FC Santiago vs Real Refineros• Liga Premier Serie A, Mexico

#12.2:0.86-0FT27/102.8:3.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.19BTNX7.50MAR213.0WHMargin at best5.1%Books7Markets61Rating64 · 37Exp. goals L54.4

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.16	7.40	13.0	7.4%
William Hill	1.17	6.50	13.0	8.5%
Betano	1.19	5.80	12.5	9.3%
Bet365	1.17	6.50	11.0	9.9%
1xBet	1.10	7.50	13.0	11.9%
Betfair	1.10	7.50	13.0	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.10	7.50	13.0	11.9%
Best of all books	1.19	7.50	13.0	5.1%
Average	1.14	6.96	12.6	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC SantiagoReal Refineros

Last 10#1Table position#82.09Points per game1.2013Form pts · last 532.2Goals for · last 52.80.8Goals against · last 53.044Attack rating5679Defence rating2163Form rating380H2H rating069Goals model3164Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 07:00 UTC

FC Santiago

6W 1D 3L · goals 23:7 · per match 2.3 for, 0.7 against

31 Oct	A	Ciervos	3-0	W
27 Oct	H	Real Refineros	6-0	W
18 Oct	H	Real Apodaca	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	2-0	W
4 Oct	H	Guerreros	2-2	D
25 Sep	A	Acatlan	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Atlético Saltillo	4-1	W
11 Sep	A	Mineros de Fresnillo	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Héroes de Zaci	3-0	W
30 Aug	A	Vaqueros Reynosa	0-1	L

Real Refineros

1W 4D 3L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.8 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	H	Guerreros del Pacifico	3-3	D
10 Oct	H	Halcones Negros	2-3	L
4 Oct	A	Dragones de Oaxaca	2-3	L
25 Sep	H	Ciervos	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Calor de San Pedro	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Cañoneros Marina	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Artesanos Metepec	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between FC Santiago and Real Refineros on record.

Liga Premier Serie A tableLiga Premier Serie Aupdated 7 Nov 04:01 UTC

In the Liga Premier Serie A table, FC Santiago sit 1st with 23 points from 11 games, while Real Refineros are 8th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Santiago	11	7	1	3	27:7	+20	23
1	Dragones de Oaxaca	10	7	2	1	27:8	+19	25
2	Acatlan	10	7	1	2	24:17	+7	23
2	Artesanos Metepec	10	7	2	1	21:7	+14	24
3	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	10	6	0	4	23:13	+10	19
3	Acambaro	10	7	1	2	31:12	+19	23
4	Mineros de Fresnillo	10	5	3	2	16:7	+9	19
4	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	10	5	3	2	15:11	+4	18
5	Correcaminos UAT II	10	5	2	3	16:12	+4	18
5	Halcones Negros	11	5	1	5	22:18	+4	17
6	Vaqueros Reynosa	10	5	1	4	17:16	+1	17
6	Guerreros del Pacifico	10	4	1	5	20:17	+3	17
7	Guerreros	9	3	2	4	14:16	-2	12
7	Calor de San Pedro	11	4	1	6	20:27	-7	16
8	Atlético Saltillo	9	3	0	6	12:24	-12	8
8	Real Refineros	10	4	1	5	17:24	-7	12
9	Real Apodaca	10	2	1	7	10:20	-10	6
9	Ciervos	10	2	0	8	11:33	-22	5
10	Héroes de Zaci	10	0	1	9	3:29	-26	2
10	Cañoneros Marina	9	0	0	9	5:33	-28	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg180%1.13X13%7.1427%12.7

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.16 → 1.14 -1.7%X6.23 → 6.96 +11.7%212.1 → 12.6 +4.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.50	2.37	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.38	2.65	10.2%
1xBet	1.22	3.50	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.22	3.50	10.5%
Best of all books	1.50	3.50	-4.8%
Average	1.34	2.95	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	2.15	2.10	-5.9%
Average	1.81	1.90	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Santiago 45%Draw 45%Real Refineros 10%

The statistical model rated FC Santiago at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Refineros at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.13 | 7.14 | 12.74, which imply roughly 88.5% for a FC Santiago win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Premier Serie A table: FC Santiago are 1st (23 pts, 27-7 goals), Real Refineros 8th (12 pts, 17-24).

Over their last five matches, FC Santiago averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Real Refineros averaged 2.8 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : FC Santiago or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.14	6.96	12.6

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	4.44	1.06

Draw no bet

1	2
1.06	7.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
1.49	3.08	8.85

2nd half

1	X	2
1.36	3.76	8.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.58	21.3	66.7
HT X	3.85	9.58	20.7
HT 2	19.5	22.7	18.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.21	25.5	4.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	19.0
1.5	1.11	6.45
2.5	1.34	2.95
3.5	1.77	1.96
4.5	2.68	1.40
5.5	4.65	1.16

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.15	4.70
2	1.04	6.90
2.25	1.29	3.18
2.75	1.28	3.09
3	1.42	2.68
3.25	1.46	2.37
3.75	1.76	1.89
4	1.95	1.68
4.25	2.18	1.54
4.75	2.74	1.35
5	3.34	1.24
5.25	3.50	1.26

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.34	1.50
-2.5	2.09	1.63
-2.25	1.90	1.78
-2	1.71	2.01
-1.75	1.54	2.25
-1.5	1.45	2.47

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	6.80	1.06
-4	5.42	1.11
-3.75	4.22	1.20
-3.5	3.39	1.26
-3.25	3.13	1.30
-3	2.80	1.36
-1.25	1.34	2.89
-1	1.22	3.74
-0.75	1.22	3.80
-0.5	1.24	3.90
-0.25	1.15	5.50
0	1.04	7.65

Next Liga Premier Serie A matches

7 Nov	Mineros de Fresnillo – Acambaro
8 Nov	Vaqueros Reynosa – Artesanos Metepec

All Liga Premier Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Premier Serie A results

7 Nov	FC Santiago 4-0 Halcones Negros
1 Nov	Acambaro 2-2 Vaqueros Reynosa
1 Nov	Dragones de Oaxaca 2-0 Mineros de Fresnillo
31 Oct	Ciervos 0-3 FC Santiago
31 Oct	Guerreros del Pacifico 5-0 Héroes de Zaci
30 Oct	Calor de San Pedro 1-4 Correcaminos UAT II