Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21• Premier League 2 Division One, England

#232.0:2.312:00Tomorrow · Burnley FC Training Centre1.8:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.29PINX4.40PIN22.00B365Margin at best3.1%Books5Markets51Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.29	4.40	1.78	9.3%
Bet365	2.75	4.10	2.00	10.8%
1xBet	3.08	4.10	1.85	10.9%
Marathonbet	3.02	4.10	1.83	12.1%
William Hill	3.00	3.80	1.85	13.7%
Best of all books	3.29	4.40	2.00	3.1%
Average	3.03	4.10	1.86	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Burnley U21Aston Villa U21

Last 10#23Table position#160.75Points per game1.257Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 51.82.3Goals against · last 52.053Attack rating4747Defence rating5338Form rating630H2H rating047Goals model5346Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 17:40 UTC

Burnley U21

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

9 Oct	H	Preston North End U21	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Derby County U21	4-1	W
14 Sep	A	Nottingham Forest U21	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Fleetwood Town U21	2-1	W
28 Aug	H	Reading U21	1-3	L
21 Aug	A	Fulham U21	3-4	L
14 Aug	A	Wolves U21	0-2	L
14 May	A	Sunderland U21	2-1	W
13 Apr	H	West Bromwich Albion U21	2-1	W
12 Apr	H	Blackburn Rovers U21	0-2	L

Aston Villa U21

3W 2D 5L · goals 19:24 · per match 1.9 for, 2.4 against

22 Sep	A	Crewe	1-4	L
18 Sep	H	Middlesbrough U21	2-2	D
15 Sep	H	Real Sociedad II	5-1	W
11 Sep	A	Fulham U21	3-3	D
2 Sep	H	Brondby U21	0-4	L
28 Aug	H	Crystal Palace U21	0-2	L
21 Aug	H	Brighton U21	2-1	W
18 Aug	A	Wigan	2-3	L
21 Jul	A	Tamworth	2-1	W
1 May	H	Manchester City U21	2-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Burnley U21 and Aston Villa U21 on record.

Premier League 2 Division One tablePremier League 2 U21updated 16 Oct 20:01 UTC

In the Premier League 2 Division One table, Burnley U21 sit 23rd with 3 points from 4 games, while Aston Villa U21 are 16th with 5 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tottenham Hotspur U21	4	3	1	0	13:7	+6	10
2	Southampton U21	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
3	Sunderland U21	5	3	1	1	15:11	+4	10
4	Manchester United U21	3	3	0	0	12:3	+9	9
5	Chelsea U21	4	3	0	1	13:8	+5	9
6	AFC Bournemouth U21	4	3	0	1	8:6	+2	9
7	Nottingham Forest U21	4	3	0	1	7:7	0	9
8	Liverpool U21	4	2	1	1	8:4	+4	7
9	Fulham U21	4	2	1	1	12:9	+3	7
10	Leeds United U21	4	2	1	1	11:9	+2	7
11	Reading U21	4	2	1	1	7:6	+1	7
12	Norwich City U21	4	2	1	1	6:5	+1	7
13	Brentford U21	4	2	0	2	10:8	+2	6
14	Everton U21	4	1	2	1	4:3	+1	5
15	West Ham United U21	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
16	Aston Villa U21	4	1	2	1	7:8	-1	5
17	Stoke City U21	4	1	1	2	7:5	+2	4
18	Crystal Palace U21	3	1	1	1	3:2	+1	4
19	Brighton U21	4	1	1	2	7:9	-2	4
20	Derby County U21	4	1	1	2	9:12	-3	4
21	Arsenal U21	5	0	4	1	6:9	-3	4
22	Manchester City U21	3	1	0	2	7:6	+1	3
23	Burnley U21	4	1	0	3	8:9	-1	3
24	Blackburn Rovers U21	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3
25	Ipswich Town U21	3	1	0	2	6:10	-4	3
26	Birmingham City U21	3	0	2	1	5:7	-2	2
27	Middlesbrough U21	4	0	2	2	7:10	-3	2
28	West Bromwich Albion U21	3	0	1	2	8:11	-3	1
29	Leicester City U21	3	0	1	2	1:7	-6	1
30	Newcastle United U21	3	0	0	3	1:9	-8	0
31	Wolves U21	3	0	0	3	0:10	-10	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.03X22%4.10248%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.00	6.9%
1xBet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Best of all books	1.36	3.14	5.4%
Average	1.30	3.09	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.29	3.16	9.2%
William Hill	1.30	3.10	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.29	3.08	10.0%
Best of all books	1.30	3.16	8.6%
Average	1.29	3.11	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burnley U21 10%Draw 45%Aston Villa U21 45%

The statistical model rates Burnley U21 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aston Villa U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.03 | 4.10 | 1.86, which imply roughly 24.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League 2 Division One table: Burnley U21 are 23rd (3 pts, 8-9 goals), Aston Villa U21 16th (5 pts, 7-8).

Over their last five matches, Burnley U21 averaged 2 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game; Aston Villa U21 averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aston Villa U21 and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.03	4.10	1.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.70	1.34	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
2.14	1.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.29	3.11

1st half

1	X	2
3.35	2.64	2.27

2nd half

1	X	2
3.26	2.92	2.11

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.40	14.3	19.4
HT X	7.93	7.93	6.07
HT 2	23.7	14.2	3.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.08	27.5	1.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.03	7.20
2.5	1.30	3.09
3.5	1.77	1.93
4.5	2.71	1.38
5.5	4.85	1.11

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	14.5
1.75	1.05	6.70
2	1.06	6.15
2.25	1.16	4.10
2.75	1.34	2.87
3	1.40	2.61
3.25	1.59	2.17
3.75	1.95	1.75
4	2.22	1.56
4.25	2.46	1.45
4.75	3.28	1.25
5	4.20	1.15
5.25	4.55	1.13
6	8.30	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.70	1.39
0	2.32	1.59
+0.25	2.05	1.68
+0.5	1.99	1.78
+0.75	1.68	2.05
+1	1.47	2.43

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.04
-2	9.10	1.01
-1.75	7.90	1.02
-1.5	6.05	1.06
-1.25	5.60	1.08
-1	5.20	1.10
-0.75	3.70	1.20
+1.25	1.38	2.71
+1.5	1.31	3.00
+1.75	1.18	3.84
+2	1.10	5.20
+2.5	1.07	5.95
+3	1.03	8.50
+3.5	1.02	9.30