Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina• Serie D - Girone B, Italy

#161.6:2.20-1FT04/102.0:1.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60BTNX3.611XB22.631XBMargin at best4.2%Books2Markets12Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.58	3.76	2.51	5.2%
Betano	2.62	3.05	2.50	11.0%
Best of all books	2.62	3.76	2.51	4.6%
Average	2.60	3.40	2.50	7.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rovato VertoveseReal Calepina

Last 10#16Table position#120.86Points per game1.143Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 52.02.2Goals against · last 51.844Attack rating5645Defence rating5538Form rating630H2H rating068Goals model3249Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:41 UTC

Rovato Vertovese

1W 5D 4L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

27 Sep	A	Tritium	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Leon	2-2	D
16 Sep	A	Virtus Verona	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Chievo	3-4	L
6 Sep	A	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	0-2	L
8 Aug	H	Ospitaletto	2-2	D
3 May	A	Imolese	0-1	L
26 Apr	H	Sangiuliano City	2-0	W
19 Apr	A	Sasso Marconi Zola	1-2	L
12 Apr	A	Cittadella Vis Modena	0-0	D

Real Calepina

2W 5D 3L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

27 Sep	H	Brusaporto	2-3	L
20 Sep	A	Piacenza	1-3	L
16 Sep	H	Caldiero Terme	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Scanzorosciate	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Pro Palazzolo	5-1	W
3 May	H	Scanzorosciate	1-1	D
26 Apr	A	Sondrio	1-5	L
19 Apr	A	Folgore Caratese	1-1	D
12 Apr	H	Breno	1-1	D
8 Apr	H	Milan II	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Rovato Vertovese and Real Calepina on record.

Serie D - Girone B tableGroup Bupdated 13 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone B table, Rovato Vertovese sit 16th with 6 points from 7 games, while Real Calepina are 12th with 8 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nibbiano & Valtidone	7	6	0	1	11:3	+8	18
2	Chievo	7	5	1	1	15:7	+8	16
3	Leon	7	3	3	1	12:7	+5	12
4	Caldiero Terme	7	3	3	1	12:9	+3	12
5	Piacenza	6	3	2	1	10:4	+6	11
6	Villa Valle	7	2	4	1	9:6	+3	10
7	Pro Palazzolo	7	3	1	3	7:10	-3	10
8	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	7	2	3	2	9:8	+1	9
9	Milan II	5	3	0	2	9:9	0	9
10	Brusaporto	7	3	0	4	7:9	-2	9
11	Virtus Verona	7	2	3	2	6:8	-2	9
12	Real Calepina	7	2	2	3	11:12	-1	8
13	Scanzorosciate	7	2	2	3	6:8	-2	8
14	Club Milano	7	2	1	4	5:7	-2	7
15	Pavonese	6	2	1	3	5:9	-4	7
16	Rovato Vertovese	7	1	3	3	10:13	-3	6
17	Fiorenzuola	7	0	3	4	1:7	-6	3
18	Tritium	7	0	2	5	7:16	-9	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.47X29%3.13235%2.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.60 → 2.48 -4.6%X3.41 → 3.08 -9.7%22.51 → 2.55 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.80	2.01	5.3%
Betano	1.78	1.85	10.2%
Best of all books	1.80	2.01	5.3%
Average	1.79	1.93	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.70	2.15	5.3%
Best of all books	1.70	2.15	5.3%
Average	1.70	2.15	5.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rovato Vertovese 35%Draw 35%Real Calepina 30%

The statistical model rated Rovato Vertovese at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Real Calepina at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.47 | 3.13 | 2.54, which imply roughly 40.5% for a Rovato Vertovese win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone B table: Rovato Vertovese are 16th (6 pts, 10-13 goals), Real Calepina 12th (8 pts, 11-12).

Over their last five matches, Rovato Vertovese averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Real Calepina averaged 2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Rovato Vertovese or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.60	3.41	2.51

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.39	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.85	1.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
3.15	2.02	3.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.24	3.70
2.5	1.79	1.93
3.5	2.85	1.40
4.5	5.37	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	1.88	1.82
+1.5	1.15	4.55

Latest Serie D - Girone B results

4 Oct	Villa Valle 0-0 Fiorenzuola
4 Oct	Club Milano 1-2 Leon
4 Oct	Piacenza 4-0 Scanzorosciate
4 Oct	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-0 Virtus Verona
4 Oct	Brusaporto 0-1 Pro Palazzolo
3 Oct	Chievo 5-0 Tritium