Valenzana vs 
Ligorna• Serie D - Girone A, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 00:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.40 | 1.78 | 10.0% |
| Betano | 4.00 | 3.35 | 1.78 | 11.0% |
| Best of all books | 4.10 | 3.40 | 1.78 | 10.0% |
| Average | 4.05 | 3.38 | 1.78 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 18:02 UTC
Valenzana
2W 2D 6L · goals 14:20 · per match 1.4 for, 2.0 against
| 18 Oct | A | Biellese | 1-4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Sanremese | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Oct | H | Saluzzo | 3-2 | W |
| 4 Oct | A | Fezzanese | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Borgosesia | 1-2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Asti | 2-2 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Lascaris | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Millesimo | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Alessandria | 1-2 | L |
| 3 May | H | Chisola | 2-3 | L |
Ligorna
6W 1D 3L · goals 22:15 · per match 2.2 for, 1.5 against
| 18 Oct | H | Bra | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Gozzano | 4-0 | W |
| 4 Oct | H | Saluzzo | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Chisola | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Celle Varazze | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Derthona | 2-3 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Biellese | 1-3 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Sanremese | 2-2 | D |
| 17 May | H | Città di Varese | 5-3 | W |
| 10 May | H | Chisola | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Valenzana
| 29 Mar 2026Serie D - Girone A | Serie D - Girone A | Valenzana1-0Ligorna |
| 16 Nov 2025Serie D - Girone A | Serie D - Girone A | Ligorna2-0Valenzana |
Serie D - Girone A tableSerie D: Group Aupdated 24 Oct 00:12 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone A table, Valenzana sit 17th with 5 points from 8 games, while Ligorna are 5th with 13 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Biellese | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 | Millesimo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:6 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Chisola | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 | Ligorna | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 | Sanremese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Derthona | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Lascaris | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Asti | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Imperia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Saluzzo | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Bra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Borgosesia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sestri Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Fezzanese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:14 | -12 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.4% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.82 | 1.82 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.82 | 1.82 | 9.9% |
| Average | 1.82 | 1.82 | 9.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Valenzana at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ligorna at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.05 | 3.35 | 1.77, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone A table: Valenzana are 17th (5 pts, 9-15 goals), Ligorna 5th (13 pts, 16-12).
Over their last five matches, Valenzana averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Ligorna averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Ligorna.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.05 | 3.38 | 1.78 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.21 | 1.27 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.85 | 1.34 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.35 | 2.07 | 2.37 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 2.50 | 2.10 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 7.00 | 14.0 | 23.0 |
| HT X | 8.50 | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| HT 2 | 40.0 | 14.0 | 2.82 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.82 | 1.82 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 1.88 | 1.72 |
Next Serie D - Girone A matches
| 25 Oct | Alessandria – Biellese |
| 25 Oct | Asti – Borgosesia |
| 25 Oct | Imperia – Celle Varazze |
| 25 Oct | Sestri Levante – Saluzzo |
| 25 Oct | Lascaris – Fezzanese |
| 25 Oct | Bra – Derthona |
Latest Serie D - Girone A results
| 18 Oct | Biellese 4-1 Valenzana |
| 18 Oct | Ligorna 1-2 Bra |
| 18 Oct | Borgosesia 4-2 Imperia |
| 18 Oct | Saluzzo 0-3 Chisola |
| 18 Oct | Lascaris 1-2 Alessandria |
| 18 Oct | Derthona 1-1 Asti |