Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze• Serie D - Girone A, Italy

#140.8:1.61-1FT11/10 · Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante0.2:2.4#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX3.72MAR25.371XBMargin at best6.1%Books8Markets43Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 07:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.61	3.60	4.90	10.3%
Betano	1.65	3.50	4.65	10.7%
1xBet	1.53	3.72	5.37	10.9%
Bet365	1.60	3.50	5.00	11.1%
William Hill	1.60	3.40	5.00	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.51	3.72	5.25	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.56	3.71	4.64	12.6%
BetVictor	1.50	3.30	4.50	19.2%
Best of all books	1.65	3.72	5.37	6.1%
Average	1.57	3.56	4.91	12.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sestri LevanteCelle Varazze

Last 10#14Table position#181.00Points per game0.148Form pts · last 500.8Goals for · last 50.21.6Goals against · last 52.480Attack rating2060Defence rating40100Form rating067H2H rating3375Goals model2571Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

Sestri Levante

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	H	Celle Varazze	1-1	D
7 Oct	H	Pistoiese	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Borgosesia	1-0	W
27 Sep	H	Biellese	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Lascaris	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Fezzanese	0-3	L
13 Sep	A	Alessandria	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Asti	2-0	W
19 Aug	A	Sampdoria U20	4-1	W
15 Aug	H	Genoa U20	1-1	D

Celle Varazze

4W 0D 6L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

7 Oct	A	Bra	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Chisola	0-4	L
20 Sep	H	Ligorna	0-2	L
16 Sep	A	Saluzzo	1-3	L
12 Sep	A	Sanremese	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Derthona	0-1	L
3 May	A	Imperia	1-0	W
26 Apr	H	Sestri Levante	1-0	W
19 Apr	A	Saluzzo	1-0	W
12 Apr	H	Città di Varese	2-0	W

Head to head

2Sestri Levante wins

0draws

1Celle Varazze wins

3 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Sestri Levante

26 Apr 2026Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Celle Varazze1-0Sestri Levante
14 Dec 2025Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Sestri Levante3-1Celle Varazze
31 Aug 2025Coppa Italia Serie D	Coppa Italia Serie D	Sestri Levante3-0Celle Varazze

Serie D - Girone A tableSerie D: Group Aupdated 18 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone A table, Sestri Levante sit 14th with 8 points from 8 games, while Celle Varazze are 18th with 1 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alessandria	8	7	0	1	16:9	+7	21
2	Millesimo	8	5	0	3	15:6	+9	15
3	Chisola	8	4	2	2	16:9	+7	14
4	Biellese	7	4	2	1	13:7	+6	14
5	Ligorna	7	4	1	2	15:10	+5	13
6	Sanremese	8	3	3	2	11:8	+3	12
7	Derthona	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
8	Lascaris	8	3	2	3	6:9	-3	11
9	Asti	8	3	2	3	9:9	0	11
10	Imperia	8	3	2	3	11:11	0	11
11	Saluzzo	8	2	4	2	10:10	0	10
12	Gozzano	7	3	1	3	8:11	-3	10
13	Borgosesia	8	2	3	3	9:12	-3	9
14	Sestri Levante	8	2	2	4	7:10	-3	8
15	Fezzanese	8	2	1	5	7:13	-6	7
16	Bra	7	1	3	3	5:8	-3	6
17	Valenzana	7	1	2	4	8:11	-3	5
18	Celle Varazze	7	0	1	6	2:14	-12	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.57X25%3.56218%4.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.60 → 1.57 -1.9%X3.46 → 3.56 +2.9%24.74 → 4.91 +3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.79	1.92	7.9%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Betano	1.83	1.80	10.2%
BetVictor	1.63	1.70	20.2%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.78	1.85	10.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.82	9.9%
BetVictor	1.67	1.67	19.8%
Best of all books	1.82	1.91	7.3%
Average	1.77	1.81	11.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sestri Levante 50%Draw 50%Celle Varazze 0%

The statistical model rated Sestri Levante at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Celle Varazze at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.56 | 4.91, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Sestri Levante win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone A table: Sestri Levante are 14th (8 pts, 7-10 goals), Celle Varazze 18th (1 pts, 2-14).

Over their last five matches, Sestri Levante averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Celle Varazze averaged 0.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sestri Levante or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	3.56	4.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.14	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	3.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
2.09	2.16	5.14

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	10.3	2.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	7.08
1.5	1.21	3.27
2.5	1.78	1.86
3.5	2.81	1.28
4.5	4.75	1.09
5.5	12.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.29	2.90
2	1.35	2.61
2.25	1.55	2.11
2.75	1.94	1.66
3	2.27	1.46
3.25	2.65	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.95	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.47	1.39
-1.25	2.19	1.50
-1	1.94	1.67
-0.75	1.68	1.95
-0.5	1.48	2.13
-0.25	1.35	2.63

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.05	1.10
-2	4.25	1.15
-1.75	3.06	1.29
0	1.17	4.00
+0.25	1.13	4.60
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.85	1.95
9.5	2.10	1.67

Latest Serie D - Girone A results

18 Oct	Biellese 4-1 Valenzana
18 Oct	Ligorna 1-2 Bra
18 Oct	Borgosesia 4-2 Imperia
18 Oct	Saluzzo 0-3 Chisola
18 Oct	Lascaris 1-2 Alessandria
18 Oct	Derthona 1-1 Asti