Erbil vs Gharraf• Iraqi League, Iraq

#71.2:1.013:30Tomorrow · Franso Hariri Stadium, Arbil0.8:0.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX3.75DAF25.50B365Margin at best6.6%Books5Markets42Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 11:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.61	3.75	5.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.54	3.62	5.44	10.9%
Betano	1.62	3.50	4.80	11.1%
Bet365	1.53	3.60	5.50	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.52	3.62	5.30	12.3%
Best of all books	1.62	3.75	5.50	6.6%
Average	1.56	3.62	5.25	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ErbilGharraf

Last 10#7Table position#141.58Points per game1.087Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 50.860Attack rating4044Defence rating5638Form rating6280H2H rating2068Goals model3260Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 10:01 UTC

Erbil

4W 2D 4L · goals 22:12 · per match 2.2 for, 1.2 against

4 Nov	H	Kazma	6-0	W
30 Oct	H	Ghaz Al Shamal	1-1	D
28 Oct	H	Al-Ettifaq	3-0	W
22 Oct	A	Zakho	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Mosul	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Ajman	4-5	L
8 Oct	A	Naft Maysan	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Karbala	3-0	W
14 Sep	H	Al-Karma	1-2	L
8 Sep	H	Diyala	2-0	W

Gharraf

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	A	Al Karkh	2-1	W
22 Oct	H	Naft	0-0	D
16 Oct	A	Karbala	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Al-Jolan SC	0-0	D
17 Sep	A	Al Zawra'a	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Diyala	1-3	L
8 Sep	H	Al Shorta	1-2	L
3 Sep	A	Al Kahrabaa	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Ghaz Al Shamal	0-1	L
26 Aug	A	Al Minaa Basra	0-3	L

Head to head

1Erbil wins

1draws

0Gharraf wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Erbil

5 Apr 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Gharraf0-0Erbil
22 Nov 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Erbil2-1Gharraf

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 7 Nov 15:02 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Erbil sit 7th with 19 points from 12 games, while Gharraf are 14th with 13 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	13	9	3	1	23:10	+13	30
2	Newroz	13	7	5	1	18:5	+13	26
3	Naft	12	7	4	1	14:5	+9	25
4	Al Zawra'a	12	6	3	3	17:9	+8	21
5	Al Shorta	12	5	6	1	13:6	+7	21
6	Al-Jolan SC	12	5	5	2	16:12	+4	20
7	Erbil	12	5	4	3	15:8	+7	19
8	Duhok	13	4	6	3	20:16	+4	18
9	Al Minaa Basra	13	4	5	4	12:13	-1	17
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	13	3	7	3	9:10	-1	16
11	Al Talaba	13	3	7	3	15:18	-3	16
12	Diyala	13	3	5	5	15:18	-3	14
13	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	12	2	7	3	14:13	+1	13
14	Gharraf	12	3	4	5	8:14	-6	13
15	Zakho	13	3	4	6	10:17	-7	13
16	Mosul	13	3	3	7	13:21	-8	12
17	Al Kahrabaa	13	2	5	6	9:15	-6	11
18	Al Karkh	12	2	3	7	15:21	-6	9
19	Naft Maysan	13	1	6	6	8:19	-11	9
20	Karbala	13	1	4	8	11:25	-14	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.56X25%3.62217%5.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Betano	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Best of all books	2.15	1.80	2.1%
Average	1.98	1.73	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.96	1.73	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.70	9.8%
Best of all books	1.96	1.73	8.8%
Average	1.96	1.71	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Erbil 45%Draw 45%Gharraf 10%

The statistical model rates Erbil at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gharraf at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 3.62 | 5.27, which imply roughly 64.1% for a Erbil win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Erbil are 7th (19 pts, 15-8 goals), Gharraf 14th (13 pts, 8-14).

Over their last five matches, Erbil averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Gharraf averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Erbil or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.56	3.62	5.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.12	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.87

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.96	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
2.14	2.09	5.76

2nd half

1	X	2
1.92	2.49	5.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.48	18.0	50.3
HT X	4.12	5.10	10.8
HT 2	24.3	18.8	9.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	8.40	3.19

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.10
1.5	1.28	3.08
2.5	1.98	1.73
3.5	3.42	1.23
4.5	6.90	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.15	4.25
1.75	1.36	2.75
2	1.47	2.35
2.25	1.72	1.93
2.75	2.22	1.54
3	2.74	1.35
3.25	3.08	1.28
3.75	4.30	1.18
4	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.28	1.25
-1.5	2.66	1.37
-1.25	2.33	1.48
-1	2.01	1.70
-0.75	1.71	1.92
-0.25	1.35	2.74

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.50	1.08
-2.25	5.20	1.13
-2	4.60	1.13
0	1.17	4.00
+0.25	1.12	4.65
+1	1.01	10.0

Next Iraqi League matches

7 Nov

Al Zawra'a – Al-Jolan SC

All Iraqi League fixtures and the table

Latest Iraqi League results

7 Nov	Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-1 Al Karkh
6 Nov	Newroz 1-0 Karbala
6 Nov	Al-Karma 4-1 Naft Maysan
6 Nov	Al Talaba 2-2 Ghaz Al Shamal
5 Nov	Diyala 0-0 Al Minaa Basra
5 Nov	Al Kahrabaa 2-1 Zakho