Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance• NPFL, Nigeria

#131.8:1.417:00Today · Lekan Salami Stadium, Ibadan1.4:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.43DAFX4.00BFR28.501XBMargin at best6.7%Books7Markets47Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.43	3.95	7.80	8.1%
Betano	1.42	3.95	7.50	9.1%
1xBet	1.37	3.82	8.50	10.9%
Bet365	1.40	3.75	7.50	11.4%
Betfair	1.36	4.00	7.50	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.36	3.82	8.00	12.2%
William Hill	1.36	3.80	8.00	12.3%
Best of all books	1.43	4.00	8.50	6.7%
Average	1.39	3.87	7.83	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shooting StarsBendel Insurance

Last 10#13Table position#21.25Points per game1.757Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.256Attack rating4446Defence rating5444Form rating5671H2H rating2982Goals model1861Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 17:30 UTC

Shooting Stars

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

8 Nov	A	Barau FC	0-1	L
1 Nov	H	Abia Warriors	4-1	W
25 Oct	A	Ikorodu City	2-2	D
16 Oct	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Kun Khalifat FC	0-2	L
7 Oct	H	Kano Pillars	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Nasarawa United	0-0	D
30 Sep	A	Enyimba	2-4	L
27 Sep	A	Warri Wolves	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Katsina United	2-0	W

Bendel Insurance

6W 0D 4L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

8 Nov	H	Niger Tornadoes	2-1	W
4 Nov	A	Enugu Rangers	0-1	L
1 Nov	A	Kwara United	2-1	W
25 Oct	H	Rivers United	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Sporting Lagos	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	Barau FC	4-1	W
27 Sep	A	Abia Warriors	0-3	L
23 Sep	H	Ikorodu City	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Ranchers Bees	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Kun Khalifat FC	4-2	W

Head to head

3Shooting Stars wins

3draws

2Bendel Insurance wins

8 meetings · goals 7:7 · last 8: 3W 3D 2L for Shooting Stars

25 Jan 2026NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars1-0Bendel Insurance
30 Aug 2025NPFL	NPFL	Bendel Insurance1-1Shooting Stars
8 Feb 2025NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars1-0Bendel Insurance
2 Oct 2024NPFL	NPFL	Bendel Insurance1-0Shooting Stars
29 Feb 2024NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars1-0Bendel Insurance
7 Oct 2023NPFL	NPFL	Bendel Insurance2-0Shooting Stars
7 May 2023NPFL	NPFL	Bendel Insurance1-1Shooting Stars
12 Feb 2023NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars2-2Bendel Insurance

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 12 Nov 17:30 UTC

In the NPFL table, Shooting Stars sit 13th with 15 points from 12 games, while Bendel Insurance are 2nd with 21 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	11	7	3	1	17:10	+7	24
2	Bendel Insurance	12	7	0	5	20:17	+3	21
3	Nasarawa United	12	6	2	4	14:11	+3	20
4	Barau FC	12	4	7	1	14:10	+4	19
5	Kano Pillars	12	4	7	1	15:12	+3	19
6	Rivers United	11	4	6	1	15:5	+10	18
7	Katsina United	12	4	5	3	15:16	-1	17
8	Plateau United	12	4	4	4	19:17	+2	16
9	Doma United	11	4	4	3	15:15	0	16
10	Niger Tornadoes	12	4	4	4	10:10	0	16
11	Ikorodu City	12	3	6	3	17:15	+2	15
12	Sporting Lagos	10	4	3	3	14:13	+1	15
13	Shooting Stars	12	4	3	5	16:16	0	15
14	Warri Wolves	12	3	5	4	8:9	-1	14
15	Kun Khalifat FC	12	3	4	5	10:17	-7	13
16	Ranchers Bees	11	3	3	5	12:14	-2	12
17	Kwara United	12	3	3	6	12:14	-2	12
18	Enyimba	12	3	2	7	12:16	-4	11
19	Abia Warriors	12	2	5	5	12:19	-7	11
20	Inter Lagos	12	1	4	7	8:22	-14	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.39X23%3.86212%7.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.38 → 1.39 +0.7%X3.88 → 3.86 -0.5%27.88 → 7.78 -1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Pinnacle	2.10	1.64	8.6%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Betano	2.07	1.62	10.0%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.09	1.65	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
William Hill	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.34	1.51	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.34	1.49	9.8%
Best of all books	2.40	1.51	7.9%
Average	2.37	1.50	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shooting Stars 45%Draw 45%Bendel Insurance 10%

The statistical model rates Shooting Stars at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bendel Insurance at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 3.86 | 7.78, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Shooting Stars win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Shooting Stars are 13th (15 pts, 16-16 goals), Bendel Insurance 2nd (21 pts, 20-17).

Over their last five matches, Shooting Stars averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Bendel Insurance averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Shooting Stars or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.39	3.87	7.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.64	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.12	5.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.37	1.50

1st half

1	X	2
1.94	2.12	7.64

2nd half

1	X	2
1.74	2.49	6.89

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.11	17.4	70.5
HT X	3.83	5.40	13.8
HT 2	24.8	19.3	13.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	7.80	4.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.43
1.5	1.33	2.90
2.5	2.09	1.65
3.5	3.81	1.20
4.5	7.75	1.06
5.5	17.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.65
1.25	1.18	3.88
1.75	1.42	2.52
2	1.56	2.19
2.25	1.83	1.84
2.75	2.39	1.47
3	2.98	1.30
3.25	3.34	1.24
4	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.65	1.38
-1.5	2.24	1.53
-1.25	1.97	1.74
-1	1.67	2.01
-0.75	1.49	2.32
-0.5	1.39	2.67

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.50	1.01
-2.5	4.30	1.14
-2	3.47	1.23
-0.25	1.22	3.50
0	1.06	6.15
+0.25	1.04	6.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.82	1.98
9.5	2.00	1.74

Latest NPFL results

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