Platges Calvià vs Migjorn• Tercera División RFEF - Group 11, Spain

#11.5:1.03-1FT03/100.8:2.3#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.251XBX6.091XB213.0B365Margin at best4.1%Books5Markets43Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.44	4.69	7.20	4.7%
Betano	1.42	4.15	7.00	8.8%
Pinnacle	1.40	4.16	6.62	10.6%
Bet365	1.40	4.10	6.25	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.36	4.15	6.85	12.2%
Best of all books	1.44	4.69	7.20	4.7%
Average	1.40	4.25	6.78	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Platges CalviàMigjorn

Last 10#1Table position#152.25Points per game0.636Form pts · last 531.5Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 52.367Attack rating3369Defence rating3167Form rating33100H2H rating083Goals model1775Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Oct 13:21 UTC

Platges Calvià

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

26 Sep	H	Cardassar	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	Binissalem	3-0	W
12 Sep	H	Manacor	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1-2	L
10 May	A	Cardassar	1-3	L
3 May	H	Manacor	4-2	W
26 Apr	A	Mercadal	0-1	L
22 Apr	A	Felanitx	3-0	W
19 Apr	H	Binissalem	0-0	D
5 Apr	H	Peña Deportiva	0-4	L

Migjorn

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:25 · per match 0.7 for, 2.5 against

27 Sep	H	Binissalem	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Manacor	1-5	L
12 Sep	H	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1-3	L
6 Sep	A	PE Sant Jordi	0-1	L
11 May	H	Porreres	1-3	L
3 May	A	Binissalem	0-2	L
30 Apr	H	Santanyí	1-1	D
26 Apr	H	Portmany	2-1	W
19 Apr	A	Manacor	0-6	L
12 Apr	H	Llosetense	0-3	L

Head to head

2Platges Calvià wins

0draws

0Migjorn wins

2 meetings · goals 7:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Platges Calvià

26 Jan 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Migjorn1-3Platges Calvià
15 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Tercera División RFEF - Group 11	Platges Calvià4-0Migjorn

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 tableTercera: Group 11updated 27 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table, Platges Calvià sit 1st with 18 points from 8 games, while Migjorn are 15th with 5 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Platges Calvià	8	6	0	2	15:7	+8	18
2	Constància	8	5	2	1	15:5	+10	17
3	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	7	5	2	0	11:2	+9	17
4	Manacor	7	5	1	1	17:8	+9	16
5	Cardassar	8	4	2	2	15:9	+6	14
6	Santanyí	7	3	4	0	8:3	+5	13
7	Porreres	7	4	0	3	12:8	+4	12
8	PE Sant Jordi	7	3	3	1	12:9	+3	12
9	Alcúdia	7	4	0	3	13:11	+2	12
10	Formentera	7	3	2	2	11:8	+3	11
11	Llosetense	8	3	1	4	8:11	-3	10
12	Mercadal	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8
13	Binissalem	7	2	1	4	9:12	-3	7
14	Andratx	8	1	3	4	10:14	-4	6
15	Migjorn	8	1	2	5	10:19	-9	5
16	Arenal	7	1	1	5	6:15	-9	4
17	Sineu	8	0	2	6	4:17	-13	2
18	Inter Ibiza	7	0	2	5	3:16	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg175%1.21X17%5.4028%11.4

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.40 → 1.21 -13.6%X4.25 → 5.40 +27.1%26.78 → 11.4 +68.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
1xBet	1.84	1.96	5.4%
Pinnacle	1.81	1.94	6.8%
Betano	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.96	5.1%
Average	1.82	1.93	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Marathonbet	2.00	1.67	9.9%
Betano	1.95	1.67	11.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Average	1.98	1.69	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Platges Calvià 50%Draw 50%Migjorn 0%

The statistical model rated Platges Calvià at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Migjorn at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.21 | 5.40 | 11.43, which imply roughly 82.6% for a Platges Calvià win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 table: Platges Calvià are 1st (18 pts, 15-7 goals), Migjorn 15th (5 pts, 10-19).

Over their last five matches, Platges Calvià averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Migjorn averaged 0.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Platges Calvià or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.40	4.25	6.78

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.64	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.98	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
1.92	2.30	6.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	9.10	3.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.40
1.5	1.24	3.39
2.5	1.82	1.93
3.5	2.87	1.34
4.5	5.08	1.11

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.10
1.75	1.30	3.11
2	1.37	2.74
2.25	1.58	2.19
2.75	1.99	1.70
3	2.34	1.50
3.25	2.63	1.40
3.75	3.48	1.22
4	4.60	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.47	1.45
-1.5	2.13	1.62
-1.25	1.91	1.82
-1	1.64	2.11
-0.75	1.47	2.42
-0.5	1.39	2.76

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.20	1.03
-3	6.55	1.05
-2.5	3.75	1.19
-2	3.12	1.29
-0.25	1.23	3.42
0	1.09	5.35
+0.25	1.07	5.90

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 matches

28 Oct

Porreres – Alcúdia

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 results

4 Oct	Porreres 0-1 Santanyí
4 Oct	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2-0 Formentera