OddsFilter

Nairobi United vs KCB• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#52-2FT11/10#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.09PINX3.00B36524.20B365Margin at best5.0%Books8Markets37Rating55 · 45

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 07:32 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.983.054.107.7%
1xBet1.882.974.1810.8%
Pinnacle2.092.813.6111.1%
Betano1.952.923.9011.2%
Bet3651.853.004.2011.2%
Marathonbet1.862.974.0512.1%
Betfair1.853.003.9013.0%
BetVictor1.802.753.6019.7%
Best of all books2.093.054.204.4%
Average1.912.933.9411.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nairobi UnitedKCB
Last 10#5Table position#31.00Points per game1.008Form pts · last 570Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating050H2H rating500Goals model055Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 12:10 UTC

Nairobi United

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

31 MayAGOR Mahia1-0W
24 MayHPolice0-0D
16 MayHPosta Rangers FC2-2D
10 MayAKariobangi Sharks0-2L
6 MayHTusker1-0W
3 MayHKCB0-1L
25 AprAMathare United2-1W
19 AprAMurang'a SEAL4-2W
12 AprAPosta Rangers FC2-0W
8 AprHHomeboyz2-2D

KCB

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

14 JunHBandari0-2L
31 MayAShabana2-1W
27 MayASofapaka2-1W
23 MayHPosta Rangers FC0-1L
16 MayATusker0-0D
10 MayHBandari2-2D
6 MayAAPS Bomet0-1L
3 MayANairobi United1-0W
26 AprHHomeboyz1-1D
18 AprHUlinzi Stars2-3L

Head to head

1Nairobi United wins
2draws
1KCB wins

4 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Nairobi United

3 May 2026Shield CupShield CupNairobi United0-1KCB
4 Mar 2026FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueNairobi United1-1KCB
15 Jan 2026FKF Premier LeagueFKF Premier LeagueKCB0-2Nairobi United
12 Apr 2025Shield CupShield CupNairobi United0-0KCB

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 13 Oct 19:40 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Nairobi United sit 5th with 1 points from 1 games, while KCB are 3rd with 1 points from 1.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tusker11002:0+23
2Shabana11001:0+13
3KCB10102:201
4Mara Sugar10102:201
5Nairobi United10102:201
63K10102:201
7Police10101:101
8Migori Youth10101:101
9Mathare United10100:001
10APS Bomet10100:001
11GOR Mahia00000:000
12AFC Leopards00000:000
13Bandari00000:000
14Homeboyz00000:000
15Murang'a SEAL00000:000
16Mombasa Elite00000:000
17Posta Rangers FC10010:1-10
18Ulinzi Stars10010:2-20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.93X31%2.90223%3.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 11:0110 Oct 18:311 1.92X 2.932 3.91
11.91 → 1.92 +0.5%X2.90 → 2.93 +1.0%24.00 → 3.91 -2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.501.506.7%
Betfair2.401.508.3%
Pinnacle2.601.428.9%
1xBet2.441.479.0%
Marathonbet2.441.479.0%
Betano2.321.509.8%
BetVictor2.081.3920.0%
Best of all books2.601.505.1%
Average2.401.4610.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.051.678.7%
1xBet2.111.629.1%
Marathonbet2.111.609.9%
BetVictor1.931.4719.8%
Best of all books2.111.677.3%
Average2.051.5911.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nairobi United 45%Draw 45%KCB 10%

The statistical model rated Nairobi United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and KCB at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.93 | 2.90 | 3.89, which imply roughly 51.8% for a Nairobi United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Nairobi United are 5th (1 pts, 2-2 goals), KCB 3rd (1 pts, 2-2).

Over their last five matches, Nairobi United averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; KCB averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nairobi United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.912.933.94

Double chance

1XX212
1.181.741.27

Draw no bet

12
1.352.68

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.051.59

1st half

1X2
2.571.874.81

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.696.352.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.056.25
1.51.462.37
2.52.401.46
3.54.451.12
4.57.621.02
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.095.25
1.251.293.09
1.751.582.06
21.831.76
2.252.111.56
2.752.971.31
33.901.18
3.254.301.15
49.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.241.26
-12.851.30
-0.752.191.51
-0.51.901.72
-0.251.652.01
01.342.71
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.801.01
-27.801.02
-1.53.781.19
+0.251.263.30
+0.51.243.53
+0.751.085.45
+11.028.20
+1.51.019.50