Porreres vs Alcúdia• Tercera División RFEF - Group 11, Spain

#71.8:1.019:00Today1.2:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70BTNX3.66MAR24.821XBMargin at best6.9%Books6Markets43Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.70	3.65	4.45	8.7%
Dafabet	1.66	3.65	4.50	9.9%
Pinnacle	1.60	3.66	4.80	10.7%
1xBet	1.59	3.66	4.82	11.0%
Bet365	1.60	3.60	4.75	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.57	3.66	4.70	12.3%
Best of all books	1.70	3.66	4.82	6.9%
Average	1.62	3.65	4.67	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PorreresAlcúdia

Last 10#7Table position#91.71Points per game1.719Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 52.060Attack rating4067Defence rating3360Form rating4020H2H rating8080Goals model2055Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 19:01 UTC

Porreres

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	A	Mercadal	5-1	W
10 Oct	A	Constància	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Santanyí	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Arenal	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Inter Ibiza	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Formentera	1-3	L
9 Sep	A	Binéfar	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Andratx	2-0	W
3 May	H	Alcoyano	0-0	D
26 Apr	A	Poblense	1-3	L

Alcúdia

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

24 Oct	H	Llosetense	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Mercadal	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Cardassar	2-6	L
26 Sep	A	Constància	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Santanyí	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Arenal	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Inter Ibiza	5-0	W
10 May	A	Mercadal	2-3	L
3 May	H	Binissalem	1-1	D
26 Apr	A	Felanitx	2-0	W

Head to head

0Porreres wins

1draws

1Alcúdia wins

2 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Porreres

26 Apr 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Alcúdia1-1Porreres
15 Dec 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Porreres2-3Alcúdia

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 tableTercera: Group 11updated 27 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table, Porreres sit 7th with 12 points from 7 games, while Alcúdia are 9th with 12 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Platges Calvià	8	6	0	2	15:7	+8	18
2	Constància	8	5	2	1	15:5	+10	17
3	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	7	5	2	0	11:2	+9	17
4	Manacor	7	5	1	1	17:8	+9	16
5	Cardassar	8	4	2	2	15:9	+6	14
6	Santanyí	7	3	4	0	8:3	+5	13
7	Porreres	7	4	0	3	12:8	+4	12
8	PE Sant Jordi	7	3	3	1	12:9	+3	12
9	Alcúdia	7	4	0	3	13:11	+2	12
10	Formentera	7	3	2	2	11:8	+3	11
11	Llosetense	8	3	1	4	8:11	-3	10
12	Mercadal	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8
13	Binissalem	7	2	1	4	9:12	-3	7
14	Andratx	8	1	3	4	10:14	-4	6
15	Migjorn	8	1	2	5	10:19	-9	5
16	Arenal	7	1	1	5	6:15	-9	4
17	Sineu	8	0	2	6	4:17	-13	2
18	Inter Ibiza	7	0	2	5	3:16	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.62X25%3.65219%4.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.74 → 1.62 -6.9%X3.54 → 3.65 +3.1%24.05 → 4.67 +15.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.82	1.93	6.8%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.98	4.6%
Average	1.80	1.93	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Betano	1.70	1.98	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
Best of all books	1.78	1.98	6.7%
Average	1.75	1.91	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Porreres 45%Draw 45%Alcúdia 10%

The statistical model rates Porreres at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alcúdia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.65 | 4.67, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Porreres win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table: Porreres are 7th (12 pts, 12-8 goals), Alcúdia 9th (12 pts, 13-11).

Over their last five matches, Porreres averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Alcúdia averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Porreres.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.62	3.65	4.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.10	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.20	4.95

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.59	4.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.48	16.7	43.7
HT X	4.40	5.67	10.4
HT 2	21.7	17.0	8.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	9.65	2.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.23	3.49
2.5	1.80	1.93
3.5	2.83	1.34
4.5	5.00	1.13
5.5	7.20	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.20
1.75	1.29	3.11
2	1.37	2.73
2.25	1.58	2.18
2.75	1.98	1.71
3	2.33	1.50
3.25	2.62	1.40
3.75	3.48	1.22
4	4.65	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.63	1.39
-1.25	2.34	1.49
-1	2.05	1.67
-0.75	1.77	1.94
-0.5	1.64	2.16
-0.25	1.40	2.60

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.00	1.10
-2	4.30	1.15
-1.75	3.09	1.29
0	1.22	3.57
+0.25	1.17	4.00
+1.5	1.01	8.60

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 results

4 Oct	Porreres 0-1 Santanyí
4 Oct	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2-0 Formentera
3 Oct	Platges Calvià 3-1 Migjorn