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Paro vs Al Ansar• AFC Challenge League, World

2.0:1.01-2FTToday · Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu2.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.10BVCX3.60B36522.00DAFMargin at best2.2%Books10Markets48Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 08:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.553.502.006.7%
1xBet3.483.521.977.9%
Marathonbet3.463.521.958.6%
BetVictor4.103.501.7510.1%
Betfair3.403.501.9110.3%
Betano3.353.301.9511.4%
William Hill3.403.251.9511.5%
Bet3653.403.601.8311.8%
Pinnacle3.273.361.9212.4%
SBO3.153.011.8917.9%
Best of all books4.103.602.002.2%
Average3.463.411.9110.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ParoAl Ansar
Last 1013Form pts · last 5132.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.067Attack rating330Defence rating10057Form rating430H2H rating00Goals model062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 17:30 UTC

Paro

9W 1D 0L · goals 39:5 · per match 3.9 for, 0.5 against

17 OctAAhal2-2D
8 OctAThimphu City2-0W
3 OctHBhutan U196-0W
12 SepATransport United4-2W
8 SepAUgyen Academy10-0W
26 AugHTsirang7-0W
20 AugHRTC1-0W
11 AugHAbu Muslim2-0W
3 AugADrukpa3-1W
28 JulHThimphu2-0W

Al Ansar

7W 3D 0L · goals 25:8 · per match 2.5 for, 0.8 against

17 OctHAl Ittihad2-0W
8 OctHAl Hikma2-1W
2 AugAAl Nejmeh2-1W
28 JulAJwaaya FC2-1W
24 JulAAl Ahed1-1D
20 JulHAl Nejmeh1-1D
16 JulHJwaaya FC2-0W
12 JulHAl Ahed3-3D
3 JulATadamon Sour3-0W
29 JunAAl Mabarrah7-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Paro and Al Ansar on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.46X27%3.41247%1.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

19 Oct 17:3020 Oct 09:001 3.46X 3.412 1.91
13.04 → 3.46 +13.8%X3.48 → 3.41 -2.0%22.10 → 1.91 -9.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
SBO1.801.966.6%
1xBet1.801.937.4%
Marathonbet1.801.937.4%
Pinnacle1.781.938.0%
Betfair1.751.958.4%
BetVictor1.801.879.0%
Betano1.751.8810.3%
Best of all books1.851.965.1%
Average1.791.927.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
1xBet1.672.088.0%
Marathonbet1.672.058.7%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.702.155.3%
Average1.682.077.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paro 35%Draw 35%Al Ansar 30%

The statistical model rated Paro at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Al Ansar at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.46 | 3.41 | 1.91, which imply roughly 28.9% for a Paro win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Paro averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Al Ansar averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Paro or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.463.411.91

Double chance

1XX212
1.781.231.23

Draw no bet

12
2.661.42

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.07

1st half

1X2
3.982.162.47

2nd half

1X2
3.622.482.29

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.8214.521.3
HT X7.985.444.97
HT 232.314.63.04

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.4212.01.64

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.3
1.51.233.64
2.51.791.92
3.53.011.33
4.55.981.09
5.512.01.04
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.058.25
1.751.273.19
21.362.76
2.251.592.20
2.752.001.71
32.341.49
3.252.611.39
3.753.581.21
44.951.11
4.255.061.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.851.35
02.661.42
+0.252.061.67
+0.51.841.87
+0.751.592.14
+11.382.67
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.801.02
-16.701.05
-0.754.301.15
+1.251.313.01
+1.51.253.35
+1.751.164.12
+21.046.85
+2.251.105.10
+2.51.027.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.672.10
91.951.85
9.52.051.72

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