Dragones de Oaxaca vs 
Real Refineros• Liga Premier Serie A, Mexico
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 18:25 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 4.42 | 4.96 | 4.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.50 | 4.75 | 12.2% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.40 | 5.50 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.61 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 2.5% |
| Average | 1.49 | 4.44 | 5.07 | 9.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 02:40 UTC
Dragones de Oaxaca
5W 4D 1L · goals 21:11 · per match 2.1 for, 1.1 against
| 4 Oct | H | Real Refineros | 3-2 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 3-3 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Cañoneros Marina | 3-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Acambaro | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Halcones Negros | 2-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Ciervos | 2-0 | W |
| 28 Mar | A | Poza Rica | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Mar | H | Poza Rica | 1-1 | D |
| 14 Mar | A | Aguacateros CDU | 0-0 | D |
| 7 Mar | H | Poza Rica | 5-1 | W |
Real Refineros
1W 3D 2L · goals 9:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against
| 4 Oct | A | Dragones de Oaxaca | 2-3 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Ciervos | 3-3 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Calor de San Pedro | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Cañoneros Marina | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Artesanos Metepec | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Dragones de Oaxaca and Real Refineros on record.
Liga Premier Serie A tableLiga Premier Serie Aupdated 21 Oct 11:30 UTC
In the Liga Premier Serie A table, Dragones de Oaxaca sit 2nd with 19 points from 8 games, while Real Refineros are 7th with 9 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | +10 | 16 |
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:5 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 | Acatlan | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:12 | +3 | 16 |
| 3 | Acambaro | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:10 | +17 | 16 |
| 4 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Halcones Negros | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Santiago | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:7 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Correcaminos UAT II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Calor de San Pedro | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Guerreros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Real Refineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Atlético Saltillo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
| 8 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:25 | -17 | 5 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:29 | -26 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 2.16 | 5.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.69 | 2.16 | 5.5% |
| Average | 1.68 | 2.16 | 5.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 2.00 | 7.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.74 | 2.00 | 7.5% |
| Average | 1.74 | 2.00 | 7.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Dragones de Oaxaca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Refineros at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.32 | 4.88 | 7.14, which imply roughly 75.8% for a Dragones de Oaxaca win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga Premier Serie A table: Dragones de Oaxaca are 2nd (19 pts, 19-8 goals), Real Refineros 7th (9 pts, 14-16).
Over their last five matches, Dragones de Oaxaca averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Real Refineros averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Dragones de Oaxaca or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | 4.44 | 5.07 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | 2.52 | 1.15 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.22 | 4.00 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.74 | 2.00 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.02 | 2.44 | 5.38 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 13.0 | 3.00 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.19 | 4.13 |
| 2.5 | 1.68 | 2.16 |
| 3.5 | 2.58 | 1.48 |
| 4.5 | 4.63 | 1.15 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.24 | 3.60 |
| 2 | 1.29 | 3.20 |
| 2.25 | 1.52 | 2.53 |
| 2.75 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| 3 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| 3.25 | 2.46 | 1.55 |
| 3.75 | 3.10 | 1.33 |
| 4 | 3.70 | 1.22 |
| 4.25 | 4.17 | 1.18 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.76 | 1.39 |
| -1.5 | 2.34 | 1.53 |
| -1.25 | 2.07 | 1.67 |
| -1 | 1.81 | 1.90 |
| -0.75 | 1.60 | 2.18 |
| -0.25 | 1.34 | 2.98 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.80 | 1.02 |
| -2.5 | 4.40 | 1.16 |
| -2.25 | 3.97 | 1.19 |
| -2 | 3.60 | 1.23 |
| 0 | 1.21 | 3.90 |
| +0.25 | 1.17 | 4.40 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 9.60 |
Next Liga Premier Serie A matches
| 21 Oct | Calor de San Pedro – Guerreros del Pacifico |