Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar• Tercera División RFEF - Group 7, Spain

#181.0:2.31-2FT27/092.3:1.3#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15BFRX3.52MAR24.09PINMargin11.0%Books6Markets38Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.18	3.20	3.10	9.4%
Pinnacle	2.16	3.16	3.07	10.5%
1xBet	2.09	3.30	3.06	10.8%
Bet365	2.25	3.20	2.80	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.07	3.30	2.98	12.2%
William Hill	2.15	3.00	3.00	13.2%
Best of all books	2.25	3.30	3.10	7.0%
Average	2.15	3.19	3.00	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rayo Vallecano IIGalapagar

Last 10#18Table position#60.20Points per game1.601Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 52.32.3Goals against · last 51.330Attack rating7036Defence rating6417Form rating8362H2H rating3819Goals model8137Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 07:40 UTC

Rayo Vallecano II

1W 1D 8L · goals 10:24 · per match 1.0 for, 2.4 against

4 Oct	A	RC Alcobendas	2-4	L
27 Sep	H	Galapagar	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Leganés II	1-4	L
13 Sep	H	Cala Pozuelo	2-3	L
6 Sep	A	Móstoles	0-0	D
3 May	A	Rayo Majadahonda	0-3	L
26 Apr	H	Socuéllamos	0-2	L
19 Apr	A	RSD Alcalá	0-3	L
12 Apr	H	Intercity	3-1	W
4 Apr	A	Elche II	1-2	L

Galapagar

4W 3D 3L · goals 21:16 · per match 2.1 for, 1.6 against

20 Sep	H	Las Rozas	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Real Aranjuez	5-2	W
6 Sep	H	Pozuelo Alarcón	1-1	D
10 May	H	Las Rozas	3-1	W
3 May	A	AD Parla	5-0	W
26 Apr	A	Unión Adarve	1-3	L
19 Apr	H	Alcorcón II	0-2	L
12 Apr	A	Villaverde-Boetticher	1-1	D
2 Apr	H	Alcobendas Sport	1-3	L
28 Mar	A	A Madrid III	3-2	W

Head to head

4Rayo Vallecano II wins

4draws

2Galapagar wins

10 meetings · goals 17:11 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Rayo Vallecano II

25 May 2025Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Rayo Vallecano II0-0Galapagar
18 May 2025Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Galapagar1-3Rayo Vallecano II
16 Feb 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Galapagar2-3Rayo Vallecano II
6 Oct 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Rayo Vallecano II0-1Galapagar
25 Feb 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Galapagar2-2Rayo Vallecano II
7 Oct 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Rayo Vallecano II4-1Galapagar
12 Mar 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Rayo Vallecano II1-2Galapagar
6 Nov 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Galapagar1-1Rayo Vallecano II
26 Mar 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Rayo Vallecano II0-0Galapagar
28 Nov 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7	Galapagar1-3Rayo Vallecano II

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 tableTercera: Group 7updated 11 Oct 11:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 table, Rayo Vallecano II sit 18th with 1 points from 5 games, while Galapagar are 6th with 8 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Colonia Moscardó	6	3	3	0	15:6	+9	12
2	Cala Pozuelo	6	4	0	2	10:8	+2	12
3	Trival Valderas	5	3	2	0	8:4	+4	11
4	Móstoles	5	3	2	0	6:2	+4	11
5	Las Rozas	5	3	1	1	11:6	+5	10
6	Galapagar	5	2	2	1	10:8	+2	8
7	RC Alcobendas	6	2	2	2	12:11	+1	8
8	Fuenlabrada	5	2	2	1	7:6	+1	8
9	Leganés II	5	2	1	2	9:6	+3	7
10	Torrejón	5	2	0	3	6:5	+1	6
11	Unión Adarve	5	1	3	1	6:8	-2	6
12	Pozuelo Alarcón	5	1	3	1	7:10	-3	6
13	Parla Escuela	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
14	Alcobendas Sport	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
15	Real Aranjuez	6	1	2	3	10:14	-4	5
16	SS Reyes II	5	1	0	4	7:13	-6	3
17	Villanueva Pardillo	5	1	0	4	5:13	-8	3
18	Rayo Vallecano II	5	0	1	4	6:13	-7	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.85X27%3.33224%3.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.15 → 1.85 -14.0%X3.19 → 3.33 +4.4%23.00 → 3.72 +24.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.87	1.88	6.7%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	2.00	1.88	3.2%
Average	1.88	1.84	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.01	9.6%
Betano	1.65	2.00	10.6%
Best of all books	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Average	1.67	2.03	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rayo Vallecano II 10%Draw 45%Galapagar 45%

The statistical model rated Rayo Vallecano II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Galapagar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.33 | 3.72, which imply roughly 30% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 table: Rayo Vallecano II are 18th (1 pts, 6-13 goals), Galapagar 6th (8 pts, 10-8).

Over their last five matches, Rayo Vallecano II averaged 1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game; Galapagar averaged 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Galapagar and +3.5 goals (goal line signal: over 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.19	3.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.59	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.61	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.74	2.11	3.62

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	10.5	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.83
1.5	1.24	3.31
2.5	1.88	1.84
3.5	3.00	1.29
4.5	5.33	1.10
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.00
1.75	1.30	3.07
2	1.39	2.65
2.25	1.62	2.12
2.75	2.07	1.65
3	2.46	1.45
3.25	2.77	1.36
3.75	3.88	1.18
4	5.35	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.47	1.44
-0.5	2.15	1.64
-0.25	1.88	1.83
0	1.57	2.23
+0.25	1.41	2.58
+0.5	1.33	3.01

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2	8.50	1.01
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.72	1.20
-1	3.25	1.27
+0.75	1.19	3.76
+1	1.08	5.70
+1.5	1.04	6.75

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 results

11 Oct	Unión Adarve 2-1 Móstoles
11 Oct	Las Rozas 4-2 SS Reyes II
11 Oct	Rayo Vallecano II 1-0 Trival Valderas
11 Oct	Parla Escuela 2-2 Fuenlabrada
4 Oct	SS Reyes II 3-5 Real Aranjuez
4 Oct	Trival Valderas 2-1 Las Rozas