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Club Milano vs Leon• Serie D - Girone B, Italy

#140.6:1.01-2FT04/101.4:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.79PINX3.481XB22.57BTNMargin at best3.5%Books2Markets13Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.493.572.705.2%
Betano2.522.902.7210.9%
Best of all books2.523.572.724.5%
Average2.503.232.717.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Club MilanoLeon
Last 10#14Table position#31.00Points per game1.714Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.230Attack rating7055Defence rating4540Form rating600H2H rating00Goals model10042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:41 UTC

Club Milano

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

27 SepAVirtus Ciserano Bergamo1-1D
20 SepHVirtus Verona0-1L
16 SepAChievo0-2L
12 SepAPavonese2-0W
6 SepHNibbiano & Valtidone0-1L
3 MayHAsti4-1W
26 AprASanremese0-1L
19 AprHNovaRomentin6-1W
12 AprACairese1-0W
2 AprHBiellese1-1D

Leon

1W 5D 4L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

27 SepHVilla Valle1-2L
20 SepARovato Vertovese2-2D
16 SepHPiacenza1-1D
12 SepACaldiero Terme1-1D
6 SepHBrusaporto2-0W
10 MayAUSD Casatese0-4L
3 MayAUSD Casatese0-1L
26 AprHChievo2-2D
19 AprAScanzorosciate0-0D
12 AprACastellanzese0-1L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Club Milano and Leon on record.

Serie D - Girone B tableGroup Bupdated 13 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone B table, Club Milano sit 14th with 7 points from 7 games, while Leon are 3rd with 12 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nibbiano & Valtidone760111:3+818
2Chievo751115:7+816
3Leon733112:7+512
4Caldiero Terme733112:9+312
5Piacenza632110:4+611
6Villa Valle72419:6+310
7Pro Palazzolo73137:10-310
8Virtus Ciserano Bergamo72329:8+19
9Milan II53029:909
10Brusaporto73047:9-29
11Virtus Verona72326:8-29
12Real Calepina722311:12-18
13Scanzorosciate72236:8-28
14Club Milano72145:7-27
15Pavonese62135:9-47
16Rovato Vertovese713310:13-36
17Fiorenzuola70341:7-63
18Tritium70257:16-92

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.63X29%3.06237%2.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 01:114 Oct 12:111 2.63X 3.062 2.45
12.51 → 2.63 +4.8%X3.24 → 3.06 -5.6%22.71 → 2.45 -9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.991.825.2%
Betano1.981.6511.1%
Best of all books1.991.825.2%
Average1.981.738.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.831.975.4%
Best of all books1.831.975.4%
Average1.831.975.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Club Milano 10%Draw 45%Leon 45%

The statistical model rated Club Milano at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Leon at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.63 | 3.06 | 2.45, which imply roughly 32.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone B table: Club Milano are 14th (7 pts, 5-7 goals), Leon 3rd (12 pts, 12-7).

Over their last five matches, Club Milano averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Leon averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Leon and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.513.242.71

Double chance

1XX212
1.371.421.34

Draw no bet

12
1.751.87

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.97

1st half

1X2
3.151.933.40

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.323.16
2.251.781.87
2.51.991.74
3.53.351.29
4.56.871.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.54.701.14
01.771.94

Latest Serie D - Girone B results

4 OctVilla Valle 0-0 Fiorenzuola
4 OctPiacenza 4-0 Scanzorosciate
4 OctVirtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-0 Virtus Verona
4 OctBrusaporto 0-1 Pro Palazzolo
4 OctRovato Vertovese 0-1 Real Calepina
3 OctChievo 5-0 Tritium