Montevarchi Calcio vs 
Progresso• Serie D - Girone E, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 12:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 9.4% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.25 | 3.50 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 9.4% |
| Average | 1.94 | 3.27 | 3.55 | 10.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC
Montevarchi Calcio
3W 4D 3L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against
| 27 Sep | H | Progresso | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Robur Siena | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Seravezza | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Tau Altopascio | 4-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Lucchese | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Aug | H | Figline | 0-0 | D |
| 3 May | A | Prato | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Apr | H | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Apr | A | Robur Siena | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Apr | H | Terranuova Traiana | 1-1 | D |
Progresso
4W 2D 4L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against
| 20 Sep | H | Seravezza | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Lucchese | 0-5 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Scandicci | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Tau Altopascio | 1-2 | L |
| 3 May | H | Sasso Marconi Zola | 4-1 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Sant'Angelo | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | Lentigione | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | Correggese | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Apr | A | Tuttocuoio | 2-0 | W |
| 28 Mar | H | Pro Palazzolo | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Montevarchi Calcio and Progresso on record.
Serie D - Girone E tableSerie D: Group Eupdated 4 Oct 15:01 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone E table, Montevarchi Calcio sit 10th with 7 points from 5 games, while Progresso are 15th with 3 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | +10 | 10 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Flaminia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Tau Altopascio | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Terranuova Traiana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Robur Siena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 | Montevarchi Calcio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Mezzolara | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Ternana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Progresso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Grassina | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Rondinella | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 1.92 | 8.3% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 1.90 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.78 | 1.92 | 8.3% |
| Average | 1.77 | 1.91 | 9.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 2.02 | 5.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.79 | 2.02 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.79 | 2.02 | 5.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Montevarchi Calcio at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Progresso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.31 | 3.58, which imply roughly 53.2% for a Montevarchi Calcio win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone E table: Montevarchi Calcio are 10th (7 pts, 8-7 goals), Progresso 15th (3 pts, 3-13).
Over their last five matches, Montevarchi Calcio averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Progresso averaged 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Montevarchi Calcio and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.94 | 3.28 | 3.55 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 1.70 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.42 | 2.45 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.79 | 2.02 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.52 | 2.10 | 3.95 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.23 | 3.60 |
| 2.5 | 1.77 | 1.91 |
| 3.5 | 2.78 | 1.35 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.30 | 1.27 |
| -0.5 | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| 0 | 1.42 | 2.52 |