Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC• Liga 1, Indonesia

#21.2:1.63-0FTToday · Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan1.8:2.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.03DAFX3.89PIN23.44PINMargin at best4.0%Books10Markets77Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 10:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.01	3.89	3.44	4.5%
Dafabet	2.03	3.70	3.25	7.1%
Betano	1.98	3.55	3.30	9.0%
BetVictor	1.93	3.70	3.30	9.1%
Betfair	1.90	3.60	3.30	10.7%
1xBet	1.98	3.40	3.22	11.0%
Bet365	1.90	3.60	3.25	11.2%
William Hill	1.91	3.50	3.25	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.96	3.40	3.14	12.3%
SBO	2.02	3.26	2.88	14.9%
Best of all books	2.03	3.89	3.44	4.0%
Average	1.96	3.56	3.23	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Persepam Madura UtdArema FC

Last 10#2Table position#122.11Points per game1.007Form pts · last 561.2Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 52.640Attack rating6062Defence rating3864Form rating3638H2H rating6274Goals model2652Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:10 UTC

Persepam Madura Utd

6W 1D 3L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

31 Oct	A	PSM Makassar	1-0	W
26 Oct	A	Persebaya Surabaya	1-3	L
22 Oct	H	Persib Bandung	1-0	W
16 Oct	H	Bhayangkara FC	3-3	D
9 Oct	A	Persik Kediri	0-2	L
18 Sep	H	PSIM Yogyakarta	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	PSS Sleman	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	Persijap	2-0	W
23 May	H	PSM Makassar	2-0	W
17 May	A	PSIM Yogyakarta	1-2	L

Arema FC

3W 3D 4L · goals 22:20 · per match 2.2 for, 2.0 against

3 Nov	A	RANS Nusantara	4-0	W
31 Oct	H	Bali United	1-3	L
25 Oct	H	Dewa United	4-0	W
21 Oct	A	Persija	1-5	L
17 Oct	A	Garudayaksa	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	Bhayangkara FC	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Persik Kediri	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	PSM Makassar	3-3	D
4 Sep	H	Isenmulang Kalteng	4-0	W
6 Aug	A	Persija	1-3	L

Head to head

5Persepam Madura Utd wins

6draws

6Arema FC wins

17 meetings · goals 19:25 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Persepam Madura Utd

21 Feb 2026Liga 1	Liga 1	Persepam Madura Utd2-2Arema FC
23 Dec 2025Liga 1	Liga 1	Arema FC2-2Persepam Madura Utd
24 Apr 2025Liga 1	Liga 1	Arema FC0-1Persepam Madura Utd
21 Nov 2024Liga 1	Liga 1	Persepam Madura Utd2-4Arema FC
26 Jul 2024Piala Presiden	Piala Presiden	Persepam Madura Utd0-5Arema FC
30 Apr 2024Liga 1	Liga 1	Persepam Madura Utd0-0Arema FC
28 Oct 2023Liga 1	Liga 1	Arema FC1-1Persepam Madura Utd
7 Apr 2023Liga 1	Liga 1	Persepam Madura Utd1-1Arema FC
20 Dec 2022Liga 1	Liga 1	Arema FC0-2Persepam Madura Utd
18 Feb 2022Liga 1	Liga 1	Arema FC1-0Persepam Madura Utd

Liga 1 tableLiga 1updated 6 Nov 14:41 UTC

In the Liga 1 table, Persepam Madura Utd sit 2nd with 19 points from 9 games, while Arema FC are 12th with 9 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Dewa United	9	6	2	1	16:12	+4	20
2	Persepam Madura Utd	9	6	1	2	16:10	+6	19
3	Persija	8	6	0	2	18:8	+10	18
4	Bali United	8	5	1	2	23:9	+14	16
5	Persib Bandung	8	5	1	2	15:8	+7	16
6	Persita	7	4	3	0	17:10	+7	15
7	Persebaya Surabaya	8	3	4	1	10:7	+3	13
8	Bhayangkara FC	8	2	5	1	11:10	+1	11
9	Java United	8	3	3	2	12:10	+2	10
10	Persik Kediri	8	3	1	4	9:11	-2	10
11	Pusamania Borneo	7	3	0	4	7:9	-2	9
12	Arema FC	9	2	3	4	17:20	-3	9
13	PSM Makassar	8	2	3	3	9:13	-4	9
14	Garudayaksa	8	2	2	4	10:15	-5	8
15	PSIM Yogyakarta	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5
16	PSS Sleman	8	1	1	6	11:16	-5	4
17	Isenmulang Kalteng	8	1	2	5	3:16	-13	3
18	Persijap	8	0	2	6	4:16	-12	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.96X26%3.56228%3.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.25 → 1.96 -12.9%X3.34 → 3.56 +6.6%22.80 → 3.23 +15.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.61	2.34	4.8%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
SBO	1.64	2.16	7.3%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.58	2.19	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Best of all books	1.65	2.34	3.3%
Average	1.60	2.22	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Average	1.51	2.35	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Persepam Madura Utd 35%Draw 35%Arema FC 30%

