Marchamalo vs Socuéllamos• Tercera División RFEF - Group 18, Spain

#81.8:2.01-0FTToday0.6:1.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25PINX3.23PIN23.80B365Margin at best1.7%Books4Markets35Rating46 · 55Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 11:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.25	3.23	2.85	10.5%
1xBet	2.25	3.14	2.90	10.8%
Bet365	1.90	3.10	3.80	11.2%
Marathonbet	2.23	3.14	2.82	12.2%
Best of all books	2.25	3.23	3.80	1.7%
Average	2.16	3.15	3.09	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MarchamaloSocuéllamos

Last 10#8Table position#141.57Points per game0.575Form pts · last 531.8Goals for · last 50.62.0Goals against · last 51.275Attack rating2538Defence rating6363Form rating387H2H rating93100Goals model046Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 14:42 UTC

Marchamalo

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Almansa	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Tarancón	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	Manchego	2-3	L
20 Sep	H	Guadalajara II	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Huracán Balazote	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	CD Villa	2-0	W
30 Aug	H	Unión Adarve	2-0	W
18 Aug	H	Guadalajara	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Pozuelo Alarcón	1-0	W
10 May	A	Sonseca	0-1	L

Socuéllamos

1W 5D 4L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	A	Tarancón	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Guadalajara II	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	CD Villa	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Torrijos	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Illescas	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Villarrobledo	0-0	D
3 May	H	Las Palmas II	1-1	D
26 Apr	A	Rayo Vallecano II	2-0	W
19 Apr	H	Fuenlabrada	2-3	L
12 Apr	A	Conquense	1-2	L

Head to head

0Marchamalo wins

1draws

5Socuéllamos wins

6 meetings · goals 1:10 · last 6: 0W 1D 5L for Marchamalo

16 Feb 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Marchamalo0-3Socuéllamos
6 Oct 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Socuéllamos1-0Marchamalo
21 Apr 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Socuéllamos3-0Marchamalo
3 Dec 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18	Marchamalo0-0Socuéllamos
3 Apr 2022Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Socuéllamos1-0Marchamalo
14 Nov 2021Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Marchamalo1-2Socuéllamos

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 tableTercera: Group 18updated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Marchamalo sit 8th with 11 points from 7 games, while Socuéllamos are 14th with 4 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Manchego	7	6	0	1	10:5	+5	18
2	Torrijos	6	4	2	0	10:2	+8	14
3	Illescas	7	4	2	1	11:7	+4	14
4	Toledo	7	4	1	2	15:8	+7	13
5	Villarrobledo	6	3	3	0	8:1	+7	12
6	CD Villa	7	4	0	3	8:8	0	12
7	Villacañas	7	3	2	2	10:7	+3	11
8	Marchamalo	7	3	2	2	12:10	+2	11
9	Almansa	6	3	1	2	11:6	+5	10
10	Tarancón	6	3	1	2	11:7	+4	10
11	Noblejas	7	3	1	3	10:12	-2	10
12	San Clemente	6	2	2	2	10:12	-2	8
13	Quintanar del Rey	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5
14	Socuéllamos	7	0	4	3	3:7	-4	4
15	La Solana	6	1	0	5	4:10	-6	3
16	Villarrubia	6	0	3	3	4:11	-7	3
17	Guadalajara II	6	0	2	4	6:13	-7	2
18	Huracán Balazote	6	0	0	6	5:17	-12	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.16X29%3.15229%3.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.18	1.62	7.6%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.16	1.62	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.78	9.9%
Best of all books	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Average	1.86	1.79	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Marchamalo 35%Draw 35%Socuéllamos 30%

The statistical model rated Marchamalo at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Socuéllamos at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.15 | 3.09, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Marchamalo win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table: Marchamalo are 8th (11 pts, 12-10 goals), Socuéllamos 14th (4 pts, 3-7).

Over their last five matches, Marchamalo averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Socuéllamos averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Marchamalo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.16	3.15	3.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.50	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.62	2.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
2.93	2.02	3.62

2nd half

1	X	2
2.65	2.27	3.36

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.45	15.8	34.0
HT X	5.18	4.60	7.40
HT 2	27.0	16.8	5.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	7.55	2.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.36	2.77
2.5	2.16	1.62
3.5	3.85	1.18
4.5	7.30	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.30
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.45	2.44
2	1.61	2.11
2.25	1.89	1.80
2.75	2.48	1.44
3	3.17	1.28
3.25	3.50	1.22
4	6.80	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.63	1.39
-0.5	2.11	1.71
-0.25	1.94	1.75
0	1.65	2.08
+0.25	1.47	2.40
+0.5	1.38	2.79

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	4.60	1.13
-1.25	4.14	1.16
-1	3.55	1.22
+0.75	1.22	3.48
+1	1.10	5.20
+1.5	1.06	6.15