Wealdstone vs 
Derby County U21• National League Cup, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 18:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.70 | 5.20 | 7.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 4.92 | 6.06 | 7.7% |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.45 | 5.30 | 9.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.60 | 5.89 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.75 | 5.75 | 10.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.60 | 5.65 | 11.9% |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.50 | 6.00 | 12.4% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 13.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 4.92 | 6.06 | 3.5% |
| Average | 1.41 | 4.52 | 5.54 | 11.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 19:01 UTC
Wealdstone
5W 1D 4L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against
| 31 Oct | H | Southend | 3-2 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Solihull Moors | 2-3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Aldershot Town | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest U21 | 1-0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Worthing | 3-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Yeovil Town | 0-6 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Barrow | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Forest Green | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Gateshead | 4-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Tamworth | 1-2 | L |
Derby County U21
3W 2D 5L · goals 23:24 · per match 2.3 for, 2.4 against
| 2 Nov | A | Hull City U21 | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Norwich City U21 | 3-4 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Birmingham City U21 | 4-0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Scunthorpe | 2-2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Brentford U21 | 2-4 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Burnley U21 | 1-4 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 1-3 | L |
| 8 Sep | A | Gateshead | 3-1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | West Bromwich Albion U21 | 4-4 | D |
| 24 Aug | A | Reading U21 | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 2:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Wealdstone
| 3 Dec 2024National League Cup | National League Cup | Wealdstone2-0Derby County U21 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 2.81 | 7.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 2.88 | 8.3% |
| Betano | 1.42 | 2.60 | 8.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 2.70 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 2.70 | 10.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.32 | 2.26 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 2.88 | 4.2% |
| Average | 1.38 | 2.65 | 10.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.52 | 2.34 | 8.5% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.27 | 8.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 2.30 | 9.3% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.30 | 10.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.05 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.55 | 2.40 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.28 | 10.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Wealdstone at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Derby County U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 4.52 | 5.54, which imply roughly 70.9% for a Wealdstone win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Wealdstone averaged 2.7 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Derby County U21 averaged 2.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Wealdstone and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | 4.52 | 5.54 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | 2.56 | 1.13 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.19 | 3.78 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.50 | 2.28 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 | 2.57 | 5.11 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | 3.03 | 4.93 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.07 | 15.4 | 38.4 |
| HT X | 4.43 | 7.72 | 12.6 |
| HT 2 | 17.4 | 16.1 | 9.65 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 20.5 | 2.77 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 18.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.09 | 5.26 |
| 2.5 | 1.38 | 2.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.95 | 1.71 |
| 4.5 | 3.04 | 1.27 |
| 5.5 | 5.22 | 1.09 |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 10.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.10 | 5.15 |
| 2 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| 2.25 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 2.75 | 1.44 | 2.39 |
| 3 | 1.56 | 2.13 |
| 3.25 | 1.73 | 1.88 |
| 3.75 | 2.13 | 1.56 |
| 4 | 2.49 | 1.40 |
| 4.25 | 2.85 | 1.35 |
| 4.75 | 3.68 | 1.20 |
| 5 | 4.75 | 1.12 |
| 5.25 | 5.00 | 1.10 |
| 6 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.28 | 1.49 |
| -1.5 | 2.02 | 1.64 |
| -1.25 | 1.82 | 1.81 |
| -1 | 1.64 | 2.07 |
| -0.75 | 1.48 | 2.32 |
| -0.5 | 1.42 | 2.47 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 6.05 | 1.06 |
| -3.25 | 6.00 | 1.12 |
| -3 | 5.55 | 1.10 |
| -2.75 | 4.15 | 1.18 |
| -2.5 | 3.41 | 1.25 |
| -2.25 | 3.15 | 1.29 |
| -2 | 2.84 | 1.36 |
| -0.25 | 1.31 | 3.10 |
| 0 | 1.17 | 4.30 |
| +0.25 | 1.14 | 4.73 |
| +0.5 | 1.18 | 4.80 |
| +0.75 | 1.07 | 6.68 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 9.45 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 9.40 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.49 | 2.38 |
| 9 | 1.64 | 2.07 |
| 9.5 | 1.89 | 1.77 |
| 10 | 2.23 | 1.55 |
| 10.5 | 2.55 | 1.43 |
Next National League Cup matches
| 3 Nov | Braintree – Norwich City U21 |
| 3 Nov | Aldershot Town – Ipswich Town U21 |
| 3 Nov | Tamworth – Everton U21 |
| 3 Nov | Worthing – Fulham U21 |
| 3 Nov | Woking – Birmingham City U21 |