The statistical model rated Persepam Madura Utd at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Arema FC at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 3.56 | 3.23, which imply roughly 51% for a Persepam Madura Utd win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Liga 1 table: Persepam Madura Utd are 2nd (19 pts, 16-10 goals), Arema FC 12th (9 pts, 17-20).

Over their last five matches, Persepam Madura Utd averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Arema FC averaged 1.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Persepam Madura Utd or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.96	3.56	3.23

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.69	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.52	2.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.35

1st half

1	X	2
2.54	2.28	3.63

2nd half

1	X	2
2.30	2.61	3.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.17	13.5	27.5
HT X	5.27	5.91	7.49
HT 2	20.9	13.5	5.14

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.68	15.0	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.1
1.5	1.16	4.47
2.5	1.60	2.22
3.5	2.43	1.48
4.5	4.35	1.17
5.5	7.76	1.04

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.80
1.25	1.07	5.95
1.75	1.18	3.92
2	1.22	3.48
2.25	1.42	2.60
2.75	1.74	1.98
3	1.95	1.77
3.25	2.17	1.61
3.75	2.79	1.35
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.89	1.18
4.75	5.25	1.09
5	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.78	1.38
-0.75	2.25	1.57
-0.5	1.94	1.82
-0.25	1.78	1.97
0	1.48	2.46
+0.25	1.38	2.79

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.00	1.04
-2	6.20	1.06
-1.75	4.40	1.14
-1.5	3.53	1.25
-1.25	3.17	1.30
+0.5	1.32	3.39
+0.75	1.20	3.93
+1	1.08	5.55
+1.25	1.07	6.01
+1.5	1.05	6.45
+1.75	1.01	8.50
+2	1.01	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.13	4.40
8.5	1.30	3.00
9.5	1.57	2.22
10.5	1.91	1.82
11.5	2.46	1.46
12.5	3.31	1.25
13.5	4.78	1.10
14.5	7.30	1.01

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.02	6.87
7.25	1.07	5.30
7.75	1.14	4.19
8	1.16	3.98
8.25	1.24	3.36
8.75	1.35	2.80
9	1.39	2.65
9.25	1.49	2.39
9.75	1.66	2.09
10	1.75	1.99
10.25	1.85	1.85
10.75	2.07	1.67
11	2.24	1.59
11.25	2.35	1.51
11.75	2.71	1.38
12	3.03	1.30
12.25	3.18	1.27
12.75	3.77	1.18
13	4.42	1.12
13.25	4.60	1.11
13.75	5.59	1.06
14	6.87	1.02
14.25	7.08	1.01

Next Liga 1 matches

7 Nov	Pusamania Borneo – PSM Makassar
7 Nov	Persijap – Garudayaksa
7 Nov	Persita – Isenmulang Kalteng
7 Nov	Persija – Persebaya Surabaya
8 Nov	PSS Sleman – Bhayangkara FC
8 Nov	Bali United – Persik Kediri

All Liga 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 1 results

6 Nov	PSIM Yogyakarta 1-2 Dewa United
1 Nov	Garudayaksa 3-1 PSS Sleman
1 Nov	Persib Bandung 4-0 Isenmulang Kalteng
1 Nov	PSIM Yogyakarta 2-1 Pusamania Borneo
31 Oct	Dewa United 2-1 Persija
31 Oct	Arema FC 1-3 Bali United