Porreres vs Llosetense• Tercera División RFEF - Group 11, Spain

#51.6:0.815:30Today1.0:1.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.82BTNX3.50B36524.35PINMargin at best6.5%Books7Markets42Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.82	3.40	4.05	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.73	3.44	4.35	9.9%
Dafabet	1.77	3.40	4.10	10.3%
William Hill	1.80	3.20	4.20	10.6%
1xBet	1.74	3.40	4.16	10.9%
Bet365	1.80	3.50	3.60	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.72	3.40	4.05	12.2%
Best of all books	1.82	3.50	4.35	6.5%
Average	1.77	3.39	4.07	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PorreresLlosetense

Last 10#5Table position#112.00Points per game1.449Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.862Attack rating3869Defence rating3160Form rating4020H2H rating8082Goals model1853Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:02 UTC

Porreres

6W 0D 4L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

4 Nov	H	Alcúdia	1-0	W
1 Nov	H	Cardassar	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Mercadal	5-1	W
10 Oct	A	Constància	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Santanyí	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Arenal	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Inter Ibiza	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Formentera	1-3	L
9 Sep	A	Binéfar	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Andratx	2-0	W

Llosetense

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	Mercadal	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Alcúdia	0-2	L
18 Oct	H	Constància	0-3	L
11 Oct	A	Santanyí	0-3	L
3 Oct	H	Arenal	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Inter Ibiza	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Formentera	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Andratx	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Sineu	2-0	W
23 May	A	Manacor	1-2	L

Head to head

0Porreres wins

1draws

1Llosetense wins

2 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Porreres

8 Feb 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Llosetense2-0Porreres
29 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Porreres1-1Llosetense

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 tableTercera: Group 11updated 7 Nov 22:01 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table, Porreres sit 5th with 18 points from 9 games, while Llosetense are 11th with 13 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Platges Calvià	10	8	0	2	22:8	+14	24
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	9	6	3	0	14:2	+12	21
3	Constància	10	5	4	1	16:6	+10	19
4	Manacor	9	5	3	1	19:10	+9	18
5	Porreres	9	6	0	3	15:9	+6	18
6	PE Sant Jordi	9	4	4	1	16:10	+6	16
7	Cardassar	9	4	2	3	16:11	+5	14
8	Formentera	8	4	2	2	13:8	+5	14
9	Santanyí	9	3	5	1	10:6	+4	14
10	Binissalem	9	4	1	4	14:13	+1	13
11	Llosetense	9	4	1	4	10:11	-1	13
12	Alcúdia	10	4	0	6	13:18	-5	12
13	Mercadal	10	2	3	5	10:17	-7	9
14	Andratx	9	1	3	5	12:18	-6	6
15	Migjorn	9	1	2	6	10:21	-11	5
16	Sineu	9	1	2	6	8:19	-11	5
17	Arenal	9	1	1	7	6:20	-14	4
18	Inter Ibiza	8	0	2	6	4:21	-17	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.77X27%3.39222%4.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.08 → 1.77 -14.9%X3.34 → 3.39 +1.5%23.06 → 4.07 +33.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.85	6.7%
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.89	1.83	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.78	1.90	8.8%
1xBet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.88	10.0%
Best of all books	1.85	1.91	6.4%
Average	1.79	1.89	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Porreres 45%Draw 45%Llosetense 10%

The statistical model rates Porreres at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Llosetense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.39 | 4.07, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Porreres win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table: Porreres are 5th (18 pts, 15-9 goals), Llosetense 11th (13 pts, 10-11).

Over their last five matches, Porreres averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Llosetense averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Porreres or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.77	3.39	4.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.88	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.33	2.13	4.65

2nd half

1	X	2
2.11	2.45	4.24

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.76	16.2	39.7
HT X	4.55	5.20	9.17
HT 2	23.0	16.7	7.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	10.4	2.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.73
1.5	1.26	3.26
2.5	1.89	1.83
3.5	3.11	1.28
4.5	5.60	1.10
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.75	1.31	2.98
2	1.40	2.60
2.25	1.63	2.08
2.75	2.10	1.63
3	2.51	1.43
3.25	2.84	1.34
3.75	3.90	1.18
4	5.40	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.09	1.29
-1.25	2.71	1.37
-1	2.38	1.50
-0.75	1.96	1.72
-0.5	1.78	1.97
-0.25	1.58	2.24

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.65	1.05
-2	5.70	1.08
-1.75	3.96	1.17
0	1.29	3.11
+0.25	1.22	3.50
+0.75	1.14	4.40
+1	1.01	8.90
+1.5	1.02	8.10

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 results

6 Nov	Santanyí 1-2 Binissalem
4 Nov	Porreres 1-0 Alcúdia
1 Nov	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 0-0 Constància