Villa Valle vs Fiorenzuola• Serie D - Girone B, Italy

#61.2:1.20-0FT04/100.2:1.4#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.841XBX3.701XB24.261XBMargin at best4.8%Books2Markets15Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.99	3.60	3.72	4.9%
Betano	2.02	3.00	3.50	11.4%
Best of all books	2.02	3.60	3.72	4.2%
Average	2.00	3.30	3.61	7.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Villa ValleFiorenzuola

Last 10#6Table position#171.43Points per game0.436Form pts · last 511.2Goals for · last 50.21.2Goals against · last 51.486Attack rating1454Defence rating4686Form rating140H2H rating0100Goals model075Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:41 UTC

Villa Valle

1W 6D 3L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

27 Sep	A	Leon	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Milan II	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Tritium	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Virtus Verona	2-2	D
3 May	A	Breno	1-2	L
26 Apr	H	Oltrepò	1-3	L
19 Apr	A	Caldiero Terme	1-1	D
12 Apr	H	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	1-1	D
2 Apr	A	Milan II	1-1	D

Fiorenzuola

1W 2D 7L · goals 4:12 · per match 0.4 for, 1.2 against

27 Sep	H	Caldiero Terme	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Brusaporto	0-1	L
16 Sep	H	Pro Palazzolo	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Nibbiano & Valtidone	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Scanzorosciate	0-3	L
8 Aug	A	Brusaporto	0-1	L
4 May	H	Prato	3-0	W
27 Apr	A	Tuttocuoio	0-0	D
17 Apr	H	Lentigione	0-1	L
13 Apr	A	Ravenna	0-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Villa Valle and Fiorenzuola on record.

Serie D - Girone B tableGroup Bupdated 13 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone B table, Villa Valle sit 6th with 10 points from 7 games, while Fiorenzuola are 17th with 3 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nibbiano & Valtidone	7	6	0	1	11:3	+8	18
2	Chievo	7	5	1	1	15:7	+8	16
3	Leon	7	3	3	1	12:7	+5	12
4	Caldiero Terme	7	3	3	1	12:9	+3	12
5	Piacenza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Villa Valle	7	2	4	1	9:6	+3	10
7	Pro Palazzolo	7	3	1	3	7:10	-3	10
8	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	7	2	3	2	9:8	+1	9
9	Milan II	5	3	0	2	9:9	0	9
10	Brusaporto	7	3	0	4	7:9	-2	9
11	Virtus Verona	7	2	3	2	6:8	-2	9
12	Real Calepina	7	2	2	3	11:12	-1	8
13	Scanzorosciate	7	2	2	3	6:8	-2	8
14	Club Milano	7	2	1	4	5:7	-2	7
15	Pavonese	6	2	1	3	5:9	-4	7
16	Rovato Vertovese	7	1	3	3	10:13	-3	6
17	Fiorenzuola	7	0	3	4	1:7	-6	3
18	Tritium	7	0	2	5	7:16	-9	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.75X27%3.29222%4.14

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.01 → 1.77 -11.9%X3.30 → 3.33 +0.9%23.61 → 4.14 +14.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Betano	1.98	1.65	11.1%
Best of all books	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Average	2.04	1.69	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.96	1.84	5.4%
Best of all books	1.96	1.84	5.4%
Average	1.96	1.84	5.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Villa Valle 45%Draw 45%Fiorenzuola 10%

The statistical model rated Villa Valle at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fiorenzuola at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.29 | 4.14, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Villa Valle win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone B table: Villa Valle are 6th (10 pts, 9-6 goals), Fiorenzuola 17th (3 pts, 1-7).

Over their last five matches, Villa Valle averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Fiorenzuola averaged 0.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Villa Valle or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.01	3.30	3.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.62	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.96	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	1.95	4.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.37	2.94
2.25	1.78	1.85
2.5	2.04	1.69
3.5	3.68	1.24
4.5	7.85	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.60	1.23
-0.25	1.70	1.91
0	1.44	2.46

Latest Serie D - Girone B results

4 Oct	Club Milano 1-2 Leon
4 Oct	Piacenza 4-0 Scanzorosciate
4 Oct	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-0 Virtus Verona
4 Oct	Brusaporto 0-1 Pro Palazzolo
4 Oct	Rovato Vertovese 0-1 Real Calepina
3 Oct	Chievo 5-0 Tritium