Arema FC vs Bali United• Liga 1, Indonesia

#111.8:2.21-3LiveToday · Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang2.8:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.60B365X3.90BFR21.93PINMargin at best5.2%Books10Markets81Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 23:49 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.77	3.93	1.90	4.6%
Dafabet	3.40	3.70	1.97	7.2%
Betano	3.30	3.65	1.95	9.0%
Bet365	3.40	3.80	1.85	9.8%
BetVictor	3.40	3.80	1.85	9.8%
Betfair	3.30	3.80	1.85	10.7%
1xBet	3.65	3.66	1.78	10.9%
William Hill	3.40	3.50	1.85	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.56	3.66	1.76	12.2%
SBO	3.05	3.32	1.82	17.9%
Best of all books	3.77	3.93	1.97	2.7%
Average	3.42	3.68	1.86	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arema FCBali United

Last 10#11Table position#31.29Points per game1.865Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 52.82.2Goals against · last 51.239Attack rating6135Defence rating6542Form rating5850H2H rating5079Goals model2149Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 00:12 UTC

Arema FC

3W 3D 4L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	H	Dewa United	4-0	W
21 Oct	A	Persija	1-5	L
17 Oct	A	Garudayaksa	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	Bhayangkara FC	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Persik Kediri	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	PSM Makassar	3-3	D
4 Sep	H	Isenmulang Kalteng	4-0	W
6 Aug	A	Persija	1-3	L
4 Aug	A	Persebaya Surabaya	0-1	L
31 Jul	H	DPMM FC Brunei	2-0	W

Bali United

6W 1D 3L · goals 27:12 · per match 2.7 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	A	Persita	1-1	D
21 Oct	H	Garudayaksa	5-0	W
16 Oct	A	Java United	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Persijap	6-1	W
20 Sep	A	Pusamania Borneo	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Isenmulang Kalteng	4-1	W
4 Sep	H	PSS Sleman	2-1	W
18 Aug	A	Persib Bandung	2-3	L
22 May	A	Dewa United	1-0	W
17 May	H	Bhayangkara FC	4-1	W

Head to head

6Arema FC wins

2draws

9Bali United wins

17 meetings · goals 22:29 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Arema FC

6 Mar 2026Liga 1	Liga 1	Arema FC3-4Bali United
4 Jan 2026Liga 1	Liga 1	Bali United1-0Arema FC
3 Feb 2025Liga 1	Liga 1	Arema FC1-0Bali United
11 Sep 2024Liga 1	Liga 1	Bali United0-0Arema FC
21 Jul 2024Piala Presiden	Piala Presiden	Bali United0-1Arema FC
4 Dec 2023Liga 1	Liga 1	Bali United3-2Arema FC
21 Jul 2023Liga 1	Liga 1	Arema FC1-3Bali United
27 Mar 2023Liga 1	Liga 1	Arema FC1-3Bali United
13 Aug 2022Liga 1	Liga 1	Bali United1-2Arema FC
15 Mar 2022Liga 1	Liga 1	Bali United2-1Arema FC

