Ebolitana vs 
Melfi• Serie D - Girone H, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 12:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.05 | 3.34 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.05 | 3.20 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 2.16 | 3.05 | 3.34 | 9.0% |
| Average | 2.16 | 3.05 | 3.27 | 9.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC
Ebolitana
2W 1D 2L · goals 5:7 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against
| 27 Sep | H | Melfi | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Manfredonia | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Bisceglie | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Nardò | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Nocerina | 1-2 | L |
Melfi
3W 2D 5L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against
| 27 Sep | A | Ebolitana | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Francavilla | 2-1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Nardò | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Virtus Francavilla | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | Real Normanna | 0-2 | L |
| 7 May | H | Matera | 0-3 | L |
| 30 Apr | A | Foggia | 0-1 | L |
| 23 Apr | H | Taranto | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Apr | A | Messina | 4-3 | W |
| 9 Apr | A | Monopoli | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Ebolitana and Melfi on record.
Serie D - Girone H tableSerie D: Group Hupdated 4 Oct 15:01 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone H table, Ebolitana sit 10th with 7 points from 5 games, while Melfi are 14th with 4 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 | Bisceglie | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Turris | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | Nocerina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Normanna | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Martina Franca | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Gravina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 | Real Forio 2014 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Gladiator | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Brindisi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Nardò | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Melfi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | USD Palmese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Francavilla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Ischia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Fidelis Andria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.5% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 1.67 | 8.7% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 1.65 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.05 | 1.67 | 8.7% |
| Average | 2.02 | 1.66 | 9.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 1.86 | 5.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.94 | 1.86 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.94 | 1.86 | 5.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Ebolitana at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Melfi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.01 | 3.18, which imply roughly 46.7% for a Ebolitana win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone H table: Ebolitana are 10th (7 pts, 5-7 goals), Melfi 14th (4 pts, 2-5).
Over their last five matches, Ebolitana averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Melfi averaged 0.5 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ebolitana or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.16 | 3.05 | 3.27 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | 1.57 | 1.31 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.52 | 2.20 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.94 | 1.86 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | 1.95 | 3.85 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.32 | 2.92 |
| 2.25 | 1.78 | 1.85 |
| 2.5 | 2.03 | 1.66 |
| 3.5 | 3.45 | 1.25 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.90 | 1.20 |
| -0.25 | 1.80 | 1.82 |
| 0 | 1.52 | 2.30 |
Latest Serie D - Girone H results
| 4 Oct | Martina Franca 1-0 Francavilla |
| 4 Oct | Gravina 4-2 Virtus Francavilla |
| 4 Oct | Manfredonia 1-0 Bisceglie |
| 4 Oct | Brindisi 3-0 Real Normanna |
| 4 Oct | Gladiator 1-1 Turris |
| 4 Oct | Ischia 1-1 Ebolitana |