Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21• Premier League 2 Division One, England

#171.8:2.33-3FT18/10 · Elite Football Performance Centre, Lancing2.0:1.5#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67B365X4.59PIN24.08PINMargin at best6.2%Books5Markets59Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 07:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.60	4.57	4.04	9.1%
1xBet	1.59	4.30	4.04	10.9%
Bet365	1.67	4.00	3.70	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.57	4.30	3.96	12.2%
William Hill	1.60	4.00	3.90	13.1%
Best of all books	1.67	4.57	4.04	6.5%
Average	1.61	4.23	3.93	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Brighton U21AFC Bournemouth U21

Last 10#17Table position#91.00Points per game2.009Form pts · last 5121.8Goals for · last 52.02.3Goals against · last 51.547Attack rating5340Defence rating6031Form rating6950H2H rating5084Goals model1649Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

Brighton U21

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against

13 Oct	A	Gillingham	3-4	L
9 Oct	H	Sheffield United U21	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Liverpool U21	1-5	L
16 Sep	H	Paris Saint-Germain U21	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Leicester City U21	3-0	W
4 Sep	A	West Ham United U21	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Arsenal U21	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	Aston Villa U21	1-2	L
18 Aug	A	Northampton	3-0	W
14 Aug	H	Millwall U21	2-0	W

AFC Bournemouth U21

6W 1D 3L · goals 20:17 · per match 2.0 for, 1.7 against

12 Oct	H	Plymouth U21	6-1	W
21 Sep	H	Stoke City U21	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Southampton U21	1-3	L
4 Sep	A	Leicester City U21	1-0	W
31 Aug	H	Middlesbrough U21	3-1	W
21 Aug	H	Chelsea U21	2-1	W
14 Aug	A	Cardiff City U21	1-4	L
10 Jul	H	Worthing	2-2	D
4 May	A	Huddersfield Town U21	1-4	L
24 Apr	H	Wolves U21	1-0	W

Head to head

1Brighton U21 wins

0draws

1AFC Bournemouth U21 wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Brighton U21

26 Nov 2022Premier League Cup	Premier League Cup	AFC Bournemouth U210-2Brighton U21
17 Aug 2022Premier League Cup	Premier League Cup	Brighton U210-3AFC Bournemouth U21

Premier League 2 Division One tablePremier League 2 U21updated 19 Oct 17:30 UTC

In the Premier League 2 Division One table, Brighton U21 sit 17th with 5 points from 5 games, while AFC Bournemouth U21 are 9th with 10 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tottenham Hotspur U21	5	4	1	0	15:7	+8	13
2	Chelsea U21	5	4	0	1	15:9	+6	12
3	Nottingham Forest U21	5	4	0	1	10:9	+1	12
4	Liverpool U21	5	3	1	1	9:4	+5	10
5	Southampton U21	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
6	Sunderland U21	5	3	1	1	15:11	+4	10
7	Fulham U21	5	3	1	1	14:10	+4	10
8	Norwich City U21	5	3	1	1	10:7	+3	10
9	AFC Bournemouth U21	5	3	1	1	11:9	+2	10
10	Manchester United U21	4	3	0	1	14:6	+8	9
11	Everton U21	5	2	2	1	6:4	+2	8
12	Aston Villa U21	5	2	2	1	8:8	0	8
13	Crystal Palace U21	4	2	1	1	7:3	+4	7
14	Reading U21	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
15	Leeds United U21	5	2	1	2	12:13	-1	7
16	Brentford U21	5	2	0	3	11:10	+1	6
17	Brighton U21	5	1	2	2	10:12	-2	5
18	West Ham United U21	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5
19	Stoke City U21	5	1	1	3	8:7	+1	4
20	Derby County U21	4	1	1	2	9:12	-3	4
21	Arsenal U21	5	0	4	1	6:9	-3	4
22	Manchester City U21	3	1	0	2	7:6	+1	3
23	Burnley U21	5	1	0	4	8:10	-2	3
24	Blackburn Rovers U21	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3
25	Ipswich Town U21	3	1	0	2	6:10	-4	3
26	Birmingham City U21	3	0	2	1	5:7	-2	2
27	Middlesbrough U21	5	0	2	3	8:12	-4	2
28	West Bromwich Albion U21	3	0	1	2	8:11	-3	1
29	Leicester City U21	4	0	1	3	1:9	-8	1
30	Newcastle United U21	3	0	0	3	1:9	-8	0
31	Wolves U21	3	0	0	3	0:10	-10	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.66X22%4.18224%3.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.37	2.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.37	2.66	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.66	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.85	4.5%
Average	1.39	2.70	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.43	2.56	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.50	9.9%
Best of all books	1.44	2.56	8.5%
Average	1.43	2.52	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Brighton U21 10%Draw 45%AFC Bournemouth U21 45%

The statistical model rated Brighton U21 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AFC Bournemouth U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 4.18 | 3.72, which imply roughly 23.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League 2 Division One table: Brighton U21 are 17th (5 pts, 10-12 goals), AFC Bournemouth U21 9th (10 pts, 11-9).

Over their last five matches, Brighton U21 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game; AFC Bournemouth U21 averaged 2 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AFC Bournemouth U21 and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	4.23	3.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.09	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.52

1st half

1	X	2
2.03	2.61	4.18

2nd half

1	X	2
1.92	2.86	3.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.34	14.7	29.7
HT X	5.13	7.83	10.2
HT 2	18.0	15.0	6.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.53	22.5	2.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	16.5
1.5	1.08	5.50
2.5	1.39	2.70
3.5	2.00	1.71
4.5	3.20	1.26
5.5	5.65	1.08

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	12.0
1.75	1.10	5.10
2	1.12	4.70
2.25	1.25	3.28
2.75	1.45	2.46
3	1.57	2.19
3.25	1.80	1.90
3.75	2.24	1.55
4	2.65	1.39
4.25	2.92	1.31
4.75	3.85	1.18
5	5.05	1.10
5.25	5.35	1.09
6	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.50	1.44
-1.25	2.25	1.55
-1	1.97	1.72
-0.75	1.77	1.94
-0.5	1.72	2.11
-0.25	1.44	2.52

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.01
-3	7.90	1.02
-2.5	4.50	1.13
-2.25	4.20	1.15
-2	3.84	1.18
-1.75	2.97	1.32
0	1.29	3.17
+0.25	1.23	3.42
+0.75	1.11	4.85
+1	1.04	7.10
+1.25	1.03	7.40
+1.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.38	2.70
9	1.50	2.36
9.5	1.71	1.96
10	1.96	1.71
10.5	2.25	1.54
11	2.77	1.37

Latest Premier League 2 Division One results

18 Oct	Tottenham Hotspur U21 2-0 Leicester City U21
18 Oct	Brentford U21 1-2 Fulham U21
18 Oct	Leeds United U21 1-4 Crystal Palace U21
17 Oct	Liverpool U21 1-0 Reading U21
17 Oct	Burnley U21 0-1 Aston Villa U21
16 Oct	Nottingham Forest U21 3-2 Manchester United U21