Alessandria vs Imperia• Serie D - Girone A, Italy

#11.8:1.52-1FT30/09 · Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria1.3:0.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.161XBX3.581XB23.30B365Margin at best4.5%Books6Markets36Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 16:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.21	3.54	3.19	4.8%
Betfair	2.15	3.00	3.30	10.1%
Betano	2.12	3.00	3.30	10.8%
Bet365	2.15	3.00	3.20	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.14	2.99	3.12	12.2%
BetVictor	2.05	2.80	2.80	20.2%
Best of all books	2.21	3.54	3.30	3.8%
Average	2.14	3.05	3.15	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlessandriaImperia

Last 10#1Table position#102.50Points per game1.339Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 51.31.5Goals against · last 50.858Attack rating4233Defence rating6756Form rating440H2H rating077Goals model2356Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 09:01 UTC

Alessandria

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

7 Oct	A	Biellese	2-3	L
4 Oct	A	Derthona	3-1	W
30 Sep	H	Imperia	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Asti	2-0	W
16 Sep	A	Millesimo	1-4	L
13 Sep	H	Sestri Levante	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Valenzana	2-1	W
28 Apr	H	Vicenza Virtus	1-2	L
20 Apr	A	Legnago Salus	0-0	D
13 Apr	H	Pro Patria	1-2	L

Imperia

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

4 Oct	A	Lascaris	1-1	D
30 Sep	A	Alessandria	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Fezzanese	2-0	W
16 Sep	H	Asti	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Derthona	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Millesimo	1-0	W
9 Aug	A	Pro Patria	1-2	L
3 May	H	Celle Varazze	0-1	L
26 Apr	A	Derthona	0-0	D
19 Apr	H	Sanremese	2-2	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Alessandria and Imperia on record.

Serie D - Girone A tableSerie D: Group Aupdated 11 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone A table, Alessandria sit 1st with 15 points from 6 games, while Imperia are 10th with 8 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alessandria	6	5	0	1	12:8	+4	15
2	Biellese	6	4	2	0	12:5	+7	14
3	Derthona	6	3	2	1	7:6	+1	11
4	Ligorna	6	3	1	2	11:10	+1	10
5	Asti	6	3	1	2	8:7	+1	10
6	Gozzano	6	3	1	2	8:7	+1	10
7	Saluzzo	6	2	3	1	9:6	+3	9
8	Millesimo	6	3	0	3	8:6	+2	9
9	Chisola	6	2	2	2	9:7	+2	8
10	Imperia	6	2	2	2	7:6	+1	8
11	Lascaris	6	2	2	2	4:7	-3	8
12	Sanremese	6	2	2	2	9:7	+2	8
13	Fezzanese	6	2	1	3	7:7	0	7
14	Sestri Levante	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7
15	Borgosesia	6	1	3	2	5:7	-2	6
16	Bra	6	1	2	3	4:7	-3	5
17	Valenzana	6	1	1	4	7:10	-3	4
18	Celle Varazze	6	0	0	6	1:13	-12	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.10X29%3.07228%3.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 2.10 -1.9%X3.06 → 3.07 +0.3%23.15 → 3.20 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.08	1.74	5.5%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Betano	1.93	1.72	10.0%
BetVictor	1.83	1.53	20.0%
Best of all books	2.15	1.74	4.0%
Average	2.01	1.66	9.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.84	9.9%
BetVictor	1.67	1.67	19.8%
Best of all books	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Average	1.76	1.79	12.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alessandria 35%Draw 35%Imperia 30%

The statistical model rated Alessandria at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Imperia at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.07 | 3.20, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Alessandria win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone A table: Alessandria are 1st (15 pts, 12-8 goals), Imperia 10th (8 pts, 7-6).

Over their last five matches, Alessandria averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Imperia averaged 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alessandria or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.14	3.06	3.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.56	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.16

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.83	1.99	3.76

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	7.60	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	4.33
1.5	1.32	2.77
2.5	2.01	1.66
3.5	3.37	1.21
4.5	6.02	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.45
1.25	1.19	4.05
1.75	1.39	2.42
2	1.50	2.07
2.25	1.77	1.81
2.75	2.24	1.45
3	2.88	1.32
3.25	3.27	1.27
4	6.35	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.34	1.24
-0.75	2.42	1.38
-0.5	1.91	1.48
-0.25	1.82	1.79
0	1.52	2.14
+0.25	1.36	2.50

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.50	1.01
-1.5	4.25	1.15
-1.25	3.84	1.18
+0.75	1.18	3.92
+1	1.07	5.95
+1.5	1.04	7.00