Acambaro vs Ciervos• Liga Premier Serie A, Mexico

#41.6:1.65-2FT11/100.8:3.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.06B365X12.01XB229.0B365Margin at best6.1%Books3Markets54Rating76 · 25Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 15:12 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.06	11.0	29.0	6.9%
1xBet	1.04	12.0	29.0	7.9%
Betano	1.05	9.75	26.0	9.3%
Best of all books	1.06	12.0	29.0	6.1%
Average	1.05	10.9	28.0	8.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AcambaroCiervos

Last 10#4Table position#91.86Points per game0.297Form pts · last 511.6Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 53.467Attack rating3368Defence rating3270Form rating3075H2H rating2579Goals model2176Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 00:40 UTC

Acambaro

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	H	Ciervos	5-2	W
2 Oct	A	Calor de San Pedro	2-3	L
27 Sep	H	Artesanos Metepec	2-3	L
19 Sep	A	Guerreros del Pacifico	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Dragones de Oaxaca	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Cañoneros Marina	8-0	W
30 Mar	A	Gorilas de Juanacatlan	0-4	L
26 Mar	H	Gorilas de Juanacatlan	0-0	D
15 Mar	H	Gorilas de Juanacatlan	1-0	W

Ciervos

0W 2D 8L · goals 8:33 · per match 0.8 for, 3.3 against

11 Oct	A	Acambaro	2-5	L
3 Oct	H	Halcones Negros	0-5	L
25 Sep	A	Real Refineros	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	Calor de San Pedro	0-4	L
16 Sep	H	Artesanos Metepec	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Guerreros del Pacifico	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Dragones de Oaxaca	0-2	L
11 Apr	H	Chilpancingo	1-2	L
31 Mar	A	FC Santiago	0-5	L
21 Mar	H	Zacatepec 1948	2-2	D

Head to head

3Acambaro wins

0draws

1Ciervos wins

4 meetings · goals 16:1 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Acambaro

29 Mar 2025Liga Premier Serie B	Liga Premier Serie B	Acambaro0-1Ciervos
23 Nov 2024Liga Premier Serie B	Liga Premier Serie B	Ciervos0-6Acambaro
3 Apr 2024Liga Premier Serie B	Liga Premier Serie B	Ciervos0-5Acambaro
21 Oct 2023Liga Premier Serie B	Liga Premier Serie B	Acambaro5-0Ciervos

Liga Premier Serie A tableLiga Premier Serie Aupdated 18 Oct 00:40 UTC

In the Liga Premier Serie A table, Acambaro sit 4th with 13 points from 7 games, while Ciervos are 9th with 2 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Mineros de Fresnillo	8	4	3	1	12:4	+8	16
1	Artesanos Metepec	7	6	1	0	17:5	+12	20
2	Vaqueros Reynosa	7	5	1	1	13:9	+4	16
2	Dragones de Oaxaca	7	5	1	1	19:8	+11	18
3	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	7	4	0	3	15:10	+5	13
3	Halcones Negros	7	4	1	2	20:6	+14	14
4	Acatlan	7	4	1	2	12:10	+2	13
4	Acambaro	7	4	1	2	21:10	+11	13
5	FC Santiago	7	3	1	3	11:7	+4	11
5	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	8	3	3	2	11:10	+1	12
6	Correcaminos UAT II	7	3	2	2	8:7	+1	11
6	Calor de San Pedro	7	3	1	3	15:15	0	12
7	Guerreros	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	9
7	Guerreros del Pacifico	6	2	1	3	5:9	-4	8
8	Atlético Saltillo	7	3	0	4	10:17	-7	8
8	Real Refineros	7	2	1	4	11:13	-2	7
9	Real Apodaca	7	1	1	5	7:13	-6	4
9	Ciervos	7	1	0	6	5:24	-19	2
10	Héroes de Zaci	6	0	1	5	3:12	-9	2
10	Cañoneros Marina	7	0	0	7	2:26	-24	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg187%1.05X9%9.7923%27.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.08 → 1.05 -2.8%X9.20 → 10.9 +18.7%223.5 → 28.0 +19.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.22	4.00	7.0%
Betano	1.24	3.55	8.8%
1xBet	1.21	3.80	9.0%
Best of all books	1.24	4.00	5.6%
Average	1.22	3.78	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.20	1.61	7.6%
Betano	2.72	1.39	8.7%
Best of all books	2.72	1.61	-1.1%
Average	2.46	1.50	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Acambaro 50%Draw 50%Ciervos 0%

The statistical model rated Acambaro at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Ciervos at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.05 | 9.79 | 27.00, which imply roughly 95.2% for a Acambaro win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Liga Premier Serie A table: Acambaro are 4th (13 pts, 21-10 goals), Ciervos 9th (2 pts, 5-24).

Over their last five matches, Acambaro averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Ciervos averaged 0.8 scored and 3.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Acambaro and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.05	10.9	28.0

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.01	7.33	1.03

Draw no bet

1	2
1.01	11.5

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.46	1.50

1st half

1	X	2
1.27	3.90	15.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.25	34.0	3.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.03	9.00
2.5	1.22	3.78
3.5	1.60	2.17
4.5	2.30	1.53
5.5	3.60	1.23
6.5	5.33	1.11

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2.75	1.25	3.46
3	1.30	3.10
3.25	1.47	2.51
3.75	1.72	2.00
4	1.90	1.80
4.25	2.11	1.64
4.75	2.64	1.41
5	3.20	1.29
5.25	3.46	1.25

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	2.34	1.53
-3.25	2.04	1.75
-3	1.87	1.87
-2.75	1.71	2.02
-2.5	1.63	2.19
-2.25	1.43	2.60

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	3.80	1.21
-4.25	3.47	1.24
-4	3.20	1.28
-3.75	2.65	1.42
-2	1.28	3.30
-1.75	1.22	3.65
-1.5	1.19	4.00
-1.25	1.24	3.46
-1	1.13	4.80
0	1.01	11.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.67	2.10
10	1.90	1.90

Latest Liga Premier Serie A results

18 Oct	Halcones Negros 0-6 Acambaro
17 Oct	Ciervos 3-1 Cañoneros Marina
13 Oct	Dragones de Oaxaca 5-1 Guerreros del Pacifico
10 Oct	Real Refineros 2-3 Halcones Negros
4 Oct	Dragones de Oaxaca 3-2 Real Refineros
3 Oct	Artesanos Metepec 3-0 Cañoneros Marina