Real Refineros vs 
Halcones Negros• Liga Premier Serie A, Mexico
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 19:44 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 11.0 | 5.60 | 1.24 | 7.6% |
| Betano | 9.25 | 5.40 | 1.26 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 12.0 | 4.80 | 1.25 | 9.2% |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 5.25 | 1.25 | 10.8% |
| 1xBet | 11.5 | 4.95 | 1.22 | 10.9% |
| Marathonbet | 10.8 | 4.95 | 1.21 | 12.1% |
| Betfair | 11.0 | 5.50 | 1.17 | 12.7% |
| Best of all books | 12.0 | 5.60 | 1.26 | 5.6% |
| Average | 10.6 | 5.21 | 1.23 | 10.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:51 UTC
Real Refineros
1W 3D 2L · goals 9:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against
| 4 Oct | A | Dragones de Oaxaca | 2-3 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Ciervos | 3-3 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Calor de San Pedro | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Cañoneros Marina | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Artesanos Metepec | 1-2 | L |
Halcones Negros
3W 1D 2L · goals 17:4 · per match 2.8 for, 0.7 against
| 3 Oct | A | Ciervos | 5-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Calor de San Pedro | 7-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Artesanos Metepec | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Guerreros del Pacifico | 3-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Dragones de Oaxaca | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Real Refineros and Halcones Negros on record.
Liga Premier Serie A tableLiga Premier Serie Aupdated 10 Oct 19:51 UTC
In the Liga Premier Serie A table, Real Refineros sit 8th with 7 points from 6 games, while Halcones Negros are 3rd with 11 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 13 |
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:4 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 | Acatlan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:4 | +13 | 11 |
| 4 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:2 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | Acambaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 | Correcaminos UAT II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Guerreros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Atlético Saltillo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 7 | Calor de San Pedro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Santiago | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | -16 | 2 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:19 | -18 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.30 | 8.8% |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 2.26 | 9.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.21 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 2.21 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.54 | 2.27 | 9.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 1.70 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 1.68 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 1.66 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.01 | 1.73 | 7.6% |
| Average | 2.00 | 1.69 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Real Refineros at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Halcones Negros at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 10.57 | 5.21 | 1.23, which imply roughly 19.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga Premier Serie A table: Real Refineros are 8th (7 pts, 9-10 goals), Halcones Negros 3rd (11 pts, 17-4).
Over their last five matches, Real Refineros averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Halcones Negros averaged 3.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Halcones Negros and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 10.6 | 5.21 | 1.23 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.53 | 1.04 | 1.11 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 6.60 | 1.08 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.01 | 1.69 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 8.74 | 2.60 | 1.64 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 14.6 | 1.23 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.15 | 4.63 |
| 2.5 | 1.54 | 2.27 |
| 3.5 | 2.32 | 1.52 |
| 4.5 | 3.83 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 6.95 | 1.08 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.14 | 4.41 |
| 2 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 2.25 | 1.37 | 2.67 |
| 2.75 | 1.66 | 2.01 |
| 3 | 1.85 | 1.82 |
| 3.25 | 2.09 | 1.61 |
| 3.75 | 2.69 | 1.37 |
| 4 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 4.25 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 5 | 6.50 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +1.25 | 2.26 | 1.51 |
| +1.5 | 1.99 | 1.69 |
| +1.75 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| +2 | 1.67 | 2.09 |
| +2.25 | 1.45 | 2.43 |
| +2.5 | 1.37 | 2.69 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| +0.25 | 4.50 | 1.17 |
| +0.75 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| +1 | 2.86 | 1.32 |
| +2.75 | 1.30 | 3.02 |
| +3 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| +3.25 | 1.19 | 3.75 |
| +3.5 | 1.12 | 4.80 |
| +4 | 1.05 | 6.80 |
| +4.5 | 1.03 | 8.20 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |