Illescas vs La Solana• Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, Spain

#71.4:0.61-0FT11/100.8:1.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50WHX3.90B36526.931XBMargin at best6.7%Books7Markets43Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 07:12 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.52	3.65	6.30	9.1%
Dafabet	1.48	3.75	6.40	9.9%
Pinnacle	1.49	3.70	6.05	10.7%
1xBet	1.45	3.64	6.93	10.9%
Bet365	1.50	3.90	5.25	11.4%
William Hill	1.50	3.40	6.50	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.44	3.64	6.55	12.2%
Best of all books	1.52	3.90	6.93	5.9%
Average	1.48	3.67	6.28	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IllescasLa Solana

Last 10#7Table position#151.75Points per game0.7510Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 50.80.6Goals against · last 51.864Attack rating3675Defence rating2579Form rating2171H2H rating29100Goals model076Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 12:20 UTC

Illescas

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	A	Villacañas	3-4	L
11 Oct	H	La Solana	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Noblejas	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Villarrubia	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Quintanar del Rey	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Socuéllamos	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Tarancón	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Pozuelo Alarcón	0-1	L
18 Aug	H	SS Reyes II	1-1	D
14 Aug	H	CF Talavera	1-1	D

La Solana

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

3 Oct	H	Villarrobledo	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	Toledo	0-4	L
19 Sep	H	San Clemente	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Almansa	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Manchego	0-1	L
10 May	A	Calvo Sotelo	0-1	L
3 May	H	San Clemente	4-1	W
25 Apr	A	Villacañas	1-1	D
19 Apr	H	Illescas	1-0	W
11 Apr	A	Manchego	0-2	L

Head to head

4Illescas wins

1draws

2La Solana wins

7 meetings · goals 9:3 · last 7: 4W 1D 2L for Illescas

19 Apr 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	La Solana1-0Illescas
7 Dec 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Illescas0-0La Solana
6 Apr 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Illescas3-0La Solana
10 Dec 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	La Solana0-4Illescas
9 May 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Illescas1-0La Solana
4 Apr 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	La Solana2-0Illescas
9 Nov 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Illescas1-0La Solana

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 tableTercera: Group 18updated 31 Oct 16:02 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Illescas sit 7th with 14 points from 8 games, while La Solana are 15th with 6 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Manchego	8	6	0	2	10:6	+4	18
2	Toledo	8	5	1	2	17:8	+9	16
3	Villarrobledo	8	4	4	0	10:2	+8	16
4	CD Villa	8	5	0	3	9:8	+1	15
5	Villacañas	8	4	2	2	13:7	+6	14
6	Tarancón	8	4	2	2	14:9	+5	14
7	Illescas	8	4	2	2	11:8	+3	14
8	Torrijos	8	4	2	2	10:7	+3	14
9	Noblejas	8	4	1	3	14:13	+1	13
10	San Clemente	8	3	3	2	14:14	0	12
11	Almansa	8	3	2	3	12:9	+3	11
12	Marchamalo	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
13	Villarrubia	8	1	4	3	9:12	-3	7
14	Socuéllamos	8	1	4	3	5:8	-3	7
15	La Solana	8	2	0	6	6:11	-5	6
16	Quintanar del Rey	8	1	2	5	8:15	-7	5
17	Huracán Balazote	8	1	1	6	7:18	-11	4
18	Guadalajara II	8	0	2	6	7:21	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.48X25%3.67214%6.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.36 → 1.48 +8.8%X4.20 → 3.68 -12.4%27.00 → 6.28 -10.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
1xBet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
Best of all books	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Average	2.08	1.67	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.15	1.62	8.2%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
1xBet	2.16	1.59	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.57	10.0%
Best of all books	2.16	1.62	8.0%
Average	2.16	1.60	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Illescas 50%Draw 50%La Solana 0%

The statistical model rated Illescas at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and La Solana at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 3.67 | 6.28, which imply roughly 67.6% for a Illescas win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table: Illescas are 7th (14 pts, 11-8 goals), La Solana 15th (6 pts, 6-11).

Over their last five matches, Illescas averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; La Solana averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Illescas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.48	3.67	6.28

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.38	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.31

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.16	1.60

1st half

1	X	2
2.05	2.08	6.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	8.15	3.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.98
1.5	1.33	2.89
2.5	2.08	1.67
3.5	3.63	1.21
4.5	7.00	1.08
5.5	19.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.85
1.25	1.18	3.92
1.75	1.41	2.57
2	1.55	2.23
2.25	1.82	1.86
2.75	2.37	1.48
3	2.98	1.31
3.25	3.34	1.24
4	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.92	1.32
-1.5	2.43	1.46
-1.25	2.08	1.68
-1	1.86	1.85
-0.75	1.60	2.13
-0.5	1.48	2.46

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.5	4.90	1.11
-2	4.00	1.17
-0.25	1.29	3.09
0	1.10	5.00
+0.25	1.08	5.70

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 matches

1 Nov	Almansa – Villarrobledo
1 Nov	Villarrubia – Socuéllamos

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 results

25 Oct	Torrijos 0-3 Villacañas
25 Oct	Toledo 2-0 Almansa
25 Oct	Illescas 0-1 Huracán Balazote
25 Oct	Socuéllamos 2-1 Quintanar del Rey
18 Oct	Almansa 1-1 San Clemente
17 Oct	Marchamalo 1-0 Socuéllamos