Porreres vs Santanyí• Tercera División RFEF - Group 11, Spain

#71.8:1.30-1FT04/101.0:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22PINX3.661XB23.30BTNMargin at best2.7%Books5Markets39Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.88	3.84	3.88	5.0%
Betano	1.88	3.35	3.80	9.4%
Pinnacle	1.86	3.25	3.84	10.6%
Bet365	1.83	3.40	3.70	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.82	3.26	3.75	12.3%
Best of all books	1.88	3.84	3.88	5.0%
Average	1.85	3.42	3.79	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PorreresSantanyí

Last 10#7Table position#61.71Points per game1.869Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 51.01.3Goals against · last 50.864Attack rating3638Defence rating6360Form rating4080H2H rating2061Goals model3961Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 19:01 UTC

Porreres

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	A	Mercadal	5-1	W
10 Oct	A	Constància	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Santanyí	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Arenal	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Inter Ibiza	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Formentera	1-3	L
9 Sep	A	Binéfar	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Andratx	2-0	W
3 May	H	Alcoyano	0-0	D
26 Apr	A	Poblense	1-3	L

Santanyí

3W 5D 2L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

26 Sep	H	Mercadal	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Alcúdia	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Constància	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Cardassar	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Andratx	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Collerense	2-1	W
10 May	A	Felanitx	1-2	L
3 May	H	Peña Deportiva	2-1	W
26 Apr	A	Portmany	1-1	D
18 Apr	H	Rotlet Molinar	2-2	D

Head to head

1Porreres wins

1draws

0Santanyí wins

2 meetings · goals 5:3 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Porreres

19 Apr 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Porreres3-1Santanyí
7 Dec 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Santanyí2-2Porreres

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 tableTercera: Group 11updated 27 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table, Porreres sit 7th with 12 points from 7 games, while Santanyí are 6th with 13 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Platges Calvià	8	6	0	2	15:7	+8	18
2	Constància	8	5	2	1	15:5	+10	17
3	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	7	5	2	0	11:2	+9	17
4	Manacor	7	5	1	1	17:8	+9	16
5	Cardassar	8	4	2	2	15:9	+6	14
6	Santanyí	7	3	4	0	8:3	+5	13
7	Porreres	7	4	0	3	12:8	+4	12
8	PE Sant Jordi	7	3	3	1	12:9	+3	12
9	Alcúdia	7	4	0	3	13:11	+2	12
10	Formentera	7	3	2	2	11:8	+3	11
11	Llosetense	8	3	1	4	8:11	-3	10
12	Mercadal	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8
13	Binissalem	7	2	1	4	9:12	-3	7
14	Andratx	8	1	3	4	10:14	-4	6
15	Migjorn	8	1	2	5	10:19	-9	5
16	Arenal	7	1	1	5	6:15	-9	4
17	Sineu	8	0	2	6	4:17	-13	2
18	Inter Ibiza	7	0	2	5	3:16	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.12X28%3.18229%3.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.85 → 2.12 +14.6%X3.42 → 3.18 -7.0%23.79 → 3.09 -18.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.91	1.89	5.3%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.98	1.78	6.7%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Best of all books	2.00	1.89	2.9%
Average	1.95	1.80	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Betano	1.75	1.85	11.2%
Best of all books	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Average	1.78	1.86	10.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Porreres 45%Draw 45%Santanyí 10%

The statistical model rated Porreres at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Santanyí at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 3.18 | 3.09, which imply roughly 47.2% for a Porreres win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table: Porreres are 7th (12 pts, 12-8 goals), Santanyí 6th (13 pts, 8-3).

Over their last five matches, Porreres averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Santanyí averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Porreres or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.42	3.79

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.75	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
2.54	2.12	4.26

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	8.55	2.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.00
1.5	1.29	3.13
2.5	1.95	1.80
3.5	3.11	1.29
4.5	5.55	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.10
1.75	1.36	2.78
2	1.47	2.44
2.25	1.72	2.01
2.75	2.18	1.57
3	2.67	1.39
3.25	3.00	1.33
3.75	3.98	1.17
4	5.40	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.95	1.32
-1	2.60	1.42
-0.75	2.09	1.63
-0.5	1.87	1.88
-0.25	1.68	2.07
0	1.35	2.78

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.60	1.05
-2	5.90	1.07
-1.75	4.14	1.16
-1.5	3.14	1.29
+0.25	1.27	3.19
+0.75	1.18	3.88
+1	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.02	8.10

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 matches

28 Oct

Porreres – Alcúdia

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 results

4 Oct	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2-0 Formentera
3 Oct	Platges Calvià 3-1 Migjorn