Liga 1 tableLiga 1updated 30 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the Liga 1 table, Arema FC sit 11th with 9 points from 7 games, while Bali United are 3rd with 13 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Persija	7	6	0	1	17:6	+11	18
2	Dewa United	7	4	2	1	12:10	+2	14
3	Bali United	7	4	1	2	20:8	+12	13
4	Persib Bandung	7	4	1	2	11:8	+3	13
5	Persepam Madura Utd	7	4	1	2	12:10	+2	13
6	Persita	6	3	3	0	12:9	+3	12
7	Persebaya Surabaya	7	3	3	1	9:6	+3	12
8	Bhayangkara FC	8	2	5	1	11:10	+1	11
9	Java United	8	3	3	2	12:10	+2	10
10	Persik Kediri	7	3	1	3	8:6	+2	10
11	Arema FC	7	2	3	2	16:14	+2	9
12	Pusamania Borneo	6	3	0	3	6:7	-1	9
13	PSM Makassar	7	2	3	2	9:12	-3	9
14	Garudayaksa	7	1	2	4	7:14	-7	5
15	PSS Sleman	7	1	1	5	10:13	-3	4
16	Isenmulang Kalteng	7	1	2	4	3:12	-9	3
17	PSIM Yogyakarta	7	0	2	5	3:11	-8	2
18	Persijap	7	0	1	6	3:15	-12	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.42X25%3.68249%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.65 → 3.42 -6.3%X3.78 → 3.67 -2.9%21.78 → 1.86 +4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	2.61	5.4%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.45	2.60	7.4%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Betano	1.47	2.42	9.3%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.61	5.0%
Average	1.46	2.53	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Betano	1.44	2.55	8.7%
1xBet	1.42	2.59	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
BetVictor	1.40	2.63	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.53	9.9%
Best of all books	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Average	1.43	2.57	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arema FC 10%Draw 45%Bali United 45%

The statistical model rates Arema FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bali United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.42 | 3.68 | 1.86, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 1 table: Arema FC are 11th (9 pts, 16-14 goals), Bali United 3rd (13 pts, 20-8).

Over their last five matches, Arema FC averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Bali United averaged 2.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bali United and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.42	3.68	1.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.82	1.23	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
2.59	1.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.57

1st half

1	X	2
3.75	2.40	2.33

2nd half

1	X	2
3.47	2.77	2.13

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.54	13.7	18.9
HT X	8.24	6.51	5.15
HT 2	27.2	13.4	2.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.27	17.3	1.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.9
1.5	1.12	5.36
2.5	1.46	2.53
3.5	2.16	1.63
4.5	3.64	1.24
5.5	6.50	1.07

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.75	1.11	4.85
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.28	3.09
2.75	1.56	2.26
3	1.71	2.01
3.25	1.93	1.78
3.75	2.44	1.48
4	2.92	1.31
4.25	3.21	1.27
4.75	4.34	1.14
5	5.80	1.07
5.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.69	1.41
+0.25	2.16	1.62
+0.5	1.88	1.87
+0.75	1.68	2.06
+1	1.49	2.46
+1.25	1.39	2.75

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.27	1.06
-1.25	6.77	1.06
-1	6.38	1.08
-0.75	4.37	1.16
-0.5	3.58	1.29
-0.25	3.11	1.32
+1.5	1.33	3.05
+1.75	1.23	3.57
+2	1.13	4.88
+2.25	1.11	5.35
+2.5	1.10	5.67
+3	1.01	10.0
+3.5	1.04	11.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.11	4.66
8.5	1.27	3.12
9.5	1.53	2.29
10.5	1.83	1.90
11.5	2.37	1.50
12.5	3.15	1.27
13.5	4.49	1.12
14.5	6.76	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.12	4.44
8	1.14	4.24
8.25	1.21	3.54
8.75	1.32	2.94
9	1.36	2.78
9.25	1.45	2.48
9.75	1.61	2.16
10	1.69	2.07
10.25	1.79	1.91
10.75	2.00	1.72
11	2.10	1.69
11.25	2.26	1.55
11.75	2.59	1.41
12	2.88	1.33
12.25	3.02	1.30
12.75	3.56	1.21
13	4.14	1.15
13.25	4.31	1.13
13.75	5.21	1.08
14	6.35	1.03
14.25	6.55	1.03

Next Liga 1 matches

31 Oct	Dewa United – Persija
1 Nov	PSIM Yogyakarta – Pusamania Borneo
1 Nov	Garudayaksa – PSS Sleman

All Liga 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 1 results

30 Oct	Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Persijap
27 Oct	PSS Sleman 1-2 Pusamania Borneo
26 Oct	Persija 2-1 Persik Kediri
26 Oct	Persebaya Surabaya 3-1 Persepam Madura Utd
26 Oct	Bhayangkara FC 0-0 PSM Makassar
25 Oct	Garudayaksa 1-2 Persib Bandung