Toledo vs Almansa• Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, Spain

#52.0:1.02-0FT25/101.4:0.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42BTNX4.57PIN28.50WHMargin at best4.1%Books7Markets48Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 14:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.42	4.05	7.30	8.8%
Pinnacle	1.32	4.67	8.21	9.4%
Dafabet	1.38	4.20	7.40	9.8%
William Hill	1.36	4.20	8.00	9.8%
1xBet	1.32	4.30	8.40	10.9%
Bet365	1.36	4.10	7.50	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.31	4.30	7.90	12.2%
Best of all books	1.42	4.67	8.40	3.7%
Average	1.35	4.26	7.82	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ToledoAlmansa

Last 10#5Table position#101.86Points per game1.579Form pts · last 582.0Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 50.859Attack rating4144Defence rating5653Form rating47100H2H rating085Goals model1560Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 12:20 UTC

Toledo

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	A	Manchego	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Huracán Balazote	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Villacañas	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	La Solana	4-0	W
19 Sep	A	Noblejas	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Villarrubia	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Quintanar del Rey	4-2	W
24 May	H	Albacete II	0-1	L
17 May	A	Albacete II	0-0	D
10 May	A	Pedroñeras	0-1	L

Almansa

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	H	San Clemente	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Marchamalo	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Manchego	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Huracán Balazote	3-1	W
19 Sep	A	Villacañas	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	La Solana	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Noblejas	2-3	L
1 May	A	Conquense	3-0	W
24 Apr	H	Quintanar del Rey	1-1	D
3 Apr	A	Torrijos	1-0	W

Head to head

2Toledo wins

0draws

0Almansa wins

2 meetings · goals 6:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Toledo

8 Mar 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Almansa0-1Toledo
13 Oct 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Toledo5-0Almansa

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 tableTercera: Group 18updated 25 Oct 17:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Toledo sit 5th with 13 points from 7 games, while Almansa are 10th with 11 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Manchego	7	6	0	1	10:5	+5	18
2	Torrijos	7	4	2	1	10:4	+6	14
3	Tarancón	8	4	2	2	14:9	+5	14
4	Illescas	8	4	2	2	11:8	+3	14
5	Toledo	7	4	1	2	15:8	+7	13
6	Villarrobledo	7	3	4	0	9:2	+7	13
7	Noblejas	8	4	1	3	14:13	+1	13
8	San Clemente	8	3	3	2	14:14	0	12
9	CD Villa	7	4	0	3	8:8	0	12
10	Almansa	7	3	2	2	12:7	+5	11
11	Villacañas	7	3	2	2	10:7	+3	11
12	Marchamalo	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
13	Villarrubia	8	1	4	3	9:12	-3	7
14	Socuéllamos	8	1	4	3	5:8	-3	7
15	La Solana	7	2	0	5	6:10	-4	6
16	Quintanar del Rey	8	1	2	5	8:15	-7	5
17	Huracán Balazote	8	1	1	6	7:18	-11	4
18	Guadalajara II	8	0	2	6	7:21	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.35X21%4.26212%7.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.78	1.99	6.4%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.99	4.3%
Average	1.80	1.92	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Betano	2.05	1.65	9.4%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.62	9.8%
Best of all books	2.08	1.67	8.0%
Average	2.06	1.64	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Toledo 45%Draw 45%Almansa 10%

The statistical model rated Toledo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Almansa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 4.26 | 7.82, which imply roughly 74.1% for a Toledo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table: Toledo are 5th (13 pts, 15-8 goals), Almansa 10th (11 pts, 12-7).

Over their last five matches, Toledo averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Almansa averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Toledo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.35	4.26	7.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.81	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.07	1.65

1st half

1	X	2
1.84	2.28	7.38

2nd half

1	X	2
1.66	2.72	6.80

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.04	20.5	68.7
HT X	3.88	6.07	15.5
HT 2	22.3	20.7	13.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	9.50	3.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.38
1.5	1.24	3.39
2.5	1.80	1.92
3.5	2.89	1.34
4.5	5.30	1.11
5.5	12.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.00
1.75	1.28	3.12
2	1.35	2.80
2.25	1.56	2.22
2.75	1.97	1.74
3	2.30	1.52
3.25	2.58	1.42
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.50	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.79	1.36
-1.75	2.27	1.54
-1.5	1.99	1.71
-1.25	1.78	1.92
-1	1.60	2.22
-0.75	1.39	2.65

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.55	1.05
-3	5.90	1.07
-2.5	3.42	1.23
-2.25	3.10	1.33
-0.5	1.32	3.04
-0.25	1.19	3.76
0	1.06	6.05
+0.25	1.05	6.60

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 results

25 Oct	Torrijos 0-3 Villacañas
25 Oct	Illescas 0-1 Huracán Balazote
25 Oct	Socuéllamos 2-1 Quintanar del Rey
18 Oct	Almansa 1-1 San Clemente
17 Oct	Marchamalo 1-0 Socuéllamos
11 Oct	Toledo 3-1 Huracán Balazote