	1.60
11.5	2.90	1.35
12.5	3.93	1.19
13.5	5.43	1.10
14.5	6.86	1.06
15.5	10.3	1.02
16.5	11.3	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.42
7.75	1.18	3.39
8	1.22	3.12
8.25	1.31	2.90
8.75	1.42	2.46
9	1.50	2.38
9.25	1.60	2.13
9.75	1.79	1.87
10	1.95	1.84
10.25	2.02	1.67
10.75	2.29	1.49
11	2.47	1.47
11.25	2.65	1.37
12	3.02	1.24
13	4.02	1.13
14	5.15	1.06

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