Doma United vs Barau FC• NPFL, Nigeria

#101.2:1.40-0FTToday · Pantami Stadium, Gombe0.8:0.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93BTNX3.15DAF24.50B365Margin at best5.8%Books7Markets44Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.90	3.15	4.20	8.2%
Betano	1.93	3.10	4.00	9.1%
1xBet	1.82	3.05	4.32	10.9%
Betfair	1.80	3.10	4.33	10.9%
Bet365	1.80	3.00	4.50	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.80	3.05	4.20	12.2%
William Hill	1.85	2.80	4.20	13.6%
Best of all books	1.93	3.15	4.50	5.8%
Average	1.84	3.04	4.25	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Doma UnitedBarau FC

Last 10#10Table position#41.45Points per game1.586Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 50.660Attack rating4030Defence rating7046Form rating540H2H rating071Goals model2952Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 19:30 UTC

Doma United

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

8 Nov	A	Abia Warriors	2-2	D
31 Oct	H	Ikorodu City	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Kun Khalifat FC	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Nasarawa United	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Warri Wolves	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Katsina United	1-2	L
23 Sep	H	Plateau United	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Kano Pillars	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	Enyimba	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Inter Lagos	1-0	W

Barau FC

3W 6D 1L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

8 Nov	H	Shooting Stars	1-0	W
30 Oct	A	Niger Tornadoes	0-0	D
25 Oct	H	Kwara United	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Rivers United	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Enugu Rangers	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Bendel Insurance	1-4	L
26 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Abia Warriors	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Ikorodu City	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Doma United and Barau FC on record.

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 14 Nov 16:10 UTC

In the NPFL table, Doma United sit 10th with 16 points from 11 games, while Barau FC are 4th with 19 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	11	7	3	1	17:10	+7	24
2	Bendel Insurance	13	7	0	6	21:19	+2	21
3	Nasarawa United	12	6	2	4	14:11	+3	20
4	Barau FC	12	4	7	1	14:10	+4	19
5	Kano Pillars	12	4	7	1	15:12	+3	19
6	Rivers United	11	4	6	1	15:5	+10	18
7	Shooting Stars	13	5	3	5	18:17	+1	18
8	Katsina United	12	4	5	3	15:16	-1	17
9	Plateau United	12	4	4	4	19:17	+2	16
10	Doma United	11	4	4	3	15:15	0	16
11	Niger Tornadoes	12	4	4	4	10:10	0	16
12	Ikorodu City	12	3	6	3	17:15	+2	15
13	Sporting Lagos	10	4	3	3	14:13	+1	15
14	Warri Wolves	12	3	5	4	8:9	-1	14
15	Kun Khalifat FC	12	3	4	5	10:17	-7	13
16	Ranchers Bees	11	3	3	5	12:14	-2	12
17	Kwara United	12	3	3	6	12:14	-2	12
18	Enyimba	12	3	2	7	12:16	-4	11
19	Abia Warriors	12	2	5	5	12:19	-7	11
20	Inter Lagos	12	1	4	7	8:22	-14	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.85X30%3.02222%4.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.85 → 1.84 -0.5%X3.10 → 3.04 -1.9%24.22 → 4.25 +0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Betano	2.32	1.52	8.9%
1xBet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.37	1.49	9.3%
Best of all books	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Average	2.34	1.52	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Betano	2.07	1.65	8.9%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.63	9.9%
Best of all books	2.07	1.67	8.2%
Average	2.06	1.65	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Doma United 45%Draw 45%Barau FC 10%

The statistical model rated Doma United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Barau FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.02 | 4.17, which imply roughly 54.1% for a Doma United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Doma United are 10th (16 pts, 15-15 goals), Barau FC 4th (19 pts, 14-10).

Over their last five matches, Doma United averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Barau FC averaged 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Doma United or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.84	3.04	4.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	1.82	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	3.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.06	1.65

1st half

1	X	2
2.50	1.94	4.94

2nd half

1	X	2
2.27	2.22	4.38

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.99	14.8	44.0
HT X	4.45	4.38	8.63
HT 2	28.0	15.8	7.13

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	6.20	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.20
1.5	1.42	2.51
2.5	2.34	1.52
3.5	4.17	1.16
4.5	8.45	1.06
5.5	26.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.25
1.25	1.26	3.25
1.75	1.54	2.24
2	1.76	1.91
2.25	2.03	1.66
2.75	2.73	1.36
3	3.48	1.22
3.25	3.84	1.18
4	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.95	1.31
-1	2.59	1.41
-0.75	2.06	1.63
-0.5	1.85	1.89
-0.25	1.55	2.20
0	1.30	3.00

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.10	1.04
-2	6.25	1.06
-1.75	4.30	1.15
-1.5	3.34	1.24
+0.25	1.22	3.52
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.02	8.95

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	2.00	1.80

Latest NPFL results

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8 Nov	Nasarawa United 3-1 Plateau United
8 Nov	Ranchers Bees 1-0 Enyimba