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Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman• Liga 1, Indonesia

#81.0:0.52-2FT18/10 · Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya1.5:1.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.61PINX4.12PIN25.03PINMargin at best6.3%Books6Markets83Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 23:36 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.624.155.075.5%
BetVictor1.574.004.809.5%
William Hill1.603.754.7510.2%
1xBet1.553.804.9711.0%
Bet3651.603.804.5011.0%
Marathonbet1.533.804.8512.3%
Best of all books1.624.155.075.5%
Average1.583.884.829.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Persebaya SurabayaPSS Sleman
Last 10#8Table position#151.80Points per game0.809Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.50.5Goals against · last 51.840Attack rating6078Defence rating2273Form rating2771H2H rating2975Goals model2566Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 06:00 UTC

Persebaya Surabaya

6W 4D 0L · goals 12:6 · per match 1.2 for, 0.6 against

18 OctHPSS Sleman2-2D
9 OctAIsenmulang Kalteng1-0W
19 SepHGarudayaksa1-1D
13 SepHPSIM Yogyakarta1-0W
5 SepABhayangkara FC1-1D
6 AugAPersib Bandung1-1D
4 AugHArema FC1-0W
1 AugHPort FC2-1W
29 JulHPSMS Medan1-0W
26 JulHPersija1-0W

PSS Sleman

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

18 OctAPersebaya Surabaya2-2D
11 OctHPSM Makassar3-0W
20 SepADewa United1-2L
12 SepHPersepam Madura Utd1-3L
4 SepABali United1-2L
9 MayHGarudayaksa2-2D
3 MayHPSIS Semarang3-0W
26 AprAPersiba Balikpapan1-1D
20 AprHPersiku Kudus2-1W
11 AprABarito Putera0-1L

Head to head

6Persebaya Surabaya wins
1draws
3PSS Sleman wins

10 meetings · goals 16:12 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Persebaya Surabaya

11 Jan 2025Liga 1Liga 1PSS Sleman3-1Persebaya Surabaya
11 Aug 2024Liga 1Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya1-0PSS Sleman
3 Mar 2024Liga 1Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya2-1PSS Sleman
26 Aug 2023Liga 1Liga 1PSS Sleman0-0Persebaya Surabaya
13 Feb 2023Liga 1Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya4-2PSS Sleman
27 Aug 2022Liga 1Liga 1PSS Sleman0-1Persebaya Surabaya
29 Jan 2022Liga 1Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya1-0PSS Sleman
29 Sep 2021Liga 1Liga 1PSS Sleman1-3Persebaya Surabaya
29 Oct 2019Liga 1Liga 1Persebaya Surabaya2-3PSS Sleman
13 Jul 2019Liga 1Liga 1PSS Sleman2-1Persebaya Surabaya

Liga 1 tableLiga 1updated 20 Oct 16:00 UTC

In the Liga 1 table, Persebaya Surabaya sit 8th with 9 points from 5 games, while PSS Sleman are 15th with 4 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Dewa United642012:6+614
2Persija540110:4+612
3Persita532011:8+311
4Bhayangkara FC624011:8+310
5Persepam Madura Utd531110:7+310
6Persib Bandung53119:6+310
7Bali United530214:7+79
8Persebaya Surabaya52306:4+29
9Persik Kediri52125:3+27
10Arema FC513111:9+26
11Java United62229:906
12Pusamania Borneo52034:6-26
13Garudayaksa51226:7-15
14PSM Makassar51228:12-45
15PSS Sleman51138:9-14
16Isenmulang Kalteng61143:12-92
17PSIM Yogyakarta60153:11-81
18Persijap60062:14-120

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.53X23%3.93217%5.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 15:1017 Oct 22:001 1.58X 3.882 4.82
11.75 → 1.58 -9.7%X3.64 → 3.88 +6.6%23.85 → 4.82 +25.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.632.295.0%
Bet3651.622.256.2%
BetVictor1.572.218.9%
1xBet1.562.229.1%
Marathonbet1.562.229.1%
Best of all books1.632.295.0%
Average1.592.247.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.602.208.0%
William Hill1.602.208.0%
1xBet1.592.179.0%
Marathonbet1.592.139.8%
Best of all books1.602.208.0%
Average1.592.178.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Persebaya Surabaya 45%Draw 45%PSS Sleman 10%

The statistical model rated Persebaya Surabaya at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and PSS Sleman at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 3.93 | 5.29, which imply roughly 65.4% for a Persebaya Surabaya win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 1 table: Persebaya Surabaya are 8th (9 pts, 6-4 goals), PSS Sleman 15th (4 pts, 8-9).

Over their last five matches, Persebaya Surabaya averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; PSS Sleman averaged 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Persebaya Surabaya or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.583.884.82

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.171.18

Draw no bet

12
1.253.68

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.17

1st half

1X2
2.102.374.90

2nd half

1X2
1.882.734.65

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.2915.438.7
HT X4.456.3010.8
HT 222.316.48.30

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4714.32.69

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0314.4
1.51.154.61
2.51.592.24
3.52.401.49
4.54.371.17
5.58.401.03
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0310.5
1.251.066.30
1.751.164.05
21.213.58
2.251.392.64
2.751.712.01
31.921.78
3.252.161.61
3.752.781.34
43.501.22
4.253.881.18
4.755.301.09
57.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.521.46
-1.252.261.57
-11.981.76
-0.751.722.00
-0.51.592.29
-0.251.412.71
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.101.02
-38.801.01
-2.755.831.09
-2.54.551.15
-2.254.171.18
-23.911.22
-1.753.001.34
01.233.76
+0.251.194.15
+0.51.194.50
+0.751.086.35
+11.028.10
+1.251.027.88
+1.51.028.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.055.78
7.51.203.65
8.51.422.55
9.51.741.98
10.52.191.59
11.52.881.33
12.54.121.15
13.56.201.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.53
71.085.28
7.251.144.22
7.751.233.40
81.263.22
8.251.352.80
8.751.492.38
91.562.29
9.251.672.08
9.751.861.84
101.991.77
10.252.101.65
10.752.391.49
112.621.42
11.252.781.36
11.753.261.25
123.781.18
12.253.941.16
12.754.781.10
135.791.05
13.256.001.05

Next Liga 1 matches

21 OctBali United – Garudayaksa
21 OctPersija – Arema FC
22 OctPSM Makassar – Persebaya Surabaya
22 OctPersik Kediri – PSS Sleman
22 OctPersepam Madura Utd – Persib Bandung

All Liga 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Liga 1 results

20 OctDewa United 2-0 Persijap
20 OctBhayangkara FC 1-0 PSIM Yogyakarta
18 OctPersib Bandung 1-0 Persik Kediri
17 OctPersita 3-2 Persija
17 OctGarudayaksa 3-1 Arema FC
16 OctPersepam Madura Utd 3-3 Bhayangkara